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This year we will have one of the most intriguing men's national title games in quite some time. Never has there been a game in recent memory where lower seeds have prevailed. Tonight its the Freshman Sensations from the University of Kentucky vs the Veteran and explosive senior driven team from the University of Connecticut.
Now although it is a championship game, an investor should not look at it as the end all. Too many times Investors have broke the bank to bet on these high profile events. Although there is nothing wrong putting a little more than normal on this game, keep in mind it is only one game. After the nets get cut down, and the interviews are over and One Moment in time is played it will be back to business as usual as within 24-48 hours the media and experts will be talking about who will be favored for the 2014-2015 season. Now lets get to the matchup.
Immediately after the Wildcats sensational win against Wisconsin , the line was opened at Kentucky - 3.0 It wasnt 15 minutes before it was pounded down to 2.5 where it has held steady every since.
Kentucky is good. Coming into the year they were much the talk of the basketball world as some didn't even think they would lose a game. There are quite a players on that roster that will go on to have a pro career ( i count it as high as 7) either in the Association or over seas. They rebound the ball extremely well and they get a lot of second chance points. With the man-child in Julius Randle they are a tough cookie to crack when on as they have beaten some impressive competition in this tournament, with wins against Wichita State, Louisville and Wisconsin. Coach Calipari is a hall of fame coach as well as a Hall of Fame recruiter. If they pull of the win they will be legendary.
However, I just think this story is too scripted for the "Win and Done Wildcats". They are facing a UCONNHusky team that has one of the most dynamic back courts in all of college and probably the best Point Guard in the Country in Shabazz Napier. Napier was the freshman backup to Kemba Walker when UConn made the title run in 2011..
No one is really making note of it but Kevin Ollie is doing a TREMENDOUS job in only his second year as a COACH. Not head coach or assistant coach but a COACH period. But if you know your basketball he has been a coach a long time on the court as he spent 13 years in the NBA and his mental toughness and perseverance has rubbed of on this team. He has made all the right moves and decisions and with a great mentor in Calhoun, he has been dangerously overlooked on how he is getting these guys to prepare.
The one thing about Kentucky is in all there losses this year they were exposed specifically in PG play or guards that were quicker or as athletic as their guards. In the tournament they were CLEARLY the more athletic guards who could get a shot off and penetrate with no regard against all of their opponents with the exception of Louisville
UCONN basically can run 3 people at the point as Napier and Boatwright are inter-changeable and on the floor together. Also the way UCONN plays Defense is gonna be big. Instead of getting on top of an opponent, there guards get under the opponents. By that I mean they are literally up under the opposing guards and their superior quickness in the back court could prove pivotal.
Another big factor is UConn shoots 77% from the FT line The big X-factor in the contest is DeAndre Daniels..
My recommendation is take the UConn Huskies +3. And sprinkle a lil something on the UCONN ML.
Action Investors Looking to hit the middle
For those who strictly want action here and are pro kentucky : lay 2 units UConn 1 unit Uconn ML and 3 units wildcats ML as it gets near game time as I expect it to
Now although it is a championship game, an investor should not look at it as the end all. Too many times Investors have broke the bank to bet on these high profile events. Although there is nothing wrong putting a little more than normal on this game, keep in mind it is only one game. After the nets get cut down, and the interviews are over and One Moment in time is played it will be back to business as usual as within 24-48 hours the media and experts will be talking about who will be favored for the 2014-2015 season. Now lets get to the matchup.
Immediately after the Wildcats sensational win against Wisconsin , the line was opened at Kentucky - 3.0 It wasnt 15 minutes before it was pounded down to 2.5 where it has held steady every since.
Kentucky is good. Coming into the year they were much the talk of the basketball world as some didn't even think they would lose a game. There are quite a players on that roster that will go on to have a pro career ( i count it as high as 7) either in the Association or over seas. They rebound the ball extremely well and they get a lot of second chance points. With the man-child in Julius Randle they are a tough cookie to crack when on as they have beaten some impressive competition in this tournament, with wins against Wichita State, Louisville and Wisconsin. Coach Calipari is a hall of fame coach as well as a Hall of Fame recruiter. If they pull of the win they will be legendary.
However, I just think this story is too scripted for the "Win and Done Wildcats". They are facing a UCONNHusky team that has one of the most dynamic back courts in all of college and probably the best Point Guard in the Country in Shabazz Napier. Napier was the freshman backup to Kemba Walker when UConn made the title run in 2011..
No one is really making note of it but Kevin Ollie is doing a TREMENDOUS job in only his second year as a COACH. Not head coach or assistant coach but a COACH period. But if you know your basketball he has been a coach a long time on the court as he spent 13 years in the NBA and his mental toughness and perseverance has rubbed of on this team. He has made all the right moves and decisions and with a great mentor in Calhoun, he has been dangerously overlooked on how he is getting these guys to prepare.
The one thing about Kentucky is in all there losses this year they were exposed specifically in PG play or guards that were quicker or as athletic as their guards. In the tournament they were CLEARLY the more athletic guards who could get a shot off and penetrate with no regard against all of their opponents with the exception of Louisville
UCONN basically can run 3 people at the point as Napier and Boatwright are inter-changeable and on the floor together. Also the way UCONN plays Defense is gonna be big. Instead of getting on top of an opponent, there guards get under the opponents. By that I mean they are literally up under the opposing guards and their superior quickness in the back court could prove pivotal.
Another big factor is UConn shoots 77% from the FT line The big X-factor in the contest is DeAndre Daniels..
My recommendation is take the UConn Huskies +3. And sprinkle a lil something on the UCONN ML.
Action Investors Looking to hit the middle
For those who strictly want action here and are pro kentucky : lay 2 units UConn 1 unit Uconn ML and 3 units wildcats ML as it gets near game time as I expect it to
drop to 1.5 or 1 just to see if you can hit the middle
Follow me on twitter: dagame007@gsmbookiedoctor
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