Arkansas may not win but +8 is too sweet!

So i will make one play and one play only today. Arkansas +8 is a no brainer for me. Baylor getting far too much love here. Arkansas has a better defensive unit than advertised and they shoot the ball well. They have lots of depth and are battle tested. Oral Roberts played them to the very end. However, oral roberts already played them once before, which playing a team twice is more beneficial to the losing side in my opinion. The summit conference also lacked credibility this season. South dakota state and north dakota state were still strong but silently. Arkansas is getting three possessions based on a result from playing a non power conference. Baylor is getting marked up based on playing a short handed villanova team who gave them trouble but lacked bodies and that is certainly what failed them pulling through late. Baylor does have a stingy D which is complimented by strong shooting but arkansas isnt lacking anything significant when looking at how these two match up.

I'm rolling all day with the Arkansas Razorbacks +8

Good luck.  Arkansas runs no sets and looks like streetball.  Ill advised shots etc.  i believe Baylor will win by 10 or more.  Arkansas and Alabama look identical.  Just throwing up shots.  

@Memo22

 Best of luck as always. But the one thing Bama didn't have that Arkansas does is a guy who plays tough in the paint. Bama really lacked toughness. Bama had to rely on tossing up the 3 because they lack any grit inside. At least arkansas can beat you down in more than one way. Justin Smith could really be that nice check down spot when those open perimeter shots arent available. Plus their guards arent afraid to go inside the paint either which could generate some fouls if baylor gets to zoned in on limiting smith in the paint. I just think the way Arkansas runs the floor that they are extremely athletic. Not saying baylor isnt either. But if baylor isnt hitting from outside either i think it will be tough to win by 8 or more. But lets just hope this is a good one...obviously still needing that Arkansas side for myself here.

Great Valid points.  Good luck.  I might just tease Ark and Oregon st!

Baylor 

@Memo22

@KC_4_LIFE

@Skitchen

 Arkansas definitely will win.  They have far too good of perimeter defenses for Baylor.  Baylor has no answer for Smith or Moody.  Baylor will get beat on the boards and off the dribble. This line is upside down. 

How do you use Arkansas and defense in the same sentence after that last game!

@slikstiks99

 Its kind of easy Arkansas is 10th in defensive efficiency according to kenpom..

 GL!!!..

Obviously i can't be absolutely oblivious to the fact Baylor has been underwhelming shooting the 3 lately. Fingers crossed that this 3 point regression continues. But Arkansas can play defense but anybody can fall flat on their face if 3's are dropping. So as long as we get that defensive progression than how could they lose by more than 3 possessions. Let's not use the last game versus Oral Roberts as an alarming issue for Arkansas. The Summit conference was deeper than it appears. Oral Roberts knocked off South Dakota State in the final. Well the thing about the Jackrabbits is that they play great D and can shoot. This was a scary #15 seed that people overlooked. Regardless im looking at this game from the perspective of value. I got +8 last night because i found edges towards the dog. So to me that's valuable anytime. There is no way i could back Baylor in this case. There is no doubt i was impressed with the way baylor rebounded against villanova. But i still cant forget that the big east didn't impress me this year. They were down their leading player who was the floor general for them (Gillespie). I just think the legs got away from them down that extra body. That was a huge benefit to Baylor. Anyways, just me talking about it is cheap until we see what actually happens. I hope its the right angle but if it isn't I'm glad we all got to have some discussion about it. In a perfect world we all bet the same side and destroy the books. So best of luck to all of your good fellas and enjoy the game!

Cheers!