Posted:
#1
Record: 4-10
$$: -6.8u
Awful start. I might be fade work only but I really love one play tonight. I've taken off a few days to try and get a better feel. Early season is tough but I can't find it at all right now. It happens and I know if I stay the course I'll be around 50-60% by year end hoping to be on the high end. Just how it goes. Looking to start a winning streak of profitable days tonight and get it started with a big play..
Locked in:
Florida St -3.5 5u - This is a big play for me and I would probably have continued to watch had this line not posted. Tough, tough spot for Tubby's Gophers here and while I like this Minnesota team a lot, going into Tallahasse on a Tuesday night after a bunch of games and travel the last few weeks doesn't bode well. 3 games the past 5 days against top tier comp (Stanford, Memphis and Duke). Florida St. has stabilized well after the first game debacle vs. S. Alabama. They beat a good St. Joe team and a decent BYU team on a neutral floor. I'm looking for Florida St.'s defense to create their offense. In the half court, Sota is tough to score on 35% OPP FG. However, they've shown they are vulnerable to athletic teams who pressure and then run out of that pressure (see Duke result). Snaer is a good perimeter scoring threat and I look for him to get some open looks in transition. Florida St. can match them on the boards which has been key to Sota's early success getting 12 ORB a game. More than anything, this is a spot play backing a strong defensive team vs a road weary team which is an angle I'll hammer every time.
NC State +6.6 1u - I like the Pack to keep this close. Two solid teams, where Michigan has gotten better results and has looked very good. They have one of the most dynamic back courts in the country with Hardaway and Burke and with newcomer Robinson on the inside to pair with Morgan and a few other talented frosh, this Michigan team is very good. I actually like Michigan in FUTURE's bet to win big 10 at decent odds. However, NC State can match up athletically and I think the versatility of the interior players will give Michigan trouble. Howell and Leslie are top notch forwards who can play inside-out. Brown is a proven scorer who can set up the offense and Wood is a key role player. Michigan success usually comes out of the precision they get offensively through running the Princeton offense. They shoot a bunch of 3's. NC State defends the 3 fairly well at 30% OPP. I think this will be a back and forth game with each team making a run. I think in the end, it will come down to the last few possessions so I'll take the chalk.
Leans:
IU- 9.5
Maryland +4
$$: -6.8u
Awful start. I might be fade work only but I really love one play tonight. I've taken off a few days to try and get a better feel. Early season is tough but I can't find it at all right now. It happens and I know if I stay the course I'll be around 50-60% by year end hoping to be on the high end. Just how it goes. Looking to start a winning streak of profitable days tonight and get it started with a big play..
Locked in:
Florida St -3.5 5u - This is a big play for me and I would probably have continued to watch had this line not posted. Tough, tough spot for Tubby's Gophers here and while I like this Minnesota team a lot, going into Tallahasse on a Tuesday night after a bunch of games and travel the last few weeks doesn't bode well. 3 games the past 5 days against top tier comp (Stanford, Memphis and Duke). Florida St. has stabilized well after the first game debacle vs. S. Alabama. They beat a good St. Joe team and a decent BYU team on a neutral floor. I'm looking for Florida St.'s defense to create their offense. In the half court, Sota is tough to score on 35% OPP FG. However, they've shown they are vulnerable to athletic teams who pressure and then run out of that pressure (see Duke result). Snaer is a good perimeter scoring threat and I look for him to get some open looks in transition. Florida St. can match them on the boards which has been key to Sota's early success getting 12 ORB a game. More than anything, this is a spot play backing a strong defensive team vs a road weary team which is an angle I'll hammer every time.
NC State +6.6 1u - I like the Pack to keep this close. Two solid teams, where Michigan has gotten better results and has looked very good. They have one of the most dynamic back courts in the country with Hardaway and Burke and with newcomer Robinson on the inside to pair with Morgan and a few other talented frosh, this Michigan team is very good. I actually like Michigan in FUTURE's bet to win big 10 at decent odds. However, NC State can match up athletically and I think the versatility of the interior players will give Michigan trouble. Howell and Leslie are top notch forwards who can play inside-out. Brown is a proven scorer who can set up the offense and Wood is a key role player. Michigan success usually comes out of the precision they get offensively through running the Princeton offense. They shoot a bunch of 3's. NC State defends the 3 fairly well at 30% OPP. I think this will be a back and forth game with each team making a run. I think in the end, it will come down to the last few possessions so I'll take the chalk.
Leans:
IU- 9.5
Maryland +4
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