Just a Horrible week(2-4 last night-9.2 units). But we press on and try and fight through this. The way I have played this week i understand if you have faded me, but hopefully your still with me.
TOP PLAYS
4 UNIT PLAY
POWER ANGLE PLAY
Loyola- Maryland/ Iona Under 142.5:
Yes I know the pace in which the Gaels play at but the majority of
their high scoring games are vs teams with poor defenses and at home.
Last time on the road the Gaels played Manhattan and there were 158
points scored, but in looking at their previous 3 road contests there
was and average of 121.3 ppg scored. Those three teams (St. Peter's,
Siena and Fairfield) were all respectable on defense, allowing 68 ppg or
less. Now they get to face a Greyhound team that is 73rd in points
allowed at 62.8 ppg, while they have also allowed just 58.9 ppg in
conference play and just 53.2 ppg during their 6 games win streak. Iona
has scored 77.8 ppg on the road, but none of those teams played have
been locked in defensively as this Greyhound squad is right now. Because
of their pace Iona has allowed 72.2 ppg overall and 68.8 ppg on the
road, but they have played better in the MAAC, where they have allowed
just 65.4 ppg overall and 65.2 ppg in their last 5. Loyola has averaged
68.8 ppg in MAAC play and 69.3 ppg at home, but they have not hit more
than 70 points in each of their last 8 games. I don't think they will
here either as they will not look to run with the Gaels here as they
will try and frustrate them with a slower pace and great defense. I
don't expect the Greyhounds to keep them below 60 points like each of
their last 6 opponents, but just like Loyola, I do not expect the Gaels
to hit 70+ points here. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play
Under in all games where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points if a
team (LOYOLA-MD) is off 4 straight wins by 10 points or more vs an
opponent that played 2 straight games with a combined score of 155
points or more. This play is 36-11 since 1997.
3 UNIT PLAY
Dartmouth/ Princeton Over 118.5: The Princeton Tigers have played higher scoring games than normal for them this year as their games have averaged 126.8 ppg overall, while their conference games have averaged 129.4 ppg. One reason for the higher scoring games is their defense, which has struggled in the Ivy league, allowing 65.6 ppg. Dartmouth has not scored well in the Ivy league, where they have averaged just 52.8 ppg and that is mainly due to their two games vs Harvard, in which they averaged just 42.5 ppg, but in their last 4 Ivy games their average has gone up to 58 ppg. Gotta believe they should be able to hit at least that number vs this less than stellar Princeton defense. The Tiger on offense are not spectacular as they have averaged 63.3 ppg overall and 63.8 ppg in Ivy play and they will be taking on a Dartmouth team that has allowed 62.8 ppg in the league. I believe that Princeton should be able to hit at least 62 in this one. Neither team is a scoring machine, but there are enough deficiencies at the defensive end for this game to comfortable hit 120+.
OTHER PLAYS
2 UNIT PLAY
Brown +10.5 over COLUMBIA: Brown is not playing well as they have lost each of their last 3 games by 11 points or more, but each one of Columbia's 6 Ivy games have been decided by 5 points or less. I feel Brown can keep it close here.
1 UNIT PLAY
WRIGHT STATE -3 over Wisc-Green Bay: Play on a favorite that is a bad offensive team (<=63 PPG) after a combined score of 125 points or less 3 straight games vs a good defensive team (63-67 PPG). This play is 34-13 the last 5 seasons.
BEST OF LUCK EVERYONE
give me a fucking break son
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