Been tracking conference play and two of them stand out where the home team has won S/U at a significant clip throughout the season. Good opportunities for home dogs to cover if the metrics look even or favorable.
Patriot home teams are 61-19 straight up.
WAC home teams are 39-17 straight up.
The teams in the Patriot doing the worst at home (H Cross, Lehigh, Loyola, Md) are still 4-4. The best road record in conference is American at 3-5. Army and Colgate are at 3-6. This is not just superior teams beating the shit out of bad teams. There is a definite home court advantage.
In the WAC there seems to be two home outliers and two road outliers. S Utah and Utah Tech are at 3-10 and 2-10 respectively at home. Grand Canyon and Utah Valley are at 4-2 and 5-1. So GC and UV are heads above the rest of the teams there. The remaining 5 teams - Abeline Christ, Cal Bapt, Seattle, and Tarleton, UT-Arlington - could be looked at when they are at home as having value.
The Patriot is a little more cut and dry when it comes to home teams compared with the WAC, but there could be some nuggets in these conferences when considering short home favorites or home dogs.
That's my Ted Talk for today. Thank you.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Been tracking conference play and two of them stand out where the home team has won S/U at a significant clip throughout the season. Good opportunities for home dogs to cover if the metrics look even or favorable.
Patriot home teams are 61-19 straight up.
WAC home teams are 39-17 straight up.
The teams in the Patriot doing the worst at home (H Cross, Lehigh, Loyola, Md) are still 4-4. The best road record in conference is American at 3-5. Army and Colgate are at 3-6. This is not just superior teams beating the shit out of bad teams. There is a definite home court advantage.
In the WAC there seems to be two home outliers and two road outliers. S Utah and Utah Tech are at 3-10 and 2-10 respectively at home. Grand Canyon and Utah Valley are at 4-2 and 5-1. So GC and UV are heads above the rest of the teams there. The remaining 5 teams - Abeline Christ, Cal Bapt, Seattle, and Tarleton, UT-Arlington - could be looked at when they are at home as having value.
The Patriot is a little more cut and dry when it comes to home teams compared with the WAC, but there could be some nuggets in these conferences when considering short home favorites or home dogs.
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