Are you using kenpom data (tempo, # of possessions, off/def ...etc) to analyze your o/u bids because it seems like we have similar results. I am still fairly new and just looking for a system to do total bids for college basketball. Any advice to help me develop a system for totals is greatly appreciated.
0
@WILLY_THA_LURCH
Are you using kenpom data (tempo, # of possessions, off/def ...etc) to analyze your o/u bids because it seems like we have similar results. I am still fairly new and just looking for a system to do total bids for college basketball. Any advice to help me develop a system for totals is greatly appreciated.
i am - seems like its been effective so far but you have to be wary when you get crazy variations in the numbers... some super high tempo high scoring teams really skew my data and have gone WAAAY over my expected total like halfway thru the second half. keep tweaking your formulas and lmk if your picks continue to line up with mine.
interested to see if we've landed on the same method lol
0
@KyleLy92843
i am - seems like its been effective so far but you have to be wary when you get crazy variations in the numbers... some super high tempo high scoring teams really skew my data and have gone WAAAY over my expected total like halfway thru the second half. keep tweaking your formulas and lmk if your picks continue to line up with mine.
interested to see if we've landed on the same method lol
i end up replugging the current line into the equation to get an updated differential. i bet it at 155 but would consider adding .5 unit on since the data tells me the lean is under. if you are going to play a system i think trusting whats in front of you is the move. any $$ pushing the line the opposite direction is creating more value for us. might end up being a loser sometimes but from what ive seen the past few weeks you will still hit at a rate that is quite profitable.
if you are interested in comparing i could email you a copy of my excel sheet.
0
@KyleLy92843
i end up replugging the current line into the equation to get an updated differential. i bet it at 155 but would consider adding .5 unit on since the data tells me the lean is under. if you are going to play a system i think trusting whats in front of you is the move. any $$ pushing the line the opposite direction is creating more value for us. might end up being a loser sometimes but from what ive seen the past few weeks you will still hit at a rate that is quite profitable.
if you are interested in comparing i could email you a copy of my excel sheet.
wellp... big card big loss. took a real beating tonight. looked like we were in for a big night at halftime of the early games but ended up with losers everywhere. bama still pending but also looking like an L.
tomorrow's picks posted in a few hours..need to recover from tonight first
ARK ST / SO MISS - U152.5
STETSON / UNF - U164.5
ODU / APP ST - O127.5
UTSA / FAU - U161.5
N ALABAMA / QUEENS - U153.5
HOUSTON / WVU - O123
UMASS / URI - U155.5
N IOWA / DRAKE - O123
OMAHA / S DAKOTA - U168.5
BAMA / MISS ST - U166
1/29 RECORD: 3-6 (1 PENDING)
OVERALL RECORD: 46-32-2
0
wellp... big card big loss. took a real beating tonight. looked like we were in for a big night at halftime of the early games but ended up with losers everywhere. bama still pending but also looking like an L.
tomorrow's picks posted in a few hours..need to recover from tonight first
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.