Bags Thursday LARGE ** UC Santa Barbara vs UC Davis**

Large Plays: 21-12 ytd…63%…4-0 L4 

Thursday: UC Davis pick em’ (LARGE)

UCSB is tied for first w/ 2 other teams (UCI & UCR). Most think UCSB has been solid in recent years, but imo Gauchos really hasn’t been a team of the past…especially last several games. They’ve lost to top tier conference teams in UCR, UCI, and CSUF by an avg margin of 12 points…2 of them being @ home! 

Why Davis? They’re sleeper play  % the Big West. Currently sitting @ the 6 spot  & needing a big win tonight to help secure a bye in the 1st round. On top of this, they’ve lost by an average of 4 points to BW #1/2 teams in UCI & UCR….remember UCSB lost to both UCI & UCR by 11! 

The risk: UCSB strength in this game will be in the paint. They’re a bigger team than Davis, & Gauchos relies heavily with their 4/5 spots…couple ex P12 players! If Gauchos control the paint, it’ll be over…overall a small risk imo. Last game rebounding was fairly even. 
 
The bigger risk imo will be how  Davis plays defense and if they can be more physical on the defensive end. I know Pepper will do his thing offensively (22ppg…leads BW), question is,  can they get back playing defense after a bucket. They need to prevent from exchanging buckets…their overall weakness imo. 

Overall, I think Davis can pull one off Vs a softer perimeter team un UCSB. Defensively I think they make stops, and offensively they’ll have an advantage shooting deep @ home.

fill em’

Adding: UCI/UCR Under 145.5 (small)

game to basically help determine who the #1 seed is? UCR plays good defense @ home, and UCI ain’t no slouch defensively.

small risk: close game @ the end to go into OT.

Fill em Bags… Any thoughts on UCI ML?

@wolfeman3

Tough game to predict…1 of these 2 will for sure represent the BW in the tourney. Senior night for UCR and their top 2 play makers are seniors…special night. I also always root for UCI just because I have family & friends that attended. 

UCD +2  

They know something we don’t giving ucd points now baiting everyone that way and what do fish do go for bait and get hooked

Good luck Bags.  

@LB_Dirtbags

 Good luck Long Beach, thanks for including good info write up.

Fill ‘em!

+3 now. Any news?

@UnrankedChamp

I feel public has had a good overall perception  on how UCSB program has played in the last few years. Gauchos as Pick em’, -1, etc seems pretty easy, but line definitely raises flags based on what I’ve see. 

could of should of…but content Davis pulls a win tonight. 

@LB_Dirtbags

 So its still a play at +3?

@Peanutzz

Yes sir. I took em @ a pick em’, and nothing’s  

changed in my pov.

GL DB...

LB.......

@LB_Dirtbags

 POST#1     IN LARFE WITH YOU HERE DAVIS +# bought the +.5   +3 @ 120...thank you SIR!

This is getting dicey had to buyout for more on UCSB ml gl