NC State vs Marquette (-6.5) (@ Dallas) NC State (24-14) ranked #53 by KenPom Tempo: #148 Experience: #14 Continuity: #244 NC State won its last seven games, after a 2-7 skid. Opponents are shooting 34.3% on the arc (#219) Wolfpack is 11-6 in games decided by 7 or less points, or in OT NC State is 10-7 ATS as an underdog this year. Wolfpack is 10-3 in non-conference games. NC State is 5-8 against teams ranked in the top 50. NC State’s schedule, to this point: #47 bench minutes: #266 Under Keatts, NC State is 2-2 in NCAA Tourney games. Since 2005, Wolfpack is 0-3 in Sweet 16 games.
Marquette (27-9) ranked #13 by KenPom Tempo: #93 Experience: #138 Continuity: #3 Marquette won first two NCAA games, scoring 87-81 points. Kolek had 58 points, 22 assists in those two games. Eagles are forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#20) Marquette is shooting 56.6% inside arc (#13) Eagles are 17-9 vs teams ranked in top 100. Marquette’s schedule, to this point: #8 bench minutes: #192 Marquette is in Sweet 16 for first time since 2012. Shaka Smart won his only Sweet 16 game, in 2011.
This year, Big East teams are 5-3 SU/4-4 ATS vs ACC opponents. Since 2015, #11-seeds are 3-6 ATS in Sweet 16 games. Since 2019, #2-seeds are 6-4 ATS in Sweet 16 games.
Gonzaga vs Purdue (-5.5) (@ Detroit) Gonzaga (27-7) ranked #12 by KenPom Tempo: #86 Experience: #132 Continuity: #218 Gonzaga won 11 of its last 12 games. Zags are 11-4 in D-I non-conference games. Gonzaga is shooting 58.3% inside arc (#7) Opponents are shooting 44.6% inside arc (#10) Gonzaga is 3-5 against teams in the top 50. Gonzaga’s schedule, to this point: #100 bench minutes: #342 Last eight years, Gonzaga is 5-3 SU in Sweet 16 games. Zags are 2-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
Purdue (31-4) ranked #3 by KenPom Tempo: #174 Experience: #68 Continuity: #11 Purdue won its first two NCAA games, by 28-39 points. Boilers made 20-37 shots on the arc in those games. Boilers are shooting 40.7% on the arc (#2) Purdue has #13 eFG% in country. Boilers are 13-0 in non-conference games (NC schedule #10). Purdue is #6 team on offensive boards. Boilers are 13-4 vs teams ranked in top 50. Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #6 bench minutes: #233 Coach Painter is 1-5 SU/ATS in Sweet 16 games.
November 20 in Hawai’i, Purdue (-5) beat Gonzaga 73-63. Zags shot 6-32 on arc in that game. Since 2012, #4-seeds are 10-14-1 ATS in this round. Since 2005, eight #5-seeds have played in the Sweet 16; underdogs went 8-0 ATS in those games.
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Friday’s games
NC State vs Marquette (-6.5) (@ Dallas) NC State (24-14) ranked #53 by KenPom Tempo: #148 Experience: #14 Continuity: #244 NC State won its last seven games, after a 2-7 skid. Opponents are shooting 34.3% on the arc (#219) Wolfpack is 11-6 in games decided by 7 or less points, or in OT NC State is 10-7 ATS as an underdog this year. Wolfpack is 10-3 in non-conference games. NC State is 5-8 against teams ranked in the top 50. NC State’s schedule, to this point: #47 bench minutes: #266 Under Keatts, NC State is 2-2 in NCAA Tourney games. Since 2005, Wolfpack is 0-3 in Sweet 16 games.
Marquette (27-9) ranked #13 by KenPom Tempo: #93 Experience: #138 Continuity: #3 Marquette won first two NCAA games, scoring 87-81 points. Kolek had 58 points, 22 assists in those two games. Eagles are forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#20) Marquette is shooting 56.6% inside arc (#13) Eagles are 17-9 vs teams ranked in top 100. Marquette’s schedule, to this point: #8 bench minutes: #192 Marquette is in Sweet 16 for first time since 2012. Shaka Smart won his only Sweet 16 game, in 2011.
This year, Big East teams are 5-3 SU/4-4 ATS vs ACC opponents. Since 2015, #11-seeds are 3-6 ATS in Sweet 16 games. Since 2019, #2-seeds are 6-4 ATS in Sweet 16 games.
Gonzaga vs Purdue (-5.5) (@ Detroit) Gonzaga (27-7) ranked #12 by KenPom Tempo: #86 Experience: #132 Continuity: #218 Gonzaga won 11 of its last 12 games. Zags are 11-4 in D-I non-conference games. Gonzaga is shooting 58.3% inside arc (#7) Opponents are shooting 44.6% inside arc (#10) Gonzaga is 3-5 against teams in the top 50. Gonzaga’s schedule, to this point: #100 bench minutes: #342 Last eight years, Gonzaga is 5-3 SU in Sweet 16 games. Zags are 2-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
Purdue (31-4) ranked #3 by KenPom Tempo: #174 Experience: #68 Continuity: #11 Purdue won its first two NCAA games, by 28-39 points. Boilers made 20-37 shots on the arc in those games. Boilers are shooting 40.7% on the arc (#2) Purdue has #13 eFG% in country. Boilers are 13-0 in non-conference games (NC schedule #10). Purdue is #6 team on offensive boards. Boilers are 13-4 vs teams ranked in top 50. Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #6 bench minutes: #233 Coach Painter is 1-5 SU/ATS in Sweet 16 games.
November 20 in Hawai’i, Purdue (-5) beat Gonzaga 73-63. Zags shot 6-32 on arc in that game. Since 2012, #4-seeds are 10-14-1 ATS in this round. Since 2005, eight #5-seeds have played in the Sweet 16; underdogs went 8-0 ATS in those games.
Duke vs Houston (-4.5) (@ Dallas) Duke (26-8) ranked #6 by KenPom Tempo: #245 Experience: #203 Continuity: #24 Duke won its first two NCAA games, against #13, #12 seeds. Duke is 11-2 in their non-conference games. Duke is 0-2 ATS as an underdog this year. Blue Devils have #18 eFG% in country. Duke is #53 team on defensive boards. Blue Devils are 5-5 vs teams ranked in top 50. Duke’s schedule, to this point: #71 bench minutes: #279 Duke is 5-1 SU in its last six Sweet 16 games.
Houston (32-4) ranked #2 by KenPom Tempo: #346 Experience: #92 Continuity: #127 Houston won 13 of its last 14 games. Cougars are 15-0 in their non-conference games (NC SOS #225). Houston has #2 eFG% defense in country. Opponents are shooting 43.1% inside arc (#3) Cougars are 16-4 vs teams ranked in top 50. Houston’s schedule, to this point: #22 bench minutes: #198 Under Sampson, Houston is 2-2 SU in Sweet 16 games.
This year, ACC teams are 10-3 SU/ATS vs Big X opponents. Since 2012, #4-seeds are 10-14-1 ATS in this round. Last six years, #1-seeds are 6-5-1 ATS in this round.
Creighton vs Tennessee (-6.5) (@ Detroit) Creighton (25-9) ranked #11 by KenPom Tempo: #227 Experience: #8 Continuity: #41 Creighton won nine of its last 11 games. Bluejays are 11-2 in non-conference games. Creighton has #3 eFG% in the country. Bluejays have #10 eFG% defense in country. Creighton forces fewest turnovers in country. Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #28 bench minutes: #356 Bluejays played three starters 49:00+ in Sunday’s double OT win. Last 25 years, Creighton is 1-1 SU in Sweet 16 games.
Tennessee (26-8) ranked #8 by KenPom Tempo: #78 Experience: #29 Continuity: #67 Tennessee won nine of its last 11 games. Vols have #4 eFG% defense in country. Vols are 12-3 in non-conference games. Tennessee is 9-7 against teams in the top 50. Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #11 bench minutes: #289 Since 1997, Coach Barnes is 3-5 SU in Sweet 16 games. His last Sweet 16 win was in 2008.
This year, SEC teams are 3-2 SU/4-1 ATS vs Big East opponents. Since 2019, #2-seeds are 6-4 ATS in Sweet 16 games. Since 2016, #2-seeds are 7-4 ATS vs #3-seeds in this round.
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Duke vs Houston (-4.5) (@ Dallas) Duke (26-8) ranked #6 by KenPom Tempo: #245 Experience: #203 Continuity: #24 Duke won its first two NCAA games, against #13, #12 seeds. Duke is 11-2 in their non-conference games. Duke is 0-2 ATS as an underdog this year. Blue Devils have #18 eFG% in country. Duke is #53 team on defensive boards. Blue Devils are 5-5 vs teams ranked in top 50. Duke’s schedule, to this point: #71 bench minutes: #279 Duke is 5-1 SU in its last six Sweet 16 games.
Houston (32-4) ranked #2 by KenPom Tempo: #346 Experience: #92 Continuity: #127 Houston won 13 of its last 14 games. Cougars are 15-0 in their non-conference games (NC SOS #225). Houston has #2 eFG% defense in country. Opponents are shooting 43.1% inside arc (#3) Cougars are 16-4 vs teams ranked in top 50. Houston’s schedule, to this point: #22 bench minutes: #198 Under Sampson, Houston is 2-2 SU in Sweet 16 games.
This year, ACC teams are 10-3 SU/ATS vs Big X opponents. Since 2012, #4-seeds are 10-14-1 ATS in this round. Last six years, #1-seeds are 6-5-1 ATS in this round.
Creighton vs Tennessee (-6.5) (@ Detroit) Creighton (25-9) ranked #11 by KenPom Tempo: #227 Experience: #8 Continuity: #41 Creighton won nine of its last 11 games. Bluejays are 11-2 in non-conference games. Creighton has #3 eFG% in the country. Bluejays have #10 eFG% defense in country. Creighton forces fewest turnovers in country. Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #28 bench minutes: #356 Bluejays played three starters 49:00+ in Sunday’s double OT win. Last 25 years, Creighton is 1-1 SU in Sweet 16 games.
Tennessee (26-8) ranked #8 by KenPom Tempo: #78 Experience: #29 Continuity: #67 Tennessee won nine of its last 11 games. Vols have #4 eFG% defense in country. Vols are 12-3 in non-conference games. Tennessee is 9-7 against teams in the top 50. Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #11 bench minutes: #289 Since 1997, Coach Barnes is 3-5 SU in Sweet 16 games. His last Sweet 16 win was in 2008.
This year, SEC teams are 3-2 SU/4-1 ATS vs Big East opponents. Since 2019, #2-seeds are 6-4 ATS in Sweet 16 games. Since 2016, #2-seeds are 7-4 ATS vs #3-seeds in this round.
North Carolina State Wolfpack RANKING Dunkel Ranking:29 Dunkel Rating:64.761 DUNKEL PREDICTION Golden Eagles Winning Margin: 11.5 Total Score: 155 VEGAS PREDICTION Golden Eagles Winning Margin: -6.5 Total Score: 151
Marquette Golden Eagles RANKING Dunkel Ranking:12 Dunkel Rating:76.180 Dunkel Pick:(-6.5) Over
Friday: 29 March | 19:39 Little Caesars Arena
Gonzaga Bulldogs RANKING Dunkel Ranking:8 Dunkel Rating:76.150 Dunkel Pick:(+5.5) Over DUNKEL PREDICTION Bulldogs Winning Margin: -1 Total Score: 157 VEGAS PREDICTION Boilermakers Winning Margin: -5.5 Total Score: 154
North Carolina State Wolfpack RANKING Dunkel Ranking:29 Dunkel Rating:64.761 DUNKEL PREDICTION Golden Eagles Winning Margin: 11.5 Total Score: 155 VEGAS PREDICTION Golden Eagles Winning Margin: -6.5 Total Score: 151
Marquette Golden Eagles RANKING Dunkel Ranking:12 Dunkel Rating:76.180 Dunkel Pick:(-6.5) Over
Friday: 29 March | 19:39 Little Caesars Arena
Gonzaga Bulldogs RANKING Dunkel Ranking:8 Dunkel Rating:76.150 Dunkel Pick:(+5.5) Over DUNKEL PREDICTION Bulldogs Winning Margin: -1 Total Score: 157 VEGAS PREDICTION Boilermakers Winning Margin: -5.5 Total Score: 154
GONZAGA (27 - 7) vs. PURDUE (31 - 4) - 3/29/2024, 7:39 PM Top Trends for this game. GONZAGA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. PURDUE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. PURDUE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games this season. PURDUE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. GONZAGA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997. PURDUE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons. PURDUE is 94-129 ATS (-47.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997. Head-to-Head Series History PURDUE is 2-0 against the spread versus GONZAGA over the last 3 seasons PURDUE is 2-0 straight up against GONZAGA over the last 3 seasons 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON (25 - 9) vs. TENNESSEE (26 - 8) - 3/29/2024, 10:09 PM Top Trends for this game. TENNESSEE is 83-59 ATS (+18.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997. CREIGHTON is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons. CREIGHTON is 167-127 ATS (+27.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997. CREIGHTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. CREIGHTON is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. TENNESSEE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season. TENNESSEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NC STATE (24 - 14) vs. MARQUETTE (27 - 9) - 3/29/2024, 7:09 PM Top Trends for this game. NC STATE is 41-60 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons. NC STATE is 41-60 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons. NC STATE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. MARQUETTE is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. MARQUETTE is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons. MARQUETTE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season. MARQUETTE is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. MARQUETTE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. MARQUETTE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons. MARQUETTE is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. NC STATE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997. NC STATE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season. MARQUETTE is 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) in road games in March games since 1997. Head-to-Head Series History There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
DUKE (26 - 8) vs. HOUSTON (32 - 4) - 3/29/2024, 9:39 PM Top Trends for this game. HOUSTON is 226-181 ATS (+26.9 Units) as a favorite since 1997. HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season. Head-to-Head Series History There were no past matchups in this series during this time period
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GONZAGA (27 - 7) vs. PURDUE (31 - 4) - 3/29/2024, 7:39 PM Top Trends for this game. GONZAGA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. PURDUE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. PURDUE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games this season. PURDUE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. GONZAGA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997. PURDUE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons. PURDUE is 94-129 ATS (-47.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997. Head-to-Head Series History PURDUE is 2-0 against the spread versus GONZAGA over the last 3 seasons PURDUE is 2-0 straight up against GONZAGA over the last 3 seasons 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON (25 - 9) vs. TENNESSEE (26 - 8) - 3/29/2024, 10:09 PM Top Trends for this game. TENNESSEE is 83-59 ATS (+18.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997. CREIGHTON is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons. CREIGHTON is 167-127 ATS (+27.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997. CREIGHTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. CREIGHTON is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. TENNESSEE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season. TENNESSEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NC STATE (24 - 14) vs. MARQUETTE (27 - 9) - 3/29/2024, 7:09 PM Top Trends for this game. NC STATE is 41-60 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons. NC STATE is 41-60 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons. NC STATE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. MARQUETTE is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. MARQUETTE is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons. MARQUETTE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season. MARQUETTE is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. MARQUETTE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. MARQUETTE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons. MARQUETTE is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. NC STATE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997. NC STATE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season. MARQUETTE is 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) in road games in March games since 1997. Head-to-Head Series History There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
DUKE (26 - 8) vs. HOUSTON (32 - 4) - 3/29/2024, 9:39 PM Top Trends for this game. HOUSTON is 226-181 ATS (+26.9 Units) as a favorite since 1997. HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season. Head-to-Head Series History There were no past matchups in this series during this time period
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