57-53-2 NCAA HOOPS YTD
Monday's Selections:
Play On Notre Dame +11 at North Carolina:
Have a feeling UNC is a little gassed right now building up their tourney resume. Great rebounding team but Notre Dame is better than average in this department. They also handle the ball well, don't foul much, shoot three pointers pretty well and distribute the basketball well. Their offensive efficiency is pretty solid. The only thing holding them back is a poor defense but I like the coupon here.
Play on Seton Hall +1 vs. Xavier:
I see Xavier bouncing in this spot after great wins at St. Johns and vs. Creighton. Seton Hall is 5-1 ATS at home playing teams with a SU losing road record. I see them playing loose and due for a win. They are better in the turnover department and do well hitting threes while Xavier defends threes poorly. They also hit their free throws well.
Play on North Carolina Central -15 vs. Savannah State:
Big game on national tv to show off Central's talented club. Offensively State is 289th in the country in fg%, 310 in three pointers made, 268 in rebounding, 329 in fg made, and 296th in opponent free throws. Central is 104th in the country in rebounding, 25 in ft made, 8th in defensive efficiency, 4th in fg % defense, 1st in fg allowed, and 12th in creating turnovers. sense a blowout.
Play on NC State +10.5 at Pitt:
Like the coupon here where Pitt is 2-7 ATS last 9, 17-35 ATS home games including 3-11 Home ATS this year. Pitt games have also ended in 5 points or less 8 of their last 9 games. State is 6-0 ATS following an ATS loss and 6-1 ATS following a double digit home loss. They are playing for revenge on the earlier contest this year and they are desperate to make it into the tourney.
Play on Oklahoma State -8.5 vs. Kansas State:
OK State is 34-14-3 last 51 ATS at home vs. team with a losing road record. This is also a revenge spot. They shoot 3's well, are good ball handlers, and shoot well from the line. They go dime for dime with K-State on the defensive end as well. They are also in the top 50 in the country in blocks and steals. I just don't think K-State is as strong on the road and doesn't have enough offense to keep up with OK State (OK State 20th in the country in offensive efficiency while K-State is 181st).
BOL to all Forum Cappers!