COLLEGE BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT SWEET 16 PLAYS (3/29)

I have to first give props to oddsmakers for this years tournament.  Not only has it been challenging, but so many of the spreads have been almost dead on.  As I do this for a living I can attest to this not having been the case in previous years.  I will say, those games that have been lopsided have mostly involved the top teams (UCONN is on another level definitely one of the finalists) and those teams have also played to a lot of OVERS.  In fact, the NCCA Tournament has become devoid of defense outside of those lock down defensive type teams, of which few are left.

MARQUETTE (-7):  I UNLOADED on UCONN last night though I didn't post it.  Very similar thinking as I have here.  Marquette, despite having some closer games than UCONN, were one of the top rated teams before the season began.  The only reason they are not a #1 seed is because their star and Wooden Award nominee, Tyler Kolek, hadn't been playing due to injury and the team took an understandable nosedive.  Since he's returned, he's averaged 19.5 ppg and 11 assists while shooting over 60%.  And it's not like this is some sort of aberration, this is what he's done in the past and why he was a Wooden Award Finalist.  All that said, NC State has been playing incredible basketball. Part of me wants to just root them on but the 7 points is a very very dicey number as it pretty much says FT's at the end of the game.  Marquette has been good from the line but I imagine it would be Kolek handling the ball most and getting to the line at the end of the game.  Both teams here are very well matched, I just think Marquette has been there before and the steam will run out on NCSU.  

OVER 155 (GONZAGA/PURDUE):  Both teams are rolling and scoring more or less at will.  Purdue likes to get it up the floor quickly and Edey is just a monster.  But Gonzaga also has some size to challenge him and, while I think he gets his points, I think Purdue will have to shoot 3's very well tonight (which they usually do at better than 40%) to get past Gonzaga.  I do like Gonzaga and the points but as stated above, the 5-7 range usually depends on FT's.  I just can't see Purdue stopping Gonzaga as they are shooting over 50% from the field.  Add all that up and that the tournament has become in some games a track meet, and I think this stinks of an OVER.  I'm not expecting both teams to get into the 90's but given how evenly matched the two squads really are, the solid coaching on the sidelines, and the amount of players who can hit buckets, I see a very close game that also could rely on FT's, pushing this over the number.

Hoping this helps. I wasn't very good in the conference tournaments but had an awesome year.  I do very much like Houston tonight but expect that game to be very close so those 4.5 points scare me a bit, hence my laying off.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all....

Good luck!

Always great to see you post. Gl tonight 

Good Luck Sir, IN here...

GL on your plays @LAGameofInches

Always appreciate the write-ups 

"I do this for a living."

No.

He's not a professional sports bettor, but he plays one on the internet.

Last week a guy tried to warn the forum about this attention seeking poser. But his followers (and aliases) couldn't challenge the guy's facts so they turned it into a personal attack and called him the usual ill-suited names like "hater" etc.

But the guy was right, and everyone who didn't heed his advice lost money as he lost seven of his last eight plays.

Previous March Madness he hit 27% with about 30 plays given. Yes, he lost 73% of his picks.

It's almost IMPOSSIBLE for anyone to do worse than 27%, but for him it was easy. This year he's 0-4, 0%.

There's a reason why over the years he's been called out for cheating more times by more different posters than anyone else at Covers - because he's a perpetual cheater. His followers are going to want to believe it but it's a fact.

2/14: "My record is 13-8. Today's plays Dayton -23, Yale +4, and Clemson -8."

All three plays lost, and he did what he always does, hid for a few days hoping people would forget. His next post, "My record is 14-10."

Lie: "I'm 19-12." That was the last time he gave his record.

Reality: he was 16-17 and 3-5 on his BIG plays.(but yeah, sure, he does this for a living.)

Want more? There's plenty.

Lie: "I closed out the regular college basketball season on a heater!"

Reality: he lost three of his last four posted plays. Yeah, that's a real scorcher.

Lie: "I wasn't good in the tournaments but I had an awesome year!"

Reality: including the two losses he posted above he's 25-30, 45% for the year, and even worse, 6-10 on his BIG plays, 37%.

His groupies and aliases will claim he made them money in football this year. I'm happy for them, I always like seeing players win and bookies lose. But they didn't play all his picks and as always he cheated on his record throughout the entire season.

This is a guy who had an 0-4 Sunday and his record didn't change. When posters called him out on it he ignored them. When they persisted, he finally relented and replied, "Those plays weren't really mine so I'm not counting them on my record."

Real winners don't have to cheat on their record.

Real winners don't have to boast about picks they never made like, "I made a killing on U Conn last night but didn't give it out here," which he does all the time.

I get it, some bettors don't know how to handicap so they look for someone to follow. But there are guys at covers who really do win, not just pretend to, like this guy. Follow one of them because following this guy is like being a groupie for Spinal Tap.

His cheating isn't intermittent, it's perpetual.

His lying isn't minor, it's pathological. As in:

Post #23, by LAGameofInches: "I am so humble to all who tail me."

Post #24, also by LaGameofInches: "I hate to sound like a beggar but I've been on a torrid run tailing you, do you have anything you like today?"

Post #25, by Hannibal: "I guess he forgot to sign into his second or third nickname to comment in his own thread. But according to him the other post is here are the clowns."

Cold busted using aliases and still denys it, despite it being right here in the forum for everyone to see.

And it still is.

Caveat emptor.

It sounds like lagameofinches has some explaining to do, lol. 

@VeritasAlways

I’ve called this guy out for years. Spot on. The dudes an attention seeking female. His record has always been ass. Now he won’t post til football comes back around. Thank the lord.