2-2 YTD (-3.5 units)
Lost big play on AFA/Colorado Under last week because of OT.
Colorado v. Georgia - This is a great spot for Colorado. They are riding a 25 game non conference home winning streak. They are back at home for the first time since the season opener and they are riding a two game winning streak. Georgia is on the backend of a four game stretch away from home and they are playing their 4th game in 8 days. Colorado is also playing with revenge after losing to Georgia in Athens last year.
Georgia is pretty solid on the defensive end but they are awful as an offensive team. They rank 283rd in 3point% and they aren't much better inside the arc (247th in 2 point%). Their effective FG% rank is 285th and they don't get very many second looks (204th in offensive reb %). It is very tough to win on the road when you have scoring droughts and that is what I see happening in Boulder tonight.
Colorado is as bad on defense as Georgia is on offense. The one thing they have done a decent job at is holding their opponents off the offensive glass (123rd in offensive reb % as a defensive team). I do think we have a spot where Colorado has fresher legs and we should get a lot better effort on the defensive end. Colorado is making over 38% from three (65th) and over 50% from inside the arc (92nd). They are 58th in effective FG%.
I feel like Colorado will have a few good spurts on the offensive end that will allow them to pull away from Georgia and eventually win the game comfortably. One other thing to keep in mind is that Georgia has a game at home with Cincinnati on Friday in the SEC/Big East Challenge and could be looking forward to getting back at home and playing a solid opponent.
I will take the team with revenge and the team with fresher legs over the one who has lost 2 of 3 and playing their 4th game away from home in 8 days.
Colorado -3 for 2 units
Good Luck!
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