CBB 22-11 ATS : Sunday

Just keep grinding it out and yesterday was a special 9-3.  Fortunate on a few bets and I hope to keep those fortunate vibes coming. 

Not into favorites too much. In certain spots Sundays are a good place to be on the Chalks.  

Indy-6

NWstn has been pretty darn good this season but this will be only road game #3 for them.  Their last road took place December 4th.   They were at Mich St and that line was the same +6.  I'm not a big Indy fan but the same line in what I believe Indy is a much better team.  The question is will it play out like I predict?  Not sure but in NWestn Road wins this is far in away their most difficult game on the season.

NWestn were just home dogs  to ILL and Ohio St.  I just dont feel +6 i enough for NWestn and this data  link supports Indy

favs 35-11 ATS here >>>

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=HF+and+rank+%3C%3D+25+and+day+%3D+Sunday+and+month+%3D+1+and+season%3E2015+&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

Adding one more filter to the above as  top 7 rank teams are filtered out here brings Indiana situation to 29-7 ATS

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=HF+and+rank%3E7++and+day+%3D+Sunday+and+month+%3D+1+and+season%3E2015+&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

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Cincy +9.5

This is a fade of Houston because of this query >>>

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=AF+and+rank%3C%3D25+and+day+%3D+Sunday+and+month+%3D+1+and+season+%3E+2014+and+line+%3E%3D+-9+and+o%3Arank+%3D+None+and+line%3C%3D-4&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

Its a bit difficult fading Houston but I will say most of their awesome coving recently is because they are so strong.  A lot of their success is because they are plying teams that cant hang with them.  They are 17-5 ATs when laying -13 or more points. 

Their strength of schedule is terrible. 

 https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=team%3DHOU+and+date%3E20211201+and+line%3C-13&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

Houston has had a lot of success against cincy but this is the most point they have ever had to overcome in an away game at Cincy. 

Cincy has only ever been +4 or more 4 times coving 3-1 in those.  The loss was to Houston lst year at +7 now +9 and I think thus Houston team is not as good.

Cincy+9.5 is the play here. 

I lean Penn State but its not a true away game but there is this.

Top-ranked https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/teams/PURDUE/purdue-boilermakers/ takes on https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/teams/PSU/penn-state-nittany-lions/ on Sunday night at The Palestra in Philadelphia as it plays its third game in less than a week.

appreciate your post Spottie, cashed Delaware , Boston College, and Michigan under from your post. It was a huge recovery. Thank you

This might be a better home court advantage for penn st than their regular home court

@spottie2935

GL Today Spottie!

Great work buddy 

@JBost77

 Thankd for stopping in and giving me some good vibes.  I appreciate you 

This is the last Big 10  game and i need to dig in a bit more but have not had the time as of yet.  I don't think Purdue is a #1 team and they finally covered after 7 misses in a row. Interesting game

I may have a few more I am running late today.  Thanks for the good vibes

Thanks a lot Fazz 

Best wishes today 

adding Iowa +

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=ppo%3Arank%3C%3D5+and+pp%3ADW++and+HF+and+line%3E-8+and+month%3C4&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

Indy-6

Iowa +5.5

Cincy +9.5

See how i do here and may add Penn State later 

indy down 2 starters, should be interesting,  bol td!

Rutgers plays such tough D and has been so good at home while Iowa is overrated

Might be a spot for Rutgers to have a bad day but not worth the play imo

I couldn't bring myself to bet against that Houston team their a machine. I definitely think you got a good shot them being on the road their due for a letdown. 

N western....   winner.   Crap.   Did not know of the down 2 starters for Indy.    

yea i missed on this but I do this because I have success and I fully trust what i look for.  You should post a thread I would love your pre-game thoughts.  You wouldnt even need to post plays just pass along what you know. 

If not I appreciate you stopping in. 

@smellybunty

 I understand but Iowa's Offense can break them down.  Okay this i after the game so my bad for the late response.  My data had them in a bad spot after so many great games.  

lost this one but I got a win so 1-2 at the worst is okay. If I keep my winning pace Cincy covers.  

I just feel like Houston is looking awesome against some catfish type teams. 

where did Wolfeman go???

sorry for your loss.  keep an eye out for him.

23-13