ETSU @ WCU Discussion

ETSU (-1.5, 146.5) @ WCU for our 4PM showdown before the relevant games kick in.

The 'zig-zag' or splitting of series between two teams with similar strength doesn't seem to hold true in the Southern conference. 

Home dogs are 27-57 (32%) ATS going for same season revenge - figure drops to 9-25 (27%) when its within a 5 point spread. 

Most trends are pure noise and this is probably true for this one, but interesting to note. Haven't seen much of either team.

Any thoughts?

It was the first game I looked at, I'll have to look at my detailed notes, but I bet ETSU -1.5

This is a class drop- If you look at the last 5, ETSU did pretty good while I think WCU woulda got stomped by those squads

WCU does a really good job of putting pressure on defenses by driving to the hoop.  They get to the free throw line quite a bit and like Cannons said, ETSU shouldn't have any issues getting points of their own.  I'm on the over. 

I took over. 12/30 they scored 164. W.car Hightower in last 4 games avg 15ppg that weren’t there beginning of the yr.

It’s scary when we all jump on the same play . 
For me over 146 .

Good luck to us .

Bandit 

WCU had a long lay off due to COVID prior to their last game against Samford. They found themselves down 20 at half. Fought all the way back before eventually losing by 4.

They may still have some rust to knock off getting their legs back but this is a team I have had my eye on all season and they are extremely talented.

This will no doubt be a very good game! 

WCU is 0-3 in conference, ESTU is contending for the top spot- I like only giving 1.5

@BlackCannons - think that makes sense. I've noticed ETSU comes out solid on the road.

@The Land / StL - interesting thoughts on WCU's dribble drive attack. They play up-and-down it seems so the long layoff and conditioning might hurt them. Their only win has been against Charleston who are a 1 man attack with Fleming (and a terrible squad) 

Think the more I look at ETSU with their new head coach, the more it looks like they've been solid and have competed with the Furmans of the world. 

Going to see if the line moves in the next hour or so - strong lean ETSU -1.5

I just did this in addition to the -1.5 for the game..

ETSU ML First Half -120

Something is telling me WCU gets the job done today. Desperate team right now, and they are a solid team. 

I’ll take the home team. 

For Over backers, interesting to note how ETSU has fared in 1H against up-tempo teams [cbf to get possession data]. 

Seems like they hang in there and go punch for punch while against lower-paced teams, they struggle (Furman, UAB to name a couple)

VMI (89th in tempo): 36 - 39 

WCU (63rd): 38 - 33 

Alabama (12th): 35 - 36 

Going to back the 1H total O69 and choose a 2H play based on how they look - BOL ALL 

Take WCU. They will win this game. 

Gonna be a tough first half to overcome for us over bettors.  Good luck to the others. 

I liked how ETSU came out after the first timeout at 12 minutes. Hoping they fall behind a bit more so I can play them 2H. Getting much cleaner looks in the halfcourt than WCU (with much more dynamic shot creators in the semi transition)

Good talks folks - hope ya'll enjoyed the brickfest and the ETSU 2H / FG cover