Posted:
#1
Lurked/posted on here for a while and it strikes me as odd that you don't really see much discussion of power ratings, metrics, juice, probabilities, shopping the best number, etc.
Now I'm not asking anyone to give away their numbers or edges but it seems strange that these are the things most paramount to our success as bettors and it's almost as if they're shunned on this site. Most veterans know that the margins are slim in this game and we need every advantage we can get. If you don't have a rating to anchor a team to, you are absolutely "gambling" in the truest sense. You can't possibly properly evaluate a bet without it.
You feel UCLA is a lock tonight? Great. Give me some objective reasoning for it. Tell me what you power rated the game and why you unbelievably came up with UCLA the favorite. If you power rated it Kent-2 but feel the Bruins have some intangibles going for them, tell us what and why (subjective).
I read quite frequently about guys who've made future bets on teams to win the tourney at awful prices when the correlated parlay will pay twice as much. What kind of sense does this make?
Rant over. Hopefully we can clean this place up a bit and get some productive handicapping discussions going. There are some intelligent people on here and this should be a place to learn and exchange ideas and not a place to tout or have a pissing contest.
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