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Aggie Picks 95-60 YTD (61%)

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Posted: #1
Good Morning Guys. Great weekend for me. 4-2 on Saturday and 1-0 on Sunday. Today is weak. Only one game. Might stick to the national championship game. What is everyone thinking?? Giving Urban Meyer a touchdown seems like a lot.
 
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Posted: #2
Im on Oregon -6 today !!!
 
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Posted: #3
I W0ULD TAKE THE UNDER IN THE FIRST HALF 0F THE NCAAF CHAMP GAME.

URBAN MEYER IS LIKELY G0ING T0 D0 HIS BEST T0 KEEP THE BALL AWAY FR0M THE 0REG0N 0FFENSE, S0 THAT MEANS BALL C0NTR0L WITH SMASH M0UTH RUNNING, WHICH IS S0METHING THAT 0REG0N HAS HAD TR0UBLE WITH IN THE PAST.

AND MEYER WILL LIKELY USE J0NES IN BIG RUNS, KEEPING THE CHAINS M0VING AND THE 0REG0N D 0FF BALANCE. I THINK THAT THE KEY T0 THIS GAME IS J0NES SCRAMBLING, AND HE WILL SCRAMBLE A L0T, I THINK.

THERE WILL BE NEARLY AS MANY PE0PLE WATCHING THE GAME AS THE SUPER B0WL, S0 THE Y0UNG C0LLEGE PLAYERS ARE G0ING T0 HAVE SERI0US JITTERS IN THE FIRST HALF, ESPECIALLY IN THE FIRST QUARTER, IN WHICH I D0N'T EXPECT MUCH SC0RING. LESS THAN 10 PTS IN THE FIRST QUARTER.

1ST H 0VER/UNDER IS 37.5 ... 0VER 5 T0UCHD0WNS, M0ST 0F WHICH W0ULD NEED T0 HAPPEN IN THE SEC0ND QUARTER.

I D0N'T SEE THAT HAPPENING.

[MY KEYB0ARD IS EFFED UP WITH THE CAPS IN A L0CK, L0CK, L0CK M0DE … NEW KEYB0ARD HAS BEEN 0RDERED … I’M N0T SH0UTING.]


 
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Posted: #4
I am on Oregon -6 myself.  There is a big class difference here.  The tempo of Oregon cannot be replicated in practice.  Even without the turnovers in the FSU game, FSU's defense was being worn down and was getting frustrated.  The score would have been a bit lower without the turnovers but it still would have been a very solid 20 point win by Oregon.  I see the same happening here.  Oregon's D bends between the 20's but does not break and gives up FGs while the Ohio St. defense gets worn down and is completely giving it up in the 4th quarter and Oregon scores at will to close out a nice 20+ point win.

Oregon 45-24.

Good luck!

PM for the skinny on the down low
 
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Posted: #5
URBAN MEYER USES THE SAME UP~TEMP0 KIND 0F 0FFENSE AS 0REG0N.

I EXPECT MEYER T0 G0 F0R THE THR0AT AND HIT 0REG0N'S D HARD WITH HARD, N0~HUDDLE RUNNING WITH CARDALE J0NES SCRAMBLING F0R FIRST D0WNS, KEEPING THE BALL AWAY FR0M 0REG0N'S 0FFENSE.

I'VE NEVER BET AGAINST THE DUCKS BEF0RE AND CAN HARDLY BELIEVE THAT I MAY G0 AGAINST THEM T0DAY.

0REG0N'S D~LINE IS UNDERSIZED, C0MPARED T0 0HI0'S 0~LINE, S0 0HI0 STANDS A G00D CHANCE 0F BEING ABLE T0 KEEP THE BALL AND GRIND IT 0UT IN THE FIRST HALF, AT LEAST.

2ND HALF IS LIKELY T0 BE A DIFFERENT BALL GAME.
 
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Posted: #6
Aggie....... This CBB game IMO has significant value.....



Rider with clearly better record and stronger at home only favored by 4.5? and 68% of bets on them.......= Monmouth cover here strong play for me as weak line set with all eyes on NCAAF game.....



GL
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by tbomb777:

Aggie....... This CBB game IMO has significant value.....



Rider with clearly better record and stronger at home only favored by 4.5? and 68% of bets on them.......= Monmouth cover here strong play for me as weak line set with all eyes on NCAAF game.....



GL
Dude stop worrying about the bet percentages. Rider is far and above the superior team. Vegas doesn't care if they lose money on a single MAAC conference game. Everyone has their attention/money invested on Oregon or Ohio State. Even if Rider doesn't cover the spread they're gonna win at home. Stop overthinking it man
 
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Posted: #8
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=102043900

L00K AT THIS P0ST AB0VE ... IT'S SH0WING THAT M0NM0UTH PLUS PTS MAY BE A BETTER PLAY.

I AGREE WITH TB0MB777 THAT INTENSE ATTENTI0N 0N THE NCAAF GAME T0NIGHT C0ULD BE CREATING AN 0PP T0 EXPL0IT IN THE M0NM0UH/RIDER GAME.


 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by jerseyboy13:

Dude stop worrying about the bet percentages. Rider is far and above the superior team. Vegas doesn't care if they lose money on a single MAAC conference game. Everyone has their attention/money invested on Oregon or Ohio State. Even if Rider doesn't cover the spread they're gonna win at home. Stop overthinking it man



Classic man you ask for our thoughts on game then when I give you mine, you respond that way..... clearly you just wanted someone to confirm your RIDER bias instead of give you honest take on game......

so RIDER will win by 40 ..... that better 

Rider could very well win this game but rookie move here man......
 
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Posted: #10
so much hype on Ohio St and Urban Meyer because they beat Bama.  Can OSU d line keep up with the pace they are about see?  how deep are they on the DL?

I feel like it's a trap, my lean is Oregon covers the 6. Haven't made my mind up yet though. 

 
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Posted: #11
Smacksmiter-*handshake. That's the score I'm thinking of as well.
 
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Posted: #12
TBomb & Mozart,  You guys are right on with this Monmouth game. Line at -4 and -4.5 with most of the money on Rider and not going to -5?. Been doing this way too long Jersey Boy I am taking Monmouth ML at +165. You may be right but the smart money here is for Monmouth ML or spread.
 
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Posted: #13
No Bball for me today.
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by jerseyboy13:

Dude stop worrying about the bet percentages. Rider is far and above the superior team. Vegas doesn't care if they lose money on a single MAAC conference game. Everyone has their attention/money invested on Oregon or Ohio State. Even if Rider doesn't cover the spread they're gonna win at home. Stop overthinking it man

 

"dude" go look at bet % on yesterdays games. I made out just fine watching those %. you keep betting on wisconsins,arizonas etc.. keeps the line high for the good guys.what a lame statement. not to mention disrespecting the man.

keep the clown shoes on

 
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by jerseyboy13:

Dude stop worrying about the bet percentages. Rider is far and above the superior team. Vegas doesn't care if they lose money on a single MAAC conference game. Everyone has their attention/money invested on Oregon or Ohio State. Even if Rider doesn't cover the spread they're gonna win at home. Stop overthinking it man

 

hey jackass jerseyboy, you the man an apology. also don't over think it, quit gambling.

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