8-6 Tournament record. 2 plays for now in the Sweet 16:
BYU +5
Line just fell from 4.5 to 5 and jumping on it. Alabama D is 352/364 in Turnover %. BYU is also better on the glass on both ends. We will see a lot of points in this one and with Bamas low % in forced turnovers, I’m comfortable with BYU being in this one until the end.
Arizona +9
Zona has a top 15 offense and top 30 D. Duke has not played an opponent since December that is inside top 20 in O and top 30 in D (Auburn). While Duke’s numbers look awesome, they’re largely untested against this caliber of opponent. Zona getting 9 here is thus a high probability play for me.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
8-6 Tournament record. 2 plays for now in the Sweet 16:
BYU +5
Line just fell from 4.5 to 5 and jumping on it. Alabama D is 352/364 in Turnover %. BYU is also better on the glass on both ends. We will see a lot of points in this one and with Bamas low % in forced turnovers, I’m comfortable with BYU being in this one until the end.
Arizona +9
Zona has a top 15 offense and top 30 D. Duke has not played an opponent since December that is inside top 20 in O and top 30 in D (Auburn). While Duke’s numbers look awesome, they’re largely untested against this caliber of opponent. Zona getting 9 here is thus a high probability play for me.
Just some insight on Alabama from a guy who has watched their play all year. But something changed with philosophy and they are getting the big guys way more involved Nelson Diaboute and Sherrill are all 6-11 and Diaboute has picked up his game too. Of the significant minute guys for BYU one is 6-9 the rest are in the 6-5 to 6-7 range. Both teams can shoot the 3. I’m just saying from what I’ve seen from Bama in the last 2 weeks point production and rebounds have gone up significantly.
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Just some insight on Alabama from a guy who has watched their play all year. But something changed with philosophy and they are getting the big guys way more involved Nelson Diaboute and Sherrill are all 6-11 and Diaboute has picked up his game too. Of the significant minute guys for BYU one is 6-9 the rest are in the 6-5 to 6-7 range. Both teams can shoot the 3. I’m just saying from what I’ve seen from Bama in the last 2 weeks point production and rebounds have gone up significantly.
Below is Ole Miss results in road and neutral court games against teams top 20 in Defensive Effective FG % (MSU is top 15):
Auburn: L by 5
Florida: L by 15
Auburn: L by 30
Minimal sample but Ole Miss offensive Effective FG % is 134/364 and they have not performed against defenses that don’t allow easy looks. Izzo knows this and I expect Sparty to lock down the Rebel O.
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MSU -3.5
Below is Ole Miss results in road and neutral court games against teams top 20 in Defensive Effective FG % (MSU is top 15):
Auburn: L by 5
Florida: L by 15
Auburn: L by 30
Minimal sample but Ole Miss offensive Effective FG % is 134/364 and they have not performed against defenses that don’t allow easy looks. Izzo knows this and I expect Sparty to lock down the Rebel O.
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