Sadly don't have a lot of time to dig into this matchup as there isn't much data on Montana beyond what anyone can look up. Jacks coming off a loss at Alabama on a back to back in which they lead late in the 2H was a great display of grittiness. They have played far tougher competition than Montana (Boise State, Arkansas, Kent State and Alabama to name just their top 4 vs. Duquesne, Xaiver, Troy and Southern Miss as Montana's top 4). Jacks are 3-1 ATS vs their top 4 while Montanta is 0-4 ATS. Jacks with a SU win as a dog while Montana all double digit losses vs their top 4 and for the record only one of those spreads were by double digits and one Montana was even favored while the Jacks two were double digit spreads and none of them they were favored. So when it comes to tougher competition and being competitive with SOS that definitely favors the Jacks.
Jacks also might have revenge on their mind as Montana last year came into Frost and $hit all over them. I assure you there are a few upper classmen on this team that remember that night well.
Finally, Montana has been off for over a week while the Jacks are at the perfect 3-4 day rest between games. So Montana might have some rust which hopefully get get the Jacks off to a good start and not look back.
In summary the following are my plays:
Jacks +1.5 risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
Jacks +7.5 teased with Iowa +8.5 risking 1.4 units to win 1 unit
Jacks +7.5 teased with Georgia +10.5 and Sam Houston St +15.5 risking 0.9 units to win 2 units
Bonus degen action - Air Force beats University of South Dakota at home but not by double digits. So I took AF in a ML parlay and teased USD to +10.5. BOL!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Sadly don't have a lot of time to dig into this matchup as there isn't much data on Montana beyond what anyone can look up. Jacks coming off a loss at Alabama on a back to back in which they lead late in the 2H was a great display of grittiness. They have played far tougher competition than Montana (Boise State, Arkansas, Kent State and Alabama to name just their top 4 vs. Duquesne, Xaiver, Troy and Southern Miss as Montana's top 4). Jacks are 3-1 ATS vs their top 4 while Montanta is 0-4 ATS. Jacks with a SU win as a dog while Montana all double digit losses vs their top 4 and for the record only one of those spreads were by double digits and one Montana was even favored while the Jacks two were double digit spreads and none of them they were favored. So when it comes to tougher competition and being competitive with SOS that definitely favors the Jacks.
Jacks also might have revenge on their mind as Montana last year came into Frost and $hit all over them. I assure you there are a few upper classmen on this team that remember that night well.
Finally, Montana has been off for over a week while the Jacks are at the perfect 3-4 day rest between games. So Montana might have some rust which hopefully get get the Jacks off to a good start and not look back.
In summary the following are my plays:
Jacks +1.5 risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
Jacks +7.5 teased with Iowa +8.5 risking 1.4 units to win 1 unit
Jacks +7.5 teased with Georgia +10.5 and Sam Houston St +15.5 risking 0.9 units to win 2 units
Bonus degen action - Air Force beats University of South Dakota at home but not by double digits. So I took AF in a ML parlay and teased USD to +10.5. BOL!
take a look at south carolina state + winthrop over 157.5...both teams push pace consistently, both teams are bottom 50 in defensive efficiency, and both teams have an alarmingly high foul rate. there could be 90 possessions and 50 fouls called tonight...TONS of FT and layups galore for winthrop. each team should be in the 80s...
Until the wallet is full.
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take a look at south carolina state + winthrop over 157.5...both teams push pace consistently, both teams are bottom 50 in defensive efficiency, and both teams have an alarmingly high foul rate. there could be 90 possessions and 50 fouls called tonight...TONS of FT and layups galore for winthrop. each team should be in the 80s...
take a look at south carolina state + winthrop over 157.5...both teams push pace consistently, both teams are bottom 50 in defensive efficiency, and both teams have an alarmingly high foul rate. there could be 90 possessions and 50 fouls called tonight...TONS of FT and layups galore for winthrop. each team should be in the 80s...
Sounds good steponaduck. BOL today!
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Quote Originally Posted by steponaduck:
take a look at south carolina state + winthrop over 157.5...both teams push pace consistently, both teams are bottom 50 in defensive efficiency, and both teams have an alarmingly high foul rate. there could be 90 possessions and 50 fouls called tonight...TONS of FT and layups galore for winthrop. each team should be in the 80s...
Well 10 wasn't enough for the Yotes. They sucked a$$ this game. Obviously on the flip the AF ML worked out. But also hit the 2H over. So pending the ML parlay with AF I broke even.
Jacks line moved from +1.5 to -1 so that is a good sign. We will see how this plays out tonight. But glad I got my teasers in when I did. BOL to all!
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Well 10 wasn't enough for the Yotes. They sucked a$$ this game. Obviously on the flip the AF ML worked out. But also hit the 2H over. So pending the ML parlay with AF I broke even.
Jacks line moved from +1.5 to -1 so that is a good sign. We will see how this plays out tonight. But glad I got my teasers in when I did. BOL to all!
Jesus Christ Jacks. Well way off on this game. Talk about not even showing up. I don’t understand how you can lead most of the game at Georgia then get throttled by Montana. F’ing MONTANA! Well this is over. On to the next one.
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Jesus Christ Jacks. Well way off on this game. Talk about not even showing up. I don’t understand how you can lead most of the game at Georgia then get throttled by Montana. F’ing MONTANA! Well this is over. On to the next one.
To me, this college basketball is too hard to predict. Might as well flip a coin for this shit and hope you’re on the right side. It’s a guessing game. I don’t see how anyone can make any money off this sport. Football is already hard enough to pick.
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@jesron1269
To me, this college basketball is too hard to predict. Might as well flip a coin for this shit and hope you’re on the right side. It’s a guessing game. I don’t see how anyone can make any money off this sport. Football is already hard enough to pick.
it shouldn't bro. I made a bunch of cash on the Jack's the past few years. I haven't made 1 bet on them this year. Not the same team. Baylor is in Omaha. Douglas Wilson is gone. Not that good anymore. They will win some summit games but not the team we were used to seeing the last few years.
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Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:
Jack’s absolutely pathetic. This one shocks me.
it shouldn't bro. I made a bunch of cash on the Jack's the past few years. I haven't made 1 bet on them this year. Not the same team. Baylor is in Omaha. Douglas Wilson is gone. Not that good anymore. They will win some summit games but not the team we were used to seeing the last few years.
Trust me I know them well and accounted for all that. If you looked at all my posts I only bet with them now my second time of the season. All other times against them. So again I know all of that. But this one made no sense. Montana is not a good team. Period. Jacks have showed up and covered. Hell lead. Against some top 25 teams. The line movement favored the Jacks. I could see losing sure but to not even show up make zero and I mean zero sense.
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@Raider4life22
Trust me I know them well and accounted for all that. If you looked at all my posts I only bet with them now my second time of the season. All other times against them. So again I know all of that. But this one made no sense. Montana is not a good team. Period. Jacks have showed up and covered. Hell lead. Against some top 25 teams. The line movement favored the Jacks. I could see losing sure but to not even show up make zero and I mean zero sense.
Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269: Jack’s absolutely pathetic. This one shocks me. it shouldn't bro. I made a bunch of cash on the Jack's the past few years. I haven't made 1 bet on them this year. Not the same team. Baylor is in Omaha. Douglas Wilson is gone. Not that good anymore. They will win some summit games but not the team we were used to seeing the last few years.
Very True- and AD is not helping them any with this brutal schedule. A road gauntlet!
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Quote Originally Posted by Raider4life22:
Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269: Jack’s absolutely pathetic. This one shocks me. it shouldn't bro. I made a bunch of cash on the Jack's the past few years. I haven't made 1 bet on them this year. Not the same team. Baylor is in Omaha. Douglas Wilson is gone. Not that good anymore. They will win some summit games but not the team we were used to seeing the last few years.
Very True- and AD is not helping them any with this brutal schedule. A road gauntlet!
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