YTD (CBB): 97-70-1 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 25-16 ATS)
I guess I don't need to repeat how good of a run I've been on and how long it has lasted. Regression is always possible but if you can imagine I had a losing record a couple months ago you'd realize how solid it has been of late. With that said, today is a new day after hitting 2 out of the 3 big plays last night. Looking to replicate that tonight with more of the same.
Here is what I am playing:
OVER 152 (WESTERN CAROLINA/CHATTANOOGA): Some of these games just have totals that are either way low or way high, and most of these are not in the Power 5 conferences. Like this game, where 5 of Western Carolina's last 6 on the road have gone OVER and 6 of Chattanooga's last 7 at home have gone over. That's usually a solid spot to ride a total that depends on both teams performing.
FORDHAM (+6.5)...BIG PLAY!!!: Usually I find myself going against Fordham but this line is just absurd. The Rams have gone 8-2 ATS in the last 10 vs. the Dukes and have covered 6 out of the last 7. Moreover, they are 5-4 ATS on the road which is really solid given how bad this team usually is. But, being its 2025, they are a tick better than Duquesne this year and getting 6.5 is just way too much imo.
VANDERBILT (+5)...BIG PLAY!!!: AGAIN, just too many points for a team that has an identical record to Kentucky and has gone 6-3-1 ATS over the past 10 played in this series. Even more compelling, they are 8-0 ATS in the last 8 played in Lexington. I'm not sold on Kentucky and I am sold on Vanderbilt. I would take this spot every day of the week.
ILLINOIS-CHICAGO (+10): Yes, I do think Drake is the better team and will win this game. But no, I do not believe they will beat one of the best road teams ATS in Illinois-Chicago by more than 10. UIC is 9-2 ATS away from home and an impressive 4-2 ATS vs. Drake. Just missed a big play but I really like UIC catching double digits.
EAST CAROLINA (+2.5)...BIG PLAY!!!: Also just missed a big play, ECU is 13-3 ATS vs Tulane and I feel the better team. They are also 12-4 SU against Tulane and 5-2-1 ATS on the road.
OVER 139 (MISSOURI STATE/VALPO)
FLORIDA STATE (-8.5): Miami is terrible and horrible in this series. The Seminoles will win this game and they should do so by double digits. The Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS against FSU in Tallahassee, and they will get smoked tonight.
I'm pretty sure that will be it for tonight. A lot of games and I've backed some of the more obscure ones but money is money. I fully expect another great night but encourage everyone to do their own research. There are many people who post plays, know who you follow and the reasoning you are putting money on games. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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