Jeff's Tuesday CBB!!!

Enjoy your picks.  Haven't been able to find them lately.  Keep up the good work.  Good luck.

On Michigan State too. 

More plays for Super Tuesday

4 UNIT PLAY

Kansas State/ Texas A&M Over 121: The Aggies were to be contenders in the Big 12, but that hasn't panned out and it's mostly due to their offense that has racked up just 57.4 ppg in Big 12 play this year. The Aggies haven't been a bad scoring team at home, as they have averaged 65.1 ppg overall and that includes putting up 67.4 ppg in their last 7 Big 12 home games. Overall this year all 8 of Aggie Big 12 home games have hit at least 121 points, with an average of 132 ppg being scored. KSU has played some lower scoring games of late thanks to solid play at the defensive end, but that defense has struggled some on the road of late, as they have allowed 68.8 ppg in their last 4 away from home. On offense Kansas state has been that bad away from home as they have averaged 66.1 ppg away overall, including 68.1 ppg in their last 7 Big 12 road games, and their Big 12 road games overall have averaged 131.4 ppg. This should be a bit of a fast paced game with around 130 points being scored.   

TCU +8 Over WYOMING: Granted TCU struggled on the road vs San Diego State and New Mexico, But that was also earlier in the season and they have been playing much better since then. in their last 5 games the Horned Frogs have gone 4-1 and those wins have included wins over New Mexico and UNLV and the last time these teams played, TCU won by 6. Wyoming does not come into this game playing well as they have won just 1 of their last 5 games and 3 of their last 9 games. The Defense for the Cowboys has been solid all year, but it has been their offense that has abandoned them of late as they have averaged just 51.8 ppg in their last 5 games. TCU has struggled at the defensive end, but it has been better of late as they have allowed just 63.7 ppg in their last 3 games. TCU has a big edge on offense, as they have averaged 69.5 ppg on the road and 77.8 ppg in their last 5 games overall. 8 points is just too high when you have teams that are headed in the opposite directions and the dog is the team that is playing better.  

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

VANDERBILT -3.5 over Florida: Gonna look to the home team in this one. Sure they are off a tough battle with Kentucky, but they did lose that game and still have a ton to play for. Florida is off a bad loss to Georgia and I see it hard for them to regroup in this one vs a much tougher team. The Gators have averaged just 62 ppg in their last 6 games vs teams not named Arkansas (they put up 98 in that one) and it wont get any easier tonight vs a Vandy team that allows just 64.1 ppg on 42.5% shooting. The Gators have been pretty solid on defense overall, but on the road they have struggled some as they have allowed 70.4 ppg on 46.5% shooting away from home. I feel at home the Commodores will shake off that loss to Kentucky and win this one by 7 or 8.

UConn/ Providence Over 137: UConn needs to push the ball to be effective on offense and i'm sure the Friars will allow them to. Providence have struggled to score of late, but UConn has allowed 73.1 ppg in their last 6 games, so they should be able to get their offense going in this one. The Huskies do need to run to be effective and they have been a bit better of late as they have averaged 70.6 ppg in their last 5 games. That number should not go down here vs a Providence team that has allowed 75.4 ppg in their last 10 games. Both teams have an excellent shot at 70 points in this one.

   



1 UNIT PLAY

BUTLER -10.5 over Wright State: The Bulldogs kinda threw in the towel vs Valpo the other night, but this team has still played well down the stretch as they have won 5 of their last last 6 games. For them it has been a defense that has allowed just 55.6 ppg in their last 6 games. That is not good for a Wright State team that has averaged just 54 ppg on the road and 56.9 ppg in their last 9 overall. Butler's only shot at returning to the Dance is by winning their conference tournament and they will get off to a good start tonight, behind another solid defensive effort.