4 Big plays tomorrow...

I rarely have this many games on a week night, but there are some really bad lines tomorrow.

Miss State -11(4U)......I have been saying this for two weeks....this isn't the same team that lost to Rider to open the year.  This team is very good, and have started playing like they should.  State wins this game 80-64.

Ole Miss -7(4U).....UTEP is a good basketball team, but they can't exploit Ole Miss where their problems are.  Ole Miss travels an hour north to play this game at a "neutral" court.  Ole Miss will have a nice crowd there(better than we have had at home so far), and know this is aan important game with a trip to WVU looking next week.  Ole Miss wins this game 92-77.

UALR +4.(1U).....UALR is average.  South AL is terrible.  UALR can shoot the ball from the perimeter.  I saw this UALR team play in OXford earlier this year, and I think they hit enough shots to keep this under the number.  Small play on UALR.

Cincy -1-(3U) UAB has a nice team, but hasn't played anyone like Cincy yet.  UAB doesn't really carry much of a homecourt advantage, so I dont think that makes much difference here.  I would  like to play this as a 5U play, but I can't do that off a tough loss to Xavier by Cincy.  If they are over it, they win this game by 6-8 points.  If not, they could lose.

Teaser 3U  Ole Miss -3 and State -7.  

This is alot of units for me to play on a weeknight, but I am pretty excited about my card.  And that is rare.  I am ever the pessimist, but I just cant see disappointment here.  GL.

State also gets John Riek back tonight, who is a 7' 2" guy from Sudan who is just now eligible for court time.  With him, Varndo, Osby, and Augustus ready, Houston won't have much of a chance.  I think that line opens around -8 with State as the favorite, but I don't see that game being anywhere near that final.  I look for it to be more like the UCLA game with State.....a 15-20 game most of the 2nd half.

Also, just spoke to a few of the Ole Miss players at breakfast, and they are pumped about the game tonight.  AK has really been on them about opening quickly, which they haven't been doing.  Hell. they were down 13 to Mcneese in the beginning of the 2nd half the other night, and won by 13.  They told me they are ready to play, and have really focused on getting out to a quick start tonight.  I think I will play them on the 1st half, too, and hope it doesn't bite me in the butt.  They have started slow most of the year, but with the focus they have put on a quick start, I am going to give them the benefit of the doubt tonight @ -4 in the first half.

Outlaw, I graduated from Miss. State about 15 years ago and have followed them closely forever. You are spot on. I will lay off of the game and hope Duggans and company keep it close and MSU wins by 4 or 5 and then they will blow out Houston. Good luck with your plan, bro.

Will  enloy watching  the  two  Mississippi  teams play  tonight and I agree re: both should  be comfortable  wins.  It  will  be  interesting  to  see the guy  from  Sudan 7'1" play.  As  you  know,  he  was penalized 8-9  games because he  had  contact  with  NBA.  this  will  be  his  collegiate debut,  The  only  thing that  troubles me about  MissState is the  high  number  of  three.'s . Fortunately  about  40% go in, but  if  they go  cold  form 3 pt  land, it  could be  trouble,.  not  necessarily  tonight against WrightSt ,  but against other  strong  teams.  Thats why, it  will  be  fun  to  watch  to  see if  the  7 footer  can score inside.

Adding some games from a source that I trust immensely:

Ohio -3- (3U), Oregon State -2(3U), Rice -6(2U).

Teaso Northern Colorado and Richmond (2U)

I waged Miss St. twice this year and won, i am like some others in the forum and enjoy watching this one.  wright state is like butler, they can be tough.  Miss St. will win but the spread can make go either way......waiting for the Houston game.

Going with

Oregon St. -4.0

Miss -7.5

Hey olemiss33 if you dont mind me asking I was wondering about your "source"...  Cause two of my "sources" I follow very closely have the exact same plays... 

Good Luck Tonight...  Hopefully it will be big..  

It's a service I pay for.....I play my own games, but I pay for his, also.  I don't play all of his plays, but if we cap a game the same, I usually play it a little more agressively.