Anyone else concerned...

Question

Air Force a huge public fav &amp; line dropping? My spidey sense is peaking

big10buckeye · Answer

Air Force a huge public fav &amp; line dropping? My spidey sense is peaking

Teaser78 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by big10buckeye]  Air Force a huge public fav &amp; line dropping? My spidey sense is peaking&#xD;&#xA;  [/Quote] ... really like Air force .. this is making no sense .. maybe a vegas mind trick try to get some wyoming money I hope

big10buckeye · Answer

Could be a head fake but more times than not it spells trouble

Yungstar · Answer

I am also worried now. See 94 to 6% on the line and 75 to 25 ML both in favour of AF yet we get RLM.

big10buckeye · Answer

Sitting at 4 right now, guess I was lucky to grab it at 3.5

Yungstar · Answer

My book funny enough opened at 4.5 and went to 4.  Weird.

BoiseState25 · Answer

Wyoming had a handfull of guys out vs. UNLV, including Washington who is their leading scorer now that Martinez got booted. Washington is listed as probable. I&#x27;m guessing he plays tonight and that&#x27;s what is making things look funny. Personally, I don&#x27;t think he makes enough of a difference. Air Force rolls.

big10buckeye · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;I hope you are correct Boise or my bankroll is going to take a hit

Degenerate · Answer

Here&#x27;s how this works. Someone posts the strange movement. One smart person will take the team that its obvious Vegas has winning. The people who refuse to acknowledge it and want to bet Air Force will think of ways to justify it. "Sometimes Vegas just doesn&#x27;t adjust correctly". Or my favorite "It&#x27;s a double head fake". LOL. Take Wyoming. Oh and 99% of covers is on AF.

big10buckeye · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;My concern exactly

Ironhead34 · Answer

Wyoming beats the crap teams and loses to the good teams. AF has proven they can play with and beat the good teams plus they are really tough at home. Line movements and reverse line movements get all the credit when they hit (50%) and everyone forgets when they dont (50%). Use common sense and take the team you think will cover. In this case I will take the small home fav. AF by 7&#x2B;

Degenerate · Answer

The "double head fake" is the best. Why would they go into multiple levels of fakeouts in an elaborate attempt to get a couple extra wagers from those keeping track of percentages, when they could just do what they are doing and get a LOT more money from Joe Public on AF, even if it means losing a couple bets to those wise to the %s in the process?

big10buckeye · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;I guess the "theory" is that if they move the line opposite of what people expect it might scare people off of it. I admit I dont put much faith in the "theory"

big10buckeye · Answer

Although I do respect line movement...

Yungstar · Answer

This reminds me a bit of Hawks/Magic game a few weeks back. Magic, absolutely terrible yet line only opened at -3 Hawks. 90%+ on them, line goes down half a point. Some second guessed and started rolling with the Magic at +3/ML last minute.

Hawks win by 30, lol. Hopefully the same case here.

EB14_VB · Answer

don&#x27;t over think things here.  Air Force is the play.

big10buckeye · Answer

Well Im committed to a large play on this game regardless.&#xD;&#xA;Good luck guys

ddetroit · Answer

If the line moved 2&#x2B; points then I would be scratching my head and consider laying off or netting the

ddetroit · Answer

Betting the other way. As of now I&#39;m on Air Force or nothing. Sometimes lines that seem to good to be true really are not!  Gl

big10buckeye · Answer

Anybody on covers on wyoming?

Stafford71 · Answer

I will be for sure as well as the Florida under

big10buckeye · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by Stafford71] &#xD;&#xA;I will be for sure as well as the Florida under&#xD;&#xA;[/Quote]&#xD;&#xA;Is this strictly a play vs the public? Just curious

BookieKillerNag · Answer

I have been fading Wyoming since their hot start to the season and have done very well. This team wasn't that great with Martinez and quickly drops to a below average team with out him. Washington has been out as said above but practiced yesterday and should play. Mike Lyons has a sprained thumb for Air Force and was ineffective last game at Boise only scoring 11 points after dropping 45 against csu. That is the concern for af backers.

I think this line is right where it should be. I also don't see the RLM posters have been referring to. This opened at -3.5 last night and is sitting at -4.5 across board. Any books that opened this at 4.5 in the morning are scared if Air Force money IMO.

I think that this game will be closer for Wyoming considering the embarrassment they took last week and having Washington back. Bottom line is I just don't think this team has the horses to keep up with a good higher scoring Mountain West squad.

Good luck either way you choose.

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