Posted:
#1
But like them to cover today. Here's why...
1. Tempo. UM is snails pace. KP has this sucker at 61 possessions. Again, you have to be super efficient to cover 27. Let's say UM scores 1.2 points per possession (above their 1.14 avg), in 61 possessions that is 73 points. Lets say they hold MD ES to .8 points per possession( Below their .97 avg considerably) that is 49 points. A cover. Can it be done? Sure, Michigan did it last game, shooting a ridiculous 77% from the field and 42% from 3, to go along 78% from the stripe. 1.43 Offensive efficiency, held C Ark to .78. Will they do it today? Betting they won't. Here's why...
2. Spot. UM was coming off a tough, embarrassing loss to UCLA. Poor C Ark was the recipient of a focused, angry Michigan team who could name their score, and did. Now they are in the middle of a homestand, two cupcakes to play before Xmas. Where is the motivation? MD E shore - first lined game of season, on Big Ten network, so all their friends and family can watch. Start of a road trip for them - as fresh and motivated as a team with one win (against something called Central Penn) can be.
3. They can shoot the three. 35%, UM allows close to 40%.
4. They should not turn the ball over too much.
Play on: Maryland Eastern Shore +27
GL 
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