All Forums | College Basketball

Gonzaga vs St Mary's

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 3579
Posts: 19
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 827
Posted: #1

Who wins?  What is the best play?  The teams split during the regular conference season with both teams winning easily at home now they play on a neutral court.  Neither team has been too outstanding against the spread with St Mary's being 2-6 and Gonzaga going 4-9-1.  One game went over, one game went under. 

Somebody has some insight so please feel free to explain the play and why.

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 8308
Posted: #2
Throw out the stats, records, trends. This is the preeminent rivalry on the West Coast right now and both teams know each other intimately well. IMO, the difference in the rubber match is the loss of Stephen Holt for SMC. He's a tremendous on-ball defender and would have been a major help in defending Pangos and Bell. Without him, I don't think the Gaels can play their typical stifling perimeter defense. Harris looks interested in basketball again and seems to have rediscovered his enormous potential. Ditto Sacre. Lean Zags.
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2007
Posts: 14457
Posted: #3
me too jfen, i think zags and even going to go out on a limb and say a double digit victory. Both teams plaing well but zags are really finding their stride. Ill be suprised if they dont win by 10 or more
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 3490
Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by JFen31:

Throw out the stats, records, trends. This is the preeminent rivalry on the West Coast right now and both teams know each other intimately well. IMO, the difference in the rubber match is the loss of Stephen Holt for SMC. He's a tremendous on-ball defender and would have been a major help in defending Pangos and Bell. Without him, I don't think the Gaels can play their typical stifling perimeter defense. Harris looks interested in basketball again and seems to have rediscovered his enormous potential. Ditto Sacre. Lean Zags.

With Holt out, I would also lean towards the over.  I suspect the Zags will score 70-75 points, putting the over in great shape in my opinion.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2011
Posts: 2096
Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by JFen31:

 . IMO, the difference in the rubber match is the loss of Stephen Holt for SMC. He's a tremendous on-ball defender and would have been a major help in defending Pangos 

This. Holt defending any of Gonzaga's perimeter guys would have been a big help. Now they're forced to handle more offensive weapons then they are capable of. Between Pangos, Sacre, and Harris, one should have a favorable matchup. With each team knowing each other so well I would be surprised to see a blowout, but I'll side with zaga when they're playing well offensively 

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 606
Posted: #6
This is a tough one.  I realize Holt is out, but I would suspect that the line has already been adjusted for that.  I don't know, it just seems too easy to take the Zags, so that is what scares me.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2011
Posts: 4566
Posted: #7
Over 134 all fuckin  day
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 618
Posted: #8
All good points, and everytime I watch this matchup Rob Jones sucks.....for some reason he is hot garbage vs the Zags.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 3829
Posted: #9
Why is St.Mary's ranked in the top 25 and the Zags aren't?  StMary's lost to Murray St and lost to Zags last time they played and looking at their past few games I can't figure out how they are ranked higher?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 20
Posted: #10

Quote Originally Posted by jusballin32:

All good points, and everytime I watch this matchup Rob Jones sucks.....for some reason he is hot garbage vs the Zags.

Right on...

 

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 3829
Posted: #11
Something tells me the public money will be all over the Zags with this short line and looking at the public money favs all season so far the zags are in the top of the list at #12 while St.mary's sits at #91. So I am sure Vegas knows where most of the money will go, but my guess is sharp money will be on St.Mary's which is also where my money will be. I am also guessing Holt will play, but like them either way.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 3676
Posted: #12
The line has shifted from -1.5 to -3 overnight. I don't think that is pubic money. The Zags are the better overall team with no Holt(likely) for SMC.

In the last 10 meetings, the favorite has won 9-1 SU and is 7-2-1 ATS. None of the games have been closer than 2 points.

I jumped on the Zags at -1.5 last night. Good luck.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 3676
Posted: #13
Haha. Public not pubic
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 22680
Posted: #14
a lot of  gonzaga peeps here in vegas. quite a bit i seen here at the rio. that has nothing to do  with me being on them -1.5
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 2368
Posted: #15
They completely dismantled a very capable buy squad. Bulldogs for me.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 2368
Posted: #16
(Byu)
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 23
Posted: #17
Zags all day!! I jumped on the line this morning when it was -2. The difference this year vs. the previous 12 is that the Zags weren't regular season champs. There streak to tie the NCAA record for consecutive regular season championships with UCLA was snapped and they are pumped to right the ship. Need to win the conference tourney to be completely certain to make the tourney. Outside bid not as sure as it has been in years although that dismantling of BYU will certainly help. No Holt for SMC is huge as well. Pangos is on fire right now and Sacre will own the boards and will not go out in his Senior year against a heated rival like that. Not to mention Harris' ressurgence. I have been to the WCC Championship game in recent years at The Orleans. it's electric! If you haven't been, it's a great time. It might as well be a home game for the Zags. Bulldog fans travel extremely well. Especially to Vegas. They are everywhere. Been going to Vegas for the Opening rounds of March Madness the last 3 years too and you can't go anywhere without seeing them. Tourney isn't the same without them and this is a statement game and a must win.  Zags will cover and I wouldn't be surprised if it's by double digits. 1.5 point swing is not public money. That is sharp money pounding a line that is at least 2-3 point too low. I had this game at -4.5 before the line came out. Case in point: Look at the UNC line Saturday night! Swung 3 points from dog to favorite. And look what happened..Take Zags.
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 22502
Posted: #18
Line dropping to 133 tells me books think St. Mary's will have trouble getting the rebounds and trouble scoring.


 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 1517
Posted: #19
6 pt teaser

Gonzaga +3.5 and Drexel +9

260/200
All Forums | College Basketball
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.