Posted:
#1
Mizzou +5
Can you really trust an LSU squad with losses to TEN and URI @ home?! Mizzou has had a weaker schedule and thats about the only positive I can find with this underachieving LSU squad. The value lies with Mizzou, which I have power rated a step high than LSU.
K State +5
Tex coming off their biggest win of the season while K St blew out WVU in what I thought was a let down spot. K St has dominated the series recently and I think that continues today. Tex has a weak home edge and at some point they have to fall back to earth.
Ga Tech +4
I got the bad number but I don't understand the big line move here. BC has been horrible and last year the number was at -4,5 @ BC with virtually the same teams. I understand BC has had one of the toughest schedules in the country but GT is simply the better team right now. Of the 17 matchups between these teams 13 have been decided by <10 and 10 have been decided by <4, including 2 OT.
NW +3.5
I originally passed on this game while doing my research last night, but the big line move has made NW a viable bet catching more than a poss @ home. Purdue has been one of the top road teams in recent memory but its not enough to warrant a big line move. I know NW is coming off a big win but this team has been playing great defense and will give it their all @ home. too much line value to pass up.
BUT +5.5
Providence has proven themselves a viable contender in the BE. I see the teams pretty equal from a power rating perspective but this is more of a situational play for me. Prov coming off their biggest win while Butler got the monkey off their back with their first conference win. Butler has played 6 OT games, 1 shy of tying their season record, so I think they've been a bit unfortunate. I also see a bit of line value, but more importantly, I think a rejuvenated Butler team is catching Providence at the ideal time.
...I know four rd dogs, but these are my strongest plays. GL everybody
Can you really trust an LSU squad with losses to TEN and URI @ home?! Mizzou has had a weaker schedule and thats about the only positive I can find with this underachieving LSU squad. The value lies with Mizzou, which I have power rated a step high than LSU.
K State +5
Tex coming off their biggest win of the season while K St blew out WVU in what I thought was a let down spot. K St has dominated the series recently and I think that continues today. Tex has a weak home edge and at some point they have to fall back to earth.
Ga Tech +4
I got the bad number but I don't understand the big line move here. BC has been horrible and last year the number was at -4,5 @ BC with virtually the same teams. I understand BC has had one of the toughest schedules in the country but GT is simply the better team right now. Of the 17 matchups between these teams 13 have been decided by <10 and 10 have been decided by <4, including 2 OT.
NW +3.5
I originally passed on this game while doing my research last night, but the big line move has made NW a viable bet catching more than a poss @ home. Purdue has been one of the top road teams in recent memory but its not enough to warrant a big line move. I know NW is coming off a big win but this team has been playing great defense and will give it their all @ home. too much line value to pass up.
BUT +5.5
Providence has proven themselves a viable contender in the BE. I see the teams pretty equal from a power rating perspective but this is more of a situational play for me. Prov coming off their biggest win while Butler got the monkey off their back with their first conference win. Butler has played 6 OT games, 1 shy of tying their season record, so I think they've been a bit unfortunate. I also see a bit of line value, but more importantly, I think a rejuvenated Butler team is catching Providence at the ideal time.
...I know four rd dogs, but these are my strongest plays. GL everybody
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