Posted:
#1
'10-11 NBA: 90-67 (57.3%) +19.90u
'10-11 NBA-P: 30-16 (65.2%) +18.25u
'10-11 NCAAB: 8-1 (88.9%) +7.90u
'10-11 NHL-P: 11-4 (73.3%) +7.00u
'10-11 MLB: 97-66 (59.8%) +31.61u
'10-11 MLB-P: 9-3 (75.0%) +9.22u
'11-12 NCAAF: 16-21 (43.2%) -7.40u
'11-12 NCAAF-P: 9-6 (60.0%) +1.65u
'11-12 NFL: 42-35-1 (54.5%) +5.05u
'11-12 NFL-P: 5-5 (50.0%) -0.40u
'11-12 NBA: 53-50-1 (51.5%) +0.93u
'11-12 NCAAB: 9-3 (75.0%) +5.70u
4:05 EST - Ohio State @ Michigan State Under 127.5 (-110)
When these teams played in Ohio earlier this season the total was set at 131.5 and it went under by a whopping 25.5 points thanks to a 26.4% shooting game by the home team. Obviously the lines-makers were going to adjust the total down for this meeting, but did they lower it enough. I don't think so. If Michigan State wins this game, they'll win the Big 10 regular season title outright (they could have clinched earlier this week but choked losing by 15 in front of a hostile Indiana U home crowd). Ohio State will be looking to avenge their loss earlier this season and steal a share of the title with the Spartans. I don't need to say it, but I will: this game is huge. Expect both of these teams to play with maximum intensity. This will undoubtedly translate the most on the defensive end. Both of these teams play defense before offense. They both prefer to run at a slow pace running primarily half court sets (both teams run at around 66 possessions per game which slower than 175 other division one programs). Michigan State is top 20 in overall rebounding and Ohio State is top 10 so don't expect many second chance points this afternoon. Ohio State isn't elite at spot up defense but they are in the top 50 but because of their excellent rebounding stats and their ability to force opponents into one-and-done possessions they are 10th ranked in scoring defense only allowing opponents 58 points per game. What's even more impressive about these stats is the Buckeyes discipline on defense (they rank 25th in opponent free throw rate). The Spartans also only allow 58 points per game and they do that with their spot up D. They allow the third lowest eFG% per game at a shockingly low 42.6%. Neither team is particularly good at three point shooting which can always be a threat for under backers (they are both out of the top 100 in 3pt field goal percentage and combined they only average 10 threes per game). I expect a slow methodical game with great defense by both teams and very few second chance opportunities. The first team to 60 wins this game.
0
AND THESE REFS ARE JUST HORRIBLE WTF.
Hot Forum Topics
