Obviously tons of factors go into the lines, but this seems to be a point of emphasis for a lot of people, so just sharing some research..
The biggest discrepancy is Detroit, around 175 strength of opponents, playing PFW at 325, getting 1 on the road
North Kent is getting 7 on the road, LMD has the 350th sos according to kenpom (out of 358 teams). N kent isnt MUCH better, but its lower than 300...
The only reason I looked at this next game is because as soon as the line a red flag went up... A good n covering Youngstown team laying 3 to a 3-10 lafayette...
havent figured out the game and its a pass for me, but YST sos is a terrible 338... lafayette right around 250, and on the road
And for the play of the day. Just happens to fit into this thread as well--
**UAB -16** (17 now, not worried)
at home against FIU. I like FIU being 10-5 and with a solid ATS record also think that helped the line stay under 20 and the whole world taking UAB...but UAB is legit, can score at will (love taking their overs) and I think will make some noise in the tourney this year. FIU SOS is 349 (kenpom).... UAB is on fire at home, and 4-1 ATS when a 16 point or more favorite .... I dont see a way FIU is able to keep up or keep this a game for very long on the road
BOTLA
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Obviously tons of factors go into the lines, but this seems to be a point of emphasis for a lot of people, so just sharing some research..
The biggest discrepancy is Detroit, around 175 strength of opponents, playing PFW at 325, getting 1 on the road
North Kent is getting 7 on the road, LMD has the 350th sos according to kenpom (out of 358 teams). N kent isnt MUCH better, but its lower than 300...
The only reason I looked at this next game is because as soon as the line a red flag went up... A good n covering Youngstown team laying 3 to a 3-10 lafayette...
havent figured out the game and its a pass for me, but YST sos is a terrible 338... lafayette right around 250, and on the road
And for the play of the day. Just happens to fit into this thread as well--
**UAB -16** (17 now, not worried)
at home against FIU. I like FIU being 10-5 and with a solid ATS record also think that helped the line stay under 20 and the whole world taking UAB...but UAB is legit, can score at will (love taking their overs) and I think will make some noise in the tourney this year. FIU SOS is 349 (kenpom).... UAB is on fire at home, and 4-1 ATS when a 16 point or more favorite .... I dont see a way FIU is able to keep up or keep this a game for very long on the road
YST is playing N Kent and LAF is at LMD but we get the idea. SOS has to be looked at when seeing lines and records that don’t seem to make a lot of sense at first glance. Colgate fit that bill earlier in the week. Best of luck to you
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@Dac03
YST is playing N Kent and LAF is at LMD but we get the idea. SOS has to be looked at when seeing lines and records that don’t seem to make a lot of sense at first glance. Colgate fit that bill earlier in the week. Best of luck to you
Haha yep, my bad. I would edit, but like you said, I think anybody that is interested in these games know the fuck up I made lol. Point still stands for informational purposes
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Haha yep, my bad. I would edit, but like you said, I think anybody that is interested in these games know the fuck up I made lol. Point still stands for informational purposes
Had an early lean on this one but stayed away based on FIU's willingness to take, an ability to make, a ton of 3s. I specialize in spreads in this range and sometimes, for the lesser team, the willingness to shoot a ton of 3s can be the great equalizer. That isn't a conference I have capped extensively but in the UAB games I have watched/tracked, they haven't faced schools that let it fly from downtown. So I just don't know how they defend the line.
TIME TO BRING BACK THE OBAMA CAGES!
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Had an early lean on this one but stayed away based on FIU's willingness to take, an ability to make, a ton of 3s. I specialize in spreads in this range and sometimes, for the lesser team, the willingness to shoot a ton of 3s can be the great equalizer. That isn't a conference I have capped extensively but in the UAB games I have watched/tracked, they haven't faced schools that let it fly from downtown. So I just don't know how they defend the line.
Appreciate the input ! Could definitely be something to lookout for esp in a back door situation, will be playing the over for smalls as well. I think FIU was #2 in the country in 3s made per game a few weeks ago…
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Appreciate the input ! Could definitely be something to lookout for esp in a back door situation, will be playing the over for smalls as well. I think FIU was #2 in the country in 3s made per game a few weeks ago…
I still like UAB more than the other side but yeah, it's something that comes into play in potential backdoor situations. A team starts desperation heaving. Sometimes they drop, sometimes they don't.
TIME TO BRING BACK THE OBAMA CAGES!
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@Dac03
I still like UAB more than the other side but yeah, it's something that comes into play in potential backdoor situations. A team starts desperation heaving. Sometimes they drop, sometimes they don't.
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