YTD (CBB): 142-112-2 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 39-30 ATS)
SMH...if that Syracuse/SMU game goes to OT as it should have then we go from 7-6 to 9-4 yesterday given it was a BIG PLAY! Really not the way the night was scripted, 9-4 would have been much more in line with what I was expecting. Just too many fringe plays that didn't work out including backing South Carolina who just aren't good. They had every opportunity to close the game and even win on their home court but you could see the lack of quality in their squad as the game started to come down to the wire.
I have one really big play I'm posting now, early, to get it out. I will definitely have a few more plays but I'm honestly going to try and limit how many plays I am taking b/c it's the amount of them that is getting me, not the BIG PLAYS. But, going to come out of the gate hot here...
OVER 154 (MARYLAND/MICHIGAN)...HUGE PLAY!!!: I am putting a good amount of units on this myself. I'm not suggesting anyone else does unless you get behind the analytics and are confident as I am. Michigan has OWNED Maryland over the past handful of years, even creating a poor man's rivalry as tempers have flared and even the coaches have gone against one another. But that was when MD had Mark Turgeon and the Wolverines had Juwan Howard. Both coaches have moved on, as have the programs and I think they are better for it. I TRULY believe that the Terrapins will have that on their minds as entering the Big10 they have no rivals. And, as we know, the Wolverines hardly consider Maryland a rival with Michigan State and Ohio State annual foes. But, the Wolverines are in MUST win here after dropping the game to Michigan State this weekend and I have had very good fortune playing them in games. It is hard to go against Maryland even though they are a paltry 3-7 ATS vs Michigan and 0-5 SU in Ann Arbor. But this is a different MD team and they have the size to compete with Michigan. But they also have the speed and like to play fast on the road, where they have gone 6-3 to the OVER. Michigan has gone over in 9 out of 15 home games and when these teams square off the OVER has come in on 6 out of 9 games played. The total is high, but this years version of the BIG10 doesnt' mind that. My only hiccup is it's an early game but I still see plenty of points in this game, and the potential for a close game with FT's late.
I'm going to handicap other games but this jumped right out and thought I'd post it. Another busy day but hoping everyone is having a strong week. Still irritated at the end of that SMU game last night as I actually watched it happen, but we move forward. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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