Friday’s games Northwestern-Florida Atlantic Northwestern is in NCAA’s for 2nd year in row, 3rd time in 8 years; they went 10-2 outside the Big 14, with a #355 non-conference strength of schedule.
FAU was in the Final Four LY, as a #9-seed; they have wins this year over Arizona, Texas A&M and Virginia Tech- they lost 98-89 to Illinois.
Colgate-Baylor Last 10 years, Patriot League teams are 4-6 ATS in first round games; Colgate went 2-2 ATS the last four years, with losses by 7-17-7-20 points.
Since 2016, Baylor is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in first round games.
Alabama-Birmingham-San Diego State UAB won its last five games; they’re only in because they won the AAC Tournament. Blazers are 8-6 vs top 100 teams this season.
San Diego State lost the national title game LY, after losing in first round the first two years before that.
Western Kentucky-Marquette Hilltoppers play the fastest tempo of any team in country; they won the C-USA Tournament, after losing their last four regular season games. WKU split two games with #95 Louisiana Tech, the best team they played this season.
Marquette’s star G Kolek (oblique) missed the last six games, which Marquette split. Shaka Smart got VCU to the Final Four in 2011; since 2014, he is 1-6 in first round games (beat Vermont 78-61 last year).
Stetson-UConn Stetson (Jacob deGrom’s alma mater) is in NCAA’s for first time. Over last 10 years, A-SUN teams are 4-6 SU/7-3 ATS in first round games.
UConn won national title last year, after losing in first round the first two years before that. Last six years, #1-seeds are 10-14 ATS in first round games.
New Mexico-Clemson New Mexico allowed 76+ points in seven of its eight losses. Last eight years, underdogs are 18-14 ATS in first round games between #6-11 seeds.
Clemson lost three of its last four games; since 1998, Tigers are 1-6 SU in first round games.
Yale-Auburn Yale was down 6 with 0:27 left Sunday, rallied to pull out the win and the Ivy League title. Bulldogs are in NCAA’s for third time in five years; since 2010, Ivy League teams are 9-3 ATS in first round games.
Auburn won its last six games, five of them by 14+ points; in his career, Bruce Pearl is 8-4 SU/5-7 ATS in first round games, 3-7 as a favorite.
Friday’s games Northwestern-Florida Atlantic Northwestern is in NCAA’s for 2nd year in row, 3rd time in 8 years; they went 10-2 outside the Big 14, with a #355 non-conference strength of schedule.
FAU was in the Final Four LY, as a #9-seed; they have wins this year over Arizona, Texas A&M and Virginia Tech- they lost 98-89 to Illinois.
Colgate-Baylor Last 10 years, Patriot League teams are 4-6 ATS in first round games; Colgate went 2-2 ATS the last four years, with losses by 7-17-7-20 points.
Since 2016, Baylor is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in first round games.
Alabama-Birmingham-San Diego State UAB won its last five games; they’re only in because they won the AAC Tournament. Blazers are 8-6 vs top 100 teams this season.
San Diego State lost the national title game LY, after losing in first round the first two years before that.
Western Kentucky-Marquette Hilltoppers play the fastest tempo of any team in country; they won the C-USA Tournament, after losing their last four regular season games. WKU split two games with #95 Louisiana Tech, the best team they played this season.
Marquette’s star G Kolek (oblique) missed the last six games, which Marquette split. Shaka Smart got VCU to the Final Four in 2011; since 2014, he is 1-6 in first round games (beat Vermont 78-61 last year).
Stetson-UConn Stetson (Jacob deGrom’s alma mater) is in NCAA’s for first time. Over last 10 years, A-SUN teams are 4-6 SU/7-3 ATS in first round games.
UConn won national title last year, after losing in first round the first two years before that. Last six years, #1-seeds are 10-14 ATS in first round games.
New Mexico-Clemson New Mexico allowed 76+ points in seven of its eight losses. Last eight years, underdogs are 18-14 ATS in first round games between #6-11 seeds.
Clemson lost three of its last four games; since 1998, Tigers are 1-6 SU in first round games.
Yale-Auburn Yale was down 6 with 0:27 left Sunday, rallied to pull out the win and the Ivy League title. Bulldogs are in NCAA’s for third time in five years; since 2010, Ivy League teams are 9-3 ATS in first round games.
Auburn won its last six games, five of them by 14+ points; in his career, Bruce Pearl is 8-4 SU/5-7 ATS in first round games, 3-7 as a favorite.
Texas A&M-Nebraska Aggies have #345 eFG% in country; they’re #1 in country on offensive boards. A&M won five of its last six games, after an 0-5 skid.
Nebraska has #15 eFG% defense in country.
This year, SEC teams are 9-4 SU/ATS against Big 14 opponents.
Vermont-Duke Vermont is in NCAA’s for 5th time in last seven tournaments; they went 2-2 ATS in previous four NCAA games.
Duke is 4-2-1 ATS in its last seven 1st round games. Last five years, #4-seeds are 6-14 ATS in first round games.
Charleston-Alabama Charleston won its last 12 games; LY, they had won 10 in row before losing 63-57 to San Diego State in first round. CAA teams lost their last 10 first-round games (0-4 ATS last four).
Alabama lost four of its last six games, giving up 100+ points three times.
Early total on this game is 171.5; Alabama plays pace #9, Charleston #59.
Longwood-Houston Big South teams haven’t won a first round game since 2007 (Winthrop); since 2008, they’re 4-9 ATS in this round. Longwood went 6-10 in Big South this year; they played #344 non-conference schedule.
Houston has #2 eFG% defense in country; they’re #13 team on offensive boards.
James Madison-Wisconsin Dukes won their last 13 games, longest current win streak in country; they’ve got #24 eFG% defense, #34 eFG%, but that was against schedule #293.
Under Gard, Wisconsin is 4-1 SU/ATS in first round games. Badgers went 3-1 in Big 14 tournament, after losing 8 of last 11 regular season games.
TCU-Utah State TCU won first round games last two years, 69-42/72-70. Horned Frogs are forcing turnovers 20.8% of time (#22); they’re #20 team on offensive boards.
Utah State won six of its last seven games; they’re 12-1 out of conference, vs schedule #141. Aggies were in three of last four NCAA’s, but lost in first round all three times.
Grand Canyon-Saint Mary’s Grand Canyon is in NCAA’s for 3rd time in four years; they lost other two games, by 12 points each. Antelopes have #10 eFG% defense in country. WAC teams are 4-2 SU/6-0 ATS against WCC opponents, but none of games were against Gonzaga/Saint Mary’s.
Saint Mary’s is best rebounding team in country; since 2017, Gaels are 3-1 in first round games, winning last two years in first round, by 29-12 points.
Texas A&M-Nebraska Aggies have #345 eFG% in country; they’re #1 in country on offensive boards. A&M won five of its last six games, after an 0-5 skid.
Nebraska has #15 eFG% defense in country.
This year, SEC teams are 9-4 SU/ATS against Big 14 opponents.
Vermont-Duke Vermont is in NCAA’s for 5th time in last seven tournaments; they went 2-2 ATS in previous four NCAA games.
Duke is 4-2-1 ATS in its last seven 1st round games. Last five years, #4-seeds are 6-14 ATS in first round games.
Charleston-Alabama Charleston won its last 12 games; LY, they had won 10 in row before losing 63-57 to San Diego State in first round. CAA teams lost their last 10 first-round games (0-4 ATS last four).
Alabama lost four of its last six games, giving up 100+ points three times.
Early total on this game is 171.5; Alabama plays pace #9, Charleston #59.
Longwood-Houston Big South teams haven’t won a first round game since 2007 (Winthrop); since 2008, they’re 4-9 ATS in this round. Longwood went 6-10 in Big South this year; they played #344 non-conference schedule.
Houston has #2 eFG% defense in country; they’re #13 team on offensive boards.
James Madison-Wisconsin Dukes won their last 13 games, longest current win streak in country; they’ve got #24 eFG% defense, #34 eFG%, but that was against schedule #293.
Under Gard, Wisconsin is 4-1 SU/ATS in first round games. Badgers went 3-1 in Big 14 tournament, after losing 8 of last 11 regular season games.
TCU-Utah State TCU won first round games last two years, 69-42/72-70. Horned Frogs are forcing turnovers 20.8% of time (#22); they’re #20 team on offensive boards.
Utah State won six of its last seven games; they’re 12-1 out of conference, vs schedule #141. Aggies were in three of last four NCAA’s, but lost in first round all three times.
Grand Canyon-Saint Mary’s Grand Canyon is in NCAA’s for 3rd time in four years; they lost other two games, by 12 points each. Antelopes have #10 eFG% defense in country. WAC teams are 4-2 SU/6-0 ATS against WCC opponents, but none of games were against Gonzaga/Saint Mary’s.
Saint Mary’s is best rebounding team in country; since 2017, Gaels are 3-1 in first round games, winning last two years in first round, by 29-12 points.
Friday’s games Day games Northwestern vs Florida Atlantic (-2.5) (@ Brooklyn, NY) Northwestern (21-11) ranked #46 by KenPom Tempo: #32 Experience: #53 Continuity: #76 Northwestern lost three of its last four games. Wildcats are shooting 39.4% on the arc (#4) Northwestern has #249 eFG% defense in country. Wildcats are 11-7 vs top 100 teams. Northwestern is in non-conference games Northwestern is 9-7 in games decided by 7 or less points. Northwestern’s schedule, to this point: #49 bench minutes: #303 Northwestern is in NCAA’s for 2nd year in row, after making it once the previous 25 years.
Florida Atlantic (25-8) ranked #41 by KenPom Tempo: #138 Experience: #43 Continuity: #1 FAU won four of its last five games. Owls are shooting 56% inside the arc (#17) FAU is #42 team on offensive boards. FAU is 10-3 in non-conference games (NC SOS #40) Owls are 11-3 vs top 100 teams. FAU is 10-6 in games decided by 7 or less points. FAU’s schedule, to this point: #93 bench minutes: #151 FAU made Final Four LY; their previous NCAA’s was in 2002.
AAC/Big 14 split their six meetings this season SU/ATS
Colgate vs Baylor (-13.5) (@ Memphis) Colgate (25-9) ranked #145 by KenPom Tempo: #253 Experience: #151 Continuity: #23 Colgate won five in row, 17 of last 18 games. Colgate allowed 60.4 ppg in its last five games. Red Raiders have #31 eFG% defense in country. Colgate is #19 team on defensive boards. Red Raiders are 3-6 against top 200 teams. Colgate’s schedule, to this point: #340 bench minutes: #59 Last six years, Patriot League teams are 0-6 SU/4-2 ATS in this round. Colgate is in NCAA’s for 5th year in row (2-2 SU/ATS previous four)
Baylor (23-10) ranked #14 by KenPom Tempo: #281 Experience: #89 Continuity: #236 Baylor split its last eight games. Bears are 10-2 in their D-I non-conference games. Baylor has #16 eFG% in country. Opponents are shooting 51.9% inside arc (#245) Bears are 9-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #1 bench minutes: #302 Baylor is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five first round games.
Last four years, #3-seeds are 10-6 ATS vs #14-seeds.
Friday’s games Day games Northwestern vs Florida Atlantic (-2.5) (@ Brooklyn, NY) Northwestern (21-11) ranked #46 by KenPom Tempo: #32 Experience: #53 Continuity: #76 Northwestern lost three of its last four games. Wildcats are shooting 39.4% on the arc (#4) Northwestern has #249 eFG% defense in country. Wildcats are 11-7 vs top 100 teams. Northwestern is in non-conference games Northwestern is 9-7 in games decided by 7 or less points. Northwestern’s schedule, to this point: #49 bench minutes: #303 Northwestern is in NCAA’s for 2nd year in row, after making it once the previous 25 years.
Florida Atlantic (25-8) ranked #41 by KenPom Tempo: #138 Experience: #43 Continuity: #1 FAU won four of its last five games. Owls are shooting 56% inside the arc (#17) FAU is #42 team on offensive boards. FAU is 10-3 in non-conference games (NC SOS #40) Owls are 11-3 vs top 100 teams. FAU is 10-6 in games decided by 7 or less points. FAU’s schedule, to this point: #93 bench minutes: #151 FAU made Final Four LY; their previous NCAA’s was in 2002.
AAC/Big 14 split their six meetings this season SU/ATS
Colgate vs Baylor (-13.5) (@ Memphis) Colgate (25-9) ranked #145 by KenPom Tempo: #253 Experience: #151 Continuity: #23 Colgate won five in row, 17 of last 18 games. Colgate allowed 60.4 ppg in its last five games. Red Raiders have #31 eFG% defense in country. Colgate is #19 team on defensive boards. Red Raiders are 3-6 against top 200 teams. Colgate’s schedule, to this point: #340 bench minutes: #59 Last six years, Patriot League teams are 0-6 SU/4-2 ATS in this round. Colgate is in NCAA’s for 5th year in row (2-2 SU/ATS previous four)
Baylor (23-10) ranked #14 by KenPom Tempo: #281 Experience: #89 Continuity: #236 Baylor split its last eight games. Bears are 10-2 in their D-I non-conference games. Baylor has #16 eFG% in country. Opponents are shooting 51.9% inside arc (#245) Bears are 9-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #1 bench minutes: #302 Baylor is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five first round games.
Last four years, #3-seeds are 10-6 ATS vs #14-seeds.
San Diego State (-6.5) vs UAB (@ Spokane) San Diego State (24-10) ranked #21 by KenPom Tempo: #266 Experience: #44 Continuity: #118 San Diego State lost three of its last five games. Aztecs’ last four losses were all by 5 or less points. Aztecs have #33 eFG% defense in country. San Diego State is 9-2 in D-I non-conference games. Aztecs are 14-10 against top 125 teams. San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #25 bench minutes: #212 San Diego State lost the national title game LY; before that, they had lost their last three first round games.
UAB (23-11) ranked #106 by KenPom Tempo: #153 Experience: #221 Continuity: #242 UAB won its last five games. Blazers are 7-5 in their D-I non-conference games. UAB is #22 team on offensive boards. Blazers get 23.1% of points on foul line (#23) Blazers are 9-6 vs teams ranked in top 100. UAB’s schedule, to this point: #98 bench minutes: #269 UAB coach Kennedy is 1-2 in first round games. Blazers are in NCAA’s for second time in three years.
Mountain West teams won both their games vs AAC teams TY. Last three years, favorites are 8-4 ATS in #5-12 seed first round games.
Western Kentucky vs Marquette (-14.5) (@ Indianapolis) Western Kentucky (22-11) ranked #132 by KenPom Tempo: #1 Experience: #264 Continuity: #308 Hilltoppers won C-USA Tournament to get here. WKU had lost its last four regular season games. Hilltoppers have #67 eFG% defense in country. WKU plays fastest-tempo games in country. Hilltoppers are 8-3 in D-I non-league games. WKU’s schedule, to this point: #243 bench minutes: #29 WKU is in NCAA’s for first time since 2013. Last eight years, C-USA teams are 6-2 SU/ATS in this round.
Marquette (23-10) ranked #14 by KenPom Tempo: #281 Experience: #89 Continuity: #236 Marquette’s star G Kolek (oblique) is expected back here. Marquette split the last six games, with Kolek out. Eagles are forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#20) Marquette is shooting 56% inside arc (#16) Eagles are 8-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Marquette’s schedule, to this point: #7 bench minutes: #176 Marquette lost three of last four first round games. Shaka Smart made Final Four in 2011, but is 1-6 in his last seven first round games.
Last four years, #3-seeds are 10-6 ATS vs #14-seeds.
Stetson vs UConn (-26.5) (@ Brooklyn, NY) Stetson (22-12) ranked #218 by KenPom Tempo: #257 Experience: #192 Continuity: #101 Stetson won nine of its last 11 games. Hatters have #266 eFG% defense in country. Stetson is shooting 36.5% on the arc (#37) Stetson is #300 team on defensive boards. Hatters are 5-6 in D-I non-league games. Hatters are 3-4 against top 200 teams. Stetson’s schedule, to this point: #267 bench minutes: #335 Stetson is in NCAA’s for the first time. A-SUN teams are 6-2 ATS in last eight first round games.
San Diego State (-6.5) vs UAB (@ Spokane) San Diego State (24-10) ranked #21 by KenPom Tempo: #266 Experience: #44 Continuity: #118 San Diego State lost three of its last five games. Aztecs’ last four losses were all by 5 or less points. Aztecs have #33 eFG% defense in country. San Diego State is 9-2 in D-I non-conference games. Aztecs are 14-10 against top 125 teams. San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #25 bench minutes: #212 San Diego State lost the national title game LY; before that, they had lost their last three first round games.
UAB (23-11) ranked #106 by KenPom Tempo: #153 Experience: #221 Continuity: #242 UAB won its last five games. Blazers are 7-5 in their D-I non-conference games. UAB is #22 team on offensive boards. Blazers get 23.1% of points on foul line (#23) Blazers are 9-6 vs teams ranked in top 100. UAB’s schedule, to this point: #98 bench minutes: #269 UAB coach Kennedy is 1-2 in first round games. Blazers are in NCAA’s for second time in three years.
Mountain West teams won both their games vs AAC teams TY. Last three years, favorites are 8-4 ATS in #5-12 seed first round games.
Western Kentucky vs Marquette (-14.5) (@ Indianapolis) Western Kentucky (22-11) ranked #132 by KenPom Tempo: #1 Experience: #264 Continuity: #308 Hilltoppers won C-USA Tournament to get here. WKU had lost its last four regular season games. Hilltoppers have #67 eFG% defense in country. WKU plays fastest-tempo games in country. Hilltoppers are 8-3 in D-I non-league games. WKU’s schedule, to this point: #243 bench minutes: #29 WKU is in NCAA’s for first time since 2013. Last eight years, C-USA teams are 6-2 SU/ATS in this round.
Marquette (23-10) ranked #14 by KenPom Tempo: #281 Experience: #89 Continuity: #236 Marquette’s star G Kolek (oblique) is expected back here. Marquette split the last six games, with Kolek out. Eagles are forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#20) Marquette is shooting 56% inside arc (#16) Eagles are 8-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Marquette’s schedule, to this point: #7 bench minutes: #176 Marquette lost three of last four first round games. Shaka Smart made Final Four in 2011, but is 1-6 in his last seven first round games.
Last four years, #3-seeds are 10-6 ATS vs #14-seeds.
Stetson vs UConn (-26.5) (@ Brooklyn, NY) Stetson (22-12) ranked #218 by KenPom Tempo: #257 Experience: #192 Continuity: #101 Stetson won nine of its last 11 games. Hatters have #266 eFG% defense in country. Stetson is shooting 36.5% on the arc (#37) Stetson is #300 team on defensive boards. Hatters are 5-6 in D-I non-league games. Hatters are 3-4 against top 200 teams. Stetson’s schedule, to this point: #267 bench minutes: #335 Stetson is in NCAA’s for the first time. A-SUN teams are 6-2 ATS in last eight first round games.
UConn (31-3) ranked #1 by KenPom Tempo: #329 Experience: #69 Continuity: #149 UConn won seven in row, 21 of last 22 games. Huskies won the national title last year. UConn has #6 eFG% in country, #4 eFG% defense. Opponents are #15 team on offensive boards. Huskies are 10-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. UConn’s schedule, to this point: #34 bench minutes: #227 Under Hurley, UConn is 1-2 first round games.
Last four years, #1-seeds are 6-10 ATS in first round.
New Mexico (-2.5) vs Clemson (@ Memphis) New Mexico (26-9) ranked #23 by KenPom Tempo: #8 Experience: #41 Continuity: #214 New Mexico won MW tourney last week, to get here. Lobos were 4-6 SU in last 10 regular season games. Lobos have #57 eFG% defense in country. New Mexico is #50 team on offensive boards. Lobos are 8-6 against top 50 teams. New Mexico’s schedule, to this point: #85 bench minutes: #140 New Mexico is in NCAA’s for first time since 2014.
Clemson (23-10) ranked #34 by KenPom Tempo: #260 Experience: #27 Continuity: #63 Clemson lost three of its last four games. Tigers are shooting 54.5% inside arc (#37) Opponents are shooting 47.1% inside arc (#49) Clemson is 10-1 in non-conference games. Tigers are 7-3 vs teams ranked in top 50. Clemson’s schedule, to this point: #41 bench minutes: #236 Tigers are in NCAA’s for third time in last seven years. Since 1998, Clemson is 1-6 in first round games (1-2 under Brownell).
Last eight years, underdogs are 18-14 ATS in #6-11 seed games.
Yale vs Auburn (-13.5) (@ Spokane) Yale (22-9) ranked #84 by KenPom Tempo: #327 Experience: #235 Continuity: #21 Yale has won five of its last six games. Bulldogs are 3-3 ATS as an underdog this year. Yale is #18 team in country protecting the ball. Yale is #13 team on defensive boards. Bulldogs are 1-3 against top 100 teams. Yale is 9-6 in non-conference games (NC schedule #61) Yale lost 86-71 at Gonzaga, 75-60 at Kansas. Yale’s schedule, to this point: #127 bench minutes: #322 Yale is in NCAA’s for third time in last five years. Last 12 years, Ivy League teams are 9-3 ATS in this round.
Auburn (27-7) ranked #4 by KenPom Tempo: #58 Experience: #119 Continuity: #78 Auburn won its last six games, scoring 84 ppg. Tigers are 11-2 in their non-conference games. Auburn has #1 eFG% defense in country. Opponents are shooting 42.8% inside arc (#1) Tigers are 15-7 vs teams ranked in top 100. Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #53 bench minutes: #8 Auburn won its last seven first round games (2-2 ATS under Pearl)
Auburn beat Yale 86-64 at home, two years ago. Last five years, #4-seeds are 6-14 ATS in first round. 14 of the last 15 years, a #4-seed lost in the first round.
UConn (31-3) ranked #1 by KenPom Tempo: #329 Experience: #69 Continuity: #149 UConn won seven in row, 21 of last 22 games. Huskies won the national title last year. UConn has #6 eFG% in country, #4 eFG% defense. Opponents are #15 team on offensive boards. Huskies are 10-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. UConn’s schedule, to this point: #34 bench minutes: #227 Under Hurley, UConn is 1-2 first round games.
Last four years, #1-seeds are 6-10 ATS in first round.
New Mexico (-2.5) vs Clemson (@ Memphis) New Mexico (26-9) ranked #23 by KenPom Tempo: #8 Experience: #41 Continuity: #214 New Mexico won MW tourney last week, to get here. Lobos were 4-6 SU in last 10 regular season games. Lobos have #57 eFG% defense in country. New Mexico is #50 team on offensive boards. Lobos are 8-6 against top 50 teams. New Mexico’s schedule, to this point: #85 bench minutes: #140 New Mexico is in NCAA’s for first time since 2014.
Clemson (23-10) ranked #34 by KenPom Tempo: #260 Experience: #27 Continuity: #63 Clemson lost three of its last four games. Tigers are shooting 54.5% inside arc (#37) Opponents are shooting 47.1% inside arc (#49) Clemson is 10-1 in non-conference games. Tigers are 7-3 vs teams ranked in top 50. Clemson’s schedule, to this point: #41 bench minutes: #236 Tigers are in NCAA’s for third time in last seven years. Since 1998, Clemson is 1-6 in first round games (1-2 under Brownell).
Last eight years, underdogs are 18-14 ATS in #6-11 seed games.
Yale vs Auburn (-13.5) (@ Spokane) Yale (22-9) ranked #84 by KenPom Tempo: #327 Experience: #235 Continuity: #21 Yale has won five of its last six games. Bulldogs are 3-3 ATS as an underdog this year. Yale is #18 team in country protecting the ball. Yale is #13 team on defensive boards. Bulldogs are 1-3 against top 100 teams. Yale is 9-6 in non-conference games (NC schedule #61) Yale lost 86-71 at Gonzaga, 75-60 at Kansas. Yale’s schedule, to this point: #127 bench minutes: #322 Yale is in NCAA’s for third time in last five years. Last 12 years, Ivy League teams are 9-3 ATS in this round.
Auburn (27-7) ranked #4 by KenPom Tempo: #58 Experience: #119 Continuity: #78 Auburn won its last six games, scoring 84 ppg. Tigers are 11-2 in their non-conference games. Auburn has #1 eFG% defense in country. Opponents are shooting 42.8% inside arc (#1) Tigers are 15-7 vs teams ranked in top 100. Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #53 bench minutes: #8 Auburn won its last seven first round games (2-2 ATS under Pearl)
Auburn beat Yale 86-64 at home, two years ago. Last five years, #4-seeds are 6-14 ATS in first round. 14 of the last 15 years, a #4-seed lost in the first round.
Colorado vs Florida (-1.5) (@ Indianapolis) Colorado (25-10) KenPom rating: 24 Tempo: 184 Experience: 178 Continuity: 61 Colorado won nine of its last 11 games. Buffs are 10-2 in non-conference games TY. Colorado has #20 eFG% in the country. Buffs are #29 team in country on defensive boards. Colorado is 5-5 vs teams in top 50. Colorado played four starters 34:00+ in Wednesday’s win. Buffs outscored Boise State 15-4 over final 4:31 of the 60-53 win.
Florida (24-11) ranked #28 by KenPom Tempo: #18 Experience: #78 Continuity: #289 Florida is 4-3 in its last seven games. Gators are 10-3 in their non-conference games. Florida is #7 team on offensive boards. Gators have #85 eFG% defense in country. Gators are 7-8 vs teams ranked in top 50. Florida’s schedule, to this point: #29 bench minutes: #191 Florida won its last eight first round games.
SEC teams are 5-4 SU/4-5 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents TY.
Night Games Texas A&M vs Nebraska (-1.5) (@ Memphis) Texas A&M (20-14) ranked #45 by KenPom Tempo: #269 Experience: #46 Continuity: #43 Texas A&M won five of its last six games. Aggies have #345 eFG% in country. Luckily for them, Aggies are #1 team in country on offensive boards. Texas A&M is 9-4 in non-conference games. Aggies are 7-7 against top 50 teams. Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #18 bench minutes: #156 In his career, Buzz Williams is 5-4 SU in first round games.
Nebraska (23-10) ranked #28 by KenPom Tempo: #105 Experience: #51 Continuity: #164 Nebraska won seven of its last nine games. Huskers are 10-1 in their non-conference games (NC sked #322). Nebraska has #62 eFG% in country. Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#14) You’re reading armadillosports.com Huskers are 13-10 vs teams ranked in the top 100. Nebraska’s schedule, to this point: #66 bench minutes: #95 Nebraska is in NCAA for first time since 2014; they’re 0-2 since 1997. Coach Hoiberg was 3-1 in the first round while coaching Iowa State.
This year, SEC teams are 9-4 SU/ATS vs Big 14 opponents.
Vermont vs Duke (-11.5) (@ Brooklyn, NY) Vermont (28-6) ranked #104 by KenPom Tempo: #349 Experience: #95 Continuity: #172 Vermont won 10 in row, 19 of last 20 games. Vermont is 8-5 in their D-I non-conference games. Catamounts have #24 eFG% defense in country. Vermont is #8 team on defensive boards. Catamounts are 2-2 against top 100 teams. Vermont’s schedule, to this point: #243 bench minutes: #53 Last five years, America East teams are 4-1 ATS in this round. Vermont is in NCAA’s for 5th time in last seven years.
Duke (24-8) ranked #8 by KenPom Tempo: #231 Experience: #206 Continuity: #25 Duke split its last six games, losing last two. Duke is 9-2 in their non-conference games. Blue Devils have #21 eFG% in country. Duke is #56 team on defensive boards. Blue Devils are 13-2 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Duke’s schedule, to this point: #75 bench minutes: #268 Since 2009, Duke is 7-3 SU/6-4 ATS in first round games.
Last five years, #4-seeds are 6-14 ATS in first round. 14 of the last 15 years, a #4-seed lost in the first round.
Colorado vs Florida (-1.5) (@ Indianapolis) Colorado (25-10) KenPom rating: 24 Tempo: 184 Experience: 178 Continuity: 61 Colorado won nine of its last 11 games. Buffs are 10-2 in non-conference games TY. Colorado has #20 eFG% in the country. Buffs are #29 team in country on defensive boards. Colorado is 5-5 vs teams in top 50. Colorado played four starters 34:00+ in Wednesday’s win. Buffs outscored Boise State 15-4 over final 4:31 of the 60-53 win.
Florida (24-11) ranked #28 by KenPom Tempo: #18 Experience: #78 Continuity: #289 Florida is 4-3 in its last seven games. Gators are 10-3 in their non-conference games. Florida is #7 team on offensive boards. Gators have #85 eFG% defense in country. Gators are 7-8 vs teams ranked in top 50. Florida’s schedule, to this point: #29 bench minutes: #191 Florida won its last eight first round games.
SEC teams are 5-4 SU/4-5 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents TY.
Night Games Texas A&M vs Nebraska (-1.5) (@ Memphis) Texas A&M (20-14) ranked #45 by KenPom Tempo: #269 Experience: #46 Continuity: #43 Texas A&M won five of its last six games. Aggies have #345 eFG% in country. Luckily for them, Aggies are #1 team in country on offensive boards. Texas A&M is 9-4 in non-conference games. Aggies are 7-7 against top 50 teams. Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #18 bench minutes: #156 In his career, Buzz Williams is 5-4 SU in first round games.
Nebraska (23-10) ranked #28 by KenPom Tempo: #105 Experience: #51 Continuity: #164 Nebraska won seven of its last nine games. Huskers are 10-1 in their non-conference games (NC sked #322). Nebraska has #62 eFG% in country. Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#14) You’re reading armadillosports.com Huskers are 13-10 vs teams ranked in the top 100. Nebraska’s schedule, to this point: #66 bench minutes: #95 Nebraska is in NCAA for first time since 2014; they’re 0-2 since 1997. Coach Hoiberg was 3-1 in the first round while coaching Iowa State.
This year, SEC teams are 9-4 SU/ATS vs Big 14 opponents.
Vermont vs Duke (-11.5) (@ Brooklyn, NY) Vermont (28-6) ranked #104 by KenPom Tempo: #349 Experience: #95 Continuity: #172 Vermont won 10 in row, 19 of last 20 games. Vermont is 8-5 in their D-I non-conference games. Catamounts have #24 eFG% defense in country. Vermont is #8 team on defensive boards. Catamounts are 2-2 against top 100 teams. Vermont’s schedule, to this point: #243 bench minutes: #53 Last five years, America East teams are 4-1 ATS in this round. Vermont is in NCAA’s for 5th time in last seven years.
Duke (24-8) ranked #8 by KenPom Tempo: #231 Experience: #206 Continuity: #25 Duke split its last six games, losing last two. Duke is 9-2 in their non-conference games. Blue Devils have #21 eFG% in country. Duke is #56 team on defensive boards. Blue Devils are 13-2 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Duke’s schedule, to this point: #75 bench minutes: #268 Since 2009, Duke is 7-3 SU/6-4 ATS in first round games.
Last five years, #4-seeds are 6-14 ATS in first round. 14 of the last 15 years, a #4-seed lost in the first round.
Grambling vs Purdue (-26.5) (@ Indianapolis) Grambling (21-14) KenPom rating: 260 Tempo: 316 Experience: 210 Continuity: 188 Grambling won SWAC regular season, going 14-4. Tigers are 1-10 SU in their D-I non-conference games. Grambling has played the #4 non-conference schedule. Grambling is turning ball over 20.4% of time (#338) Tigers are #323 team on defensive boards. Grambling is 0-6 vs top 100 teams (four losses by 30+). Grambling played three guys 33:00+ in Wednesday’s OT win. SWAC teams are 3-2 ATS in last five first round games.
Purdue (29-4) ranked #3 by KenPom Tempo: #174 Experience: #66 Continuity: #9 Purdue won six of its last seven games. Purdue has #13 eFG% in country. Boilers are shooting 40.8% on the arc (#2) Boilers are 11-0 in non-conference games (NC schedule #13). Purdue is #8 team on offensive boards. Boilers are 8-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #4 bench minutes: #239 Purdue is 4-2 ATS in last six first round games. Boilers lost in first round LY, as a 23-point favorite.
Last four years, #1-seeds are 6-10 ATS in first round.
Charleston vs Alabama (-9.5) (@ Spokane) Charleston (32-6) ranked #99 by KenPom Tempo: #58 Experience: #220 Continuity: #252 Charleston won its last 12 games. Charleston hasn’t played in ten days. Cougars have #83 eFG% in country. Charleston is #46 team on offensive boards. Cougars are 5-4 against top 150 teams. Charleston’s schedule, to this point: #226 bench minutes: #25 Charleston is in NCAA’s for 3rd time in seven years (lost 63-57 LY) Cougars’ last first round win was in 1997 (0-4 since) CAA teams lost last ten first round games (0-4 ATS last four).
Alabama (21-11) ranked #12 by KenPom Tempo: #11 Experience: #60 Continuity: #276 Alabama lost four of its last six games. They gave up 100+ points in three of the four losses. Crimson Tide is 8-5 in non-conference games (NC SOS #17). Alabama has #11 eFG% in country. Crimson Tide is #26 team on offensive boards. Opponents are shooting 51.1% inside arc (#217) Crimson Tide is 12-11 vs teams ranked in top 100. Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #5 bench minutes: #139 Alabama is 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four first round games.
Last five years, #4-seeds are 6-14 ATS in first round. 14 of the last 15 years, a #4-seed lost in the first round.
Longwood vs Houston (-22.5) (@ Memphis) Longwood (21-13) ranked #158 by KenPom Tempo: #226 Experience: #137 Continuity: #145 Longwood won seven of its last nine games. Lancers haven’t played in 12 days. Lancers force turnovers 19.7% of time (#45) Longwood is #12 team on offensive boards. Lancers are 9-3 in their D-I non-conference games (NC SOS #345). Longwood is 3-6 against top 200 teams. Longwood’s schedule, to this point: #285 bench minutes: #218 Longwood is 0-2 vs teams in top 125, losing by 4-9 points. Last seven years, Big South teams are 0-7 SU/1-6 ATS in this round.
Houston (30-4) ranked #2 by KenPom Tempo: #348 Experience: #95 Continuity: #127 Houston won 11 of its last 12 games. Cougars are 13-0 in their non-conference games (NC SOS #226). Houston has #2 eFG% defense in country. Opponents are shooting 43.4% inside arc (#4) Cougars are 11-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Houston’s schedule, to this point: #15 bench minutes: #194 Under Sampson, Houston is 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS in first round games.
Last four years, #1-seeds are 6-10 ATS in first round.
Grambling vs Purdue (-26.5) (@ Indianapolis) Grambling (21-14) KenPom rating: 260 Tempo: 316 Experience: 210 Continuity: 188 Grambling won SWAC regular season, going 14-4. Tigers are 1-10 SU in their D-I non-conference games. Grambling has played the #4 non-conference schedule. Grambling is turning ball over 20.4% of time (#338) Tigers are #323 team on defensive boards. Grambling is 0-6 vs top 100 teams (four losses by 30+). Grambling played three guys 33:00+ in Wednesday’s OT win. SWAC teams are 3-2 ATS in last five first round games.
Purdue (29-4) ranked #3 by KenPom Tempo: #174 Experience: #66 Continuity: #9 Purdue won six of its last seven games. Purdue has #13 eFG% in country. Boilers are shooting 40.8% on the arc (#2) Boilers are 11-0 in non-conference games (NC schedule #13). Purdue is #8 team on offensive boards. Boilers are 8-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #4 bench minutes: #239 Purdue is 4-2 ATS in last six first round games. Boilers lost in first round LY, as a 23-point favorite.
Last four years, #1-seeds are 6-10 ATS in first round.
Charleston vs Alabama (-9.5) (@ Spokane) Charleston (32-6) ranked #99 by KenPom Tempo: #58 Experience: #220 Continuity: #252 Charleston won its last 12 games. Charleston hasn’t played in ten days. Cougars have #83 eFG% in country. Charleston is #46 team on offensive boards. Cougars are 5-4 against top 150 teams. Charleston’s schedule, to this point: #226 bench minutes: #25 Charleston is in NCAA’s for 3rd time in seven years (lost 63-57 LY) Cougars’ last first round win was in 1997 (0-4 since) CAA teams lost last ten first round games (0-4 ATS last four).
Alabama (21-11) ranked #12 by KenPom Tempo: #11 Experience: #60 Continuity: #276 Alabama lost four of its last six games. They gave up 100+ points in three of the four losses. Crimson Tide is 8-5 in non-conference games (NC SOS #17). Alabama has #11 eFG% in country. Crimson Tide is #26 team on offensive boards. Opponents are shooting 51.1% inside arc (#217) Crimson Tide is 12-11 vs teams ranked in top 100. Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #5 bench minutes: #139 Alabama is 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four first round games.
Last five years, #4-seeds are 6-14 ATS in first round. 14 of the last 15 years, a #4-seed lost in the first round.
Longwood vs Houston (-22.5) (@ Memphis) Longwood (21-13) ranked #158 by KenPom Tempo: #226 Experience: #137 Continuity: #145 Longwood won seven of its last nine games. Lancers haven’t played in 12 days. Lancers force turnovers 19.7% of time (#45) Longwood is #12 team on offensive boards. Lancers are 9-3 in their D-I non-conference games (NC SOS #345). Longwood is 3-6 against top 200 teams. Longwood’s schedule, to this point: #285 bench minutes: #218 Longwood is 0-2 vs teams in top 125, losing by 4-9 points. Last seven years, Big South teams are 0-7 SU/1-6 ATS in this round.
Houston (30-4) ranked #2 by KenPom Tempo: #348 Experience: #95 Continuity: #127 Houston won 11 of its last 12 games. Cougars are 13-0 in their non-conference games (NC SOS #226). Houston has #2 eFG% defense in country. Opponents are shooting 43.4% inside arc (#4) Cougars are 11-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Houston’s schedule, to this point: #15 bench minutes: #194 Under Sampson, Houston is 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS in first round games.
Last four years, #1-seeds are 6-10 ATS in first round.
James Madison vs Wisconsin. (-4.5) (@ Brooklyn, NY) James Madison (31-3) ranked #58 by KenPom Tempo: #71 Experience: #12 Continuity: #97 James Madison won its last 13 games. Dukes have #23 eFG% defense in country. Dukes have #34 eFG% in country. JMU is forcing turnovers 19.8% of time (#42). Dukes are 1-2 against top 100 teams. JMU started the season with an OT win at Michigan State JMU’s schedule, to this point: #293 bench minutes: #124 James Madison is in NCAA’s for first time since 2013. Sun Belt teams are 5-3 ATS in last eight first round games.
Wisconsin (22-13) ranked #17 by KenPom Tempo: #307 Experience: #48 Continuity: #8 Wisconsin is 6-9 SU since February 1st. They won three of four games in Big 14 Tourney last week. Badgers have #275 eFG% defense in country. Badgers are 8-3 in their non-conference games (NC SOS #49). Wisconsin is #17 team on defensive boards. Wisconsin’s schedule, to this point: #2 bench minutes: #283 Under Gard, Badgers are 5-1 SU/ATS in first round games.
Last three years, favorites are 8-4 ATS in #5-12 seed first round games.
TCU (-3.5) vs Utah State (@ Indianapolis) TCU (21-12) ranked #35 by KenPom Tempo: #65 Experience: #3 Continuity: #139 TCU is 5-7 in its last 12 games. Horned Frogs are forcing turnovers 20.8% of time (#22) TCU is #20 team on offensive boards. TCU is 7-5 in games decided by 7 or less points. Horned Frogs are 7-12 against top 100 teams. TCU’s schedule, to this point: #47 bench minutes: #122 TCU is in NCAA’s for 3rd year in row; they won in 1st round last two years. Coach Dixon is 10-4 SU in first round games.
Utah State (27-6) ranked #47 by KenPom Tempo: #107 Experience: #79 Continuity: #360 Utah State won six of its last seven games. Aggies are 10-1 in their D-I non-conference games. Utah State is shooting 57.1% inside arc (#12) Opponents are shooting 53.1% inside arc (#304) Aggies are 5-5 vs teams ranked in top 50. Utah State’s schedule, to this point: #87 bench minutes: #327 Since 2019, Utah State is 0-3 in first round games. Aggies lost last nine first round games; their last win was in 2001.
Big X teams are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS vs Mountain West foes this season.
Grand Canyon vs Saint Mary’s (-4.5) (@ Spokane) Grand Canyon (29-4) ranked #53 by KenPom Tempo: #135 Experience: #59 Continuity: #156 Grand Canyon won five in row, 12 of last 14 games. Antelopes have #10 eFG% defense in country. Antelopes are forcing turnovers 19.9% of time (#38) Grand Canyon is #30 team on offensive boards. Antelopes are 3-1 against top 100 teams. Antelopes allowed 75+ points in all four of their losses. Grand Canyon’s schedule, to this point: #204 bench minutes: #292 Grand Canyon is 0-2 in first round games, losing by 12-12 points. Last four years, WAC teams are 1-3 SU/4-0 ATS in first round games.
Saint Mary’s (26-7) ranked #18 by KenPom Tempo: #358 Experience: #172 Continuity: #33 Saint Mary’s won 18 of its last 19 games. Gaels are 8-6 in their D-I non-conference games. Saint Mary’s has #3 eFG% defense in country. Opponents are shooting 43.6% inside arc (#5) Gaels are 7-5 vs teams ranked in top 100. Saint Mary’s schedule, to this point: #109 bench minutes: #258 Saint Mary’s is 3-1 SU/3-0-1 ATS in last four first round games.
WAC teams are 4-2 SU/6-0 ATS vs WCC teams this year, Saint Mary’s playing in Gonzaga’s city is a little weird. Last three years, favorites are 8-4 ATS in #5-12 seed first round games.
James Madison vs Wisconsin. (-4.5) (@ Brooklyn, NY) James Madison (31-3) ranked #58 by KenPom Tempo: #71 Experience: #12 Continuity: #97 James Madison won its last 13 games. Dukes have #23 eFG% defense in country. Dukes have #34 eFG% in country. JMU is forcing turnovers 19.8% of time (#42). Dukes are 1-2 against top 100 teams. JMU started the season with an OT win at Michigan State JMU’s schedule, to this point: #293 bench minutes: #124 James Madison is in NCAA’s for first time since 2013. Sun Belt teams are 5-3 ATS in last eight first round games.
Wisconsin (22-13) ranked #17 by KenPom Tempo: #307 Experience: #48 Continuity: #8 Wisconsin is 6-9 SU since February 1st. They won three of four games in Big 14 Tourney last week. Badgers have #275 eFG% defense in country. Badgers are 8-3 in their non-conference games (NC SOS #49). Wisconsin is #17 team on defensive boards. Wisconsin’s schedule, to this point: #2 bench minutes: #283 Under Gard, Badgers are 5-1 SU/ATS in first round games.
Last three years, favorites are 8-4 ATS in #5-12 seed first round games.
TCU (-3.5) vs Utah State (@ Indianapolis) TCU (21-12) ranked #35 by KenPom Tempo: #65 Experience: #3 Continuity: #139 TCU is 5-7 in its last 12 games. Horned Frogs are forcing turnovers 20.8% of time (#22) TCU is #20 team on offensive boards. TCU is 7-5 in games decided by 7 or less points. Horned Frogs are 7-12 against top 100 teams. TCU’s schedule, to this point: #47 bench minutes: #122 TCU is in NCAA’s for 3rd year in row; they won in 1st round last two years. Coach Dixon is 10-4 SU in first round games.
Utah State (27-6) ranked #47 by KenPom Tempo: #107 Experience: #79 Continuity: #360 Utah State won six of its last seven games. Aggies are 10-1 in their D-I non-conference games. Utah State is shooting 57.1% inside arc (#12) Opponents are shooting 53.1% inside arc (#304) Aggies are 5-5 vs teams ranked in top 50. Utah State’s schedule, to this point: #87 bench minutes: #327 Since 2019, Utah State is 0-3 in first round games. Aggies lost last nine first round games; their last win was in 2001.
Big X teams are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS vs Mountain West foes this season.
Grand Canyon vs Saint Mary’s (-4.5) (@ Spokane) Grand Canyon (29-4) ranked #53 by KenPom Tempo: #135 Experience: #59 Continuity: #156 Grand Canyon won five in row, 12 of last 14 games. Antelopes have #10 eFG% defense in country. Antelopes are forcing turnovers 19.9% of time (#38) Grand Canyon is #30 team on offensive boards. Antelopes are 3-1 against top 100 teams. Antelopes allowed 75+ points in all four of their losses. Grand Canyon’s schedule, to this point: #204 bench minutes: #292 Grand Canyon is 0-2 in first round games, losing by 12-12 points. Last four years, WAC teams are 1-3 SU/4-0 ATS in first round games.
Saint Mary’s (26-7) ranked #18 by KenPom Tempo: #358 Experience: #172 Continuity: #33 Saint Mary’s won 18 of its last 19 games. Gaels are 8-6 in their D-I non-conference games. Saint Mary’s has #3 eFG% defense in country. Opponents are shooting 43.6% inside arc (#5) Gaels are 7-5 vs teams ranked in top 100. Saint Mary’s schedule, to this point: #109 bench minutes: #258 Saint Mary’s is 3-1 SU/3-0-1 ATS in last four first round games.
WAC teams are 4-2 SU/6-0 ATS vs WCC teams this year, Saint Mary’s playing in Gonzaga’s city is a little weird. Last three years, favorites are 8-4 ATS in #5-12 seed first round games.
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