I have a feeling that GB doesn’t just cover, but they win this game outright. But I do not wager on feelings, especially for a team that is 2-23. But I found something else that sticks out in the TT. NKU has allowed opponents to go over this total in 12 straight. For as terrible as Green Bay is, they play with tempo (adj. tempo and possession length are both in top 40% of D1). GB shoots FT at 78.8% (12th of 364). They’re 97/364 in 2 PT % - these are numbers you wouldn’t expect from a team that can’t win a game. However: NKU is 290/364 in 2 PT FG allowed. GB just scored 74 at Purdue FTW. Their Freshman guard Jeremiah Johnson is starting to play very well (and shooting over 60% the last 3 games). They have another young player named Marcus Hall that is a 6’6” wing and can score. This is a team I think we will get some value with in their totals or spread the rest of season, as the early metrics were so bad, the oddsmakers haven’t caught up to the recent improvements.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Tough 1-2 day yesterday. YTD 24-26-2
Green Bay TT O 67.5
I have a feeling that GB doesn’t just cover, but they win this game outright. But I do not wager on feelings, especially for a team that is 2-23. But I found something else that sticks out in the TT. NKU has allowed opponents to go over this total in 12 straight. For as terrible as Green Bay is, they play with tempo (adj. tempo and possession length are both in top 40% of D1). GB shoots FT at 78.8% (12th of 364). They’re 97/364 in 2 PT % - these are numbers you wouldn’t expect from a team that can’t win a game. However: NKU is 290/364 in 2 PT FG allowed. GB just scored 74 at Purdue FTW. Their Freshman guard Jeremiah Johnson is starting to play very well (and shooting over 60% the last 3 games). They have another young player named Marcus Hall that is a 6’6” wing and can score. This is a team I think we will get some value with in their totals or spread the rest of season, as the early metrics were so bad, the oddsmakers haven’t caught up to the recent improvements.
Tough 1-2 day yesterday. YTD 24-26-2 Green Bay TT O 67.5 I have a feeling that GB doesn’t just cover, but they win this game outright. But I do not wager on feelings, especially for a team that is 2-23. But I found something else that sticks out in the TT. NKU has allowed opponents to go over this total in 12 straight. For as terrible as Green Bay is, they play with tempo (adj. tempo and possession length are both in top 40% of D1). GB shoots FT at 78.8% (12th of 364). They’re 97/364 in 2 PT % - these are numbers you wouldn’t expect from a team that can’t win a game. However: NKU is 290/364 in 2 PT FG allowed. GB just scored 74 at Purdue FTW. Their Freshman guard Jeremiah Johnson is starting to play very well (and shooting over 60% the last 3 games). They have another young player named Marcus Hall that is a 6’6” wing and can score. This is a team I think we will get some value with in their totals or spread the rest of season, as the early metrics were so bad, the oddsmakers haven’t caught up to the recent improvements.
GB turnover the ball a lot and NKU defense creates a lot of turnover. I think GB will turn it over 14+ this game. GB defense is horrible, even at home. Kenpom predicts a total precession of 66. I think NKU will lead the whole game and set the tempo to around 64 precession. Last time they played ... it was only a 62 precession game with NKUholding GB to 60 points.
BOL ... I have NKU winning by double digits.
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Quote Originally Posted by Floridaman:
Tough 1-2 day yesterday. YTD 24-26-2 Green Bay TT O 67.5 I have a feeling that GB doesn’t just cover, but they win this game outright. But I do not wager on feelings, especially for a team that is 2-23. But I found something else that sticks out in the TT. NKU has allowed opponents to go over this total in 12 straight. For as terrible as Green Bay is, they play with tempo (adj. tempo and possession length are both in top 40% of D1). GB shoots FT at 78.8% (12th of 364). They’re 97/364 in 2 PT % - these are numbers you wouldn’t expect from a team that can’t win a game. However: NKU is 290/364 in 2 PT FG allowed. GB just scored 74 at Purdue FTW. Their Freshman guard Jeremiah Johnson is starting to play very well (and shooting over 60% the last 3 games). They have another young player named Marcus Hall that is a 6’6” wing and can score. This is a team I think we will get some value with in their totals or spread the rest of season, as the early metrics were so bad, the oddsmakers haven’t caught up to the recent improvements.
GB turnover the ball a lot and NKU defense creates a lot of turnover. I think GB will turn it over 14+ this game. GB defense is horrible, even at home. Kenpom predicts a total precession of 66. I think NKU will lead the whole game and set the tempo to around 64 precession. Last time they played ... it was only a 62 precession game with NKUholding GB to 60 points.
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