ML DOG OF THE DAY!!!!

BUFFALO +170

Guys this is a gift here.  Buffalo is better than there record and they are playing well as of late.  Miami Oh is not better than Buffalo.  Yes they are at home but I will take a shot with Buffalo here as they go into Miami and win outright.

I like it too. Should be a good game but Buffalo holdin on here. Best of luck surebet. Keep those winners comin

I would say both teams need this game. Each is trying to secure a Top 4 seed for the conference tournament AND a first round bye. Buffalo is in the driver's seat as the current third seed and needs this win to avoid Kent St who poses greater matchup problems than Akron. Problem is, those two teams battle for the MAC title on Friday. Tricky situation but teams never want to drop their final game. Miami (OH) on the other hand is muddled in 8-7 pack vying for the fourth seed. Miami (OH) holds the tiebreaker over the other 8-7 conference opponents so a win will assure them of a Top 4 seed regardless.

Miami (OH) leads the league in scoring defense at 61.1 ppg and are eager to erase their most lopsided conference loss of the year at Buffalo on 1/9/10, the first game of conference play where everything went wrong in that game. Leading scorer for the Redhawks Kenny Hayes was limited to 4 points on his worst shooting night of the season going 1-10 in 38 minutes of play. Since that performance, he has eclipsed double figures in 13 of his last 15 games, including three 20-point games 

I see this playing out in the mid-50's with an emphasis on rebounding, block shots and creating turnovers. Miami (OH) has done an excellent job of limiting points in the paint with the third highest number of blocked shots in school history.

In a low scoring game, Buffalo's Rodney Pierce should be the difference with his ability to score off the dribble and get to the foul line, where he shoots over 80% this year.

Miami (OH) is also 4-8 in games decided by 5 points or less this year. Granted they have been road dogs in most, but during those 12 games, they lead with 5 mins to go in 7 (2-5 record) so their inability to close out tight games is concerning. If Senior C Adam Fletcher is unable to go for the Redhawks tomorrow night (HIGHLY LIKELY  HE WILL PLAY ON SENIOR NIGHT BUT IS QUESTIONABLE), this line will drop to -1 or even a pick without his inside presence to defend and rebound.

Buffalo is 5-5 as a road dog -vs- the Redhawks as 6-3 ATS as home favorites. Home team is also 1-4 ATS L5 in this series.

One concerning stat for Buffalo backers would be their inability to defend the three on the road. They allow nearly 40% from beyond the arc in road games this year, surrendering 18 attempts for their opponents. And Miami just happens to shoot nearly a third of their shots from 3 a game (32.7% accuracy this year in home games). A sleeper in this game is whether F Julian Mavunga is hitting his shots for the Redhawks. As a 6'8" forward he is not afraid to shoot from three range, having attempted 60 3's this year and making them at 39%. If he can draw the defense out and allow Hayes to drive the lane and dish off to Fletcher and Nick Winbush, this will create several easy scoring chances.  

I would agree with Buffalo since I had this game lined as Buffalo -1 initially but looking further I'll be taking the points in a very close game where the Redhawks own the edge in FT shooting (as a team) and their ability to defend the three point shot.

Miami (OH) 63, Buffalo 60

GL with the play surebet. 

Just wanted to comment on this game since you started a thread.

I am already locked in with BUFFALO. 

Of course they are going to show up. They have a game to play. Dont teams normally show up when they have a game to play:? I thought they did. So they will show up tonight and get their asses handed to them at home. GO BUFFALO

Great pick Surebet. You are da man

I am just messing with him. He is a good friend of mine. I had Buffalo too. I just like bashing him. He bashes me too. Its all for fun my friend. I never bash any1 unless they bash me.