::Monday:: 11/25 (67-71-1 YTD)

Going forward, I'm likely to take weekends off.  I just can't contain myself to a handful of plays and end up with 40 plays and thats just a really bad idea.  

Miami (OH) -5

Redhawks score nearly half of their points from beyond the arc, and Siena is in the bottom 10 schools in defending the 3.  Siena also ranks 304th (Kenpom) in TO% on offense while Miami OH comes in at a very respectable 49th on defense TO%.  Siena is also one of the top 10 youngest teams in the country, so I look for them to be very sloppy with the ball, and as long as the Hawks are getting 3s to fall, this one shouldn't even be a contest. 

UAB -9.5

I'm going back to the Andy Kennedy well one last time. 0-2 in this MTE, you have to think they NEED to win a game on the islands, and after dropping to the likes of Longwood and Illinois St, this is a great chance to beat up on a bad basketball team. Lendeborg takes this game over and UAB leaves the Virgin Islands feeling a little bit better about where they stand. 

Memphis +8.5

UCONN has yet to play a team ranked better than 321st in Kenpom rankings.  They fly allllll the way to Maui and get the uptempo, athletic Memphis Tigers as their first real test on the year.  I would imagine the speed of the game will take a while for the Huskies to get in tune.  Tigers keep this one close, may even pull the upset, in the Maui opener. 

Southern Illinois/La Tech Over 143

Scott Nagy has brought his not so great defensive approach with him to Carbondale from Wright St.  Their overs are 3-1 and the loss was by .5 point at 161.5 to Okie Light.  Their offense can/should do enough to get to 65, but its their defense that will "shine" for me today and La Tech should have no problem getting to 80.

I'll be back with 3pm cst tips in a bit

good luck STL 

STLTH.......

Let’s go UAB!!!

GL today STL 

Ty sir!!

Crushed them at the end - all that matters

Great card.  UAB had me sweating!!!!

@L1ttleb1ter

 It was super ugly for 35 mins, but like you said, they turned on another gear defensively and got a lot of easy buckets late. 

@D-Town

@totter

@IAdecimal5

 you too IA

@Buzzard311

@Robards

 thanks for stopping by

Colorado +8.5

Sparty has a shooting problem and that doesn't bode well hitting the road. 358th in 3pt% according to Kenpom, so they will need to score inside, or in transition.  They may get a few easy buckets from Buffs turnovers (347th TO%), but scoring in the halfcourt will be an issue as the Buffalos have the 16th best 2pt% defense.  Michigan St also fouls quite a bit, so hoping Colorado takes advantage of that and takes the ball to the basket to either get a layup or get fouled.  Lastly, who knows how healed Jase Richardsons ankle is.  This is just too many points. 

Merrimack/UMASS-Lowell Under 137.5

Both teams rely HEAVILY on getting baskets inside the 3pt line.  The Warriors are 362nd in 3pt%, and the River Hawks aren't much better coming in at 337th.  With that said, Merrimacks offense as a hole has an effective ranking of 343rd.  Lowell will turn the ball over enough to keep their offensive output low, but I'm not sure how Merrimack makes it to 60 points. 

Buffalo -3.5

Bulls get a true home game for the holidays. This game comes down to Buffalos ability to get on the offensive glass and create second and third opportunities.  A&T doesn't do anything on the offensive end that is going to turn heads, and neither does Buffalo really.  But just because the Bulls will create more chances, they should win this by multiple possessions. 

North Texas -6.5

The Beavers are headed to Denton, TX and I fully expect it to be a packed house.  The Mean Green are still a defending machine, but their offense can be very ugly in the half court.  They rely heavily on the 3 ball, and transition buckets to score, and being at home, with an above average home court advantage, I think this one could get ugly.  Oregon St is coming off nearly beating Oregon in the Civil War game, but other than that, they haven't played anyone in the Kenpom top 100.  First true road game can be a problem.  Mean Green by a million. 

 Let’s go Buffs  My POD

and Like N. Texas also  GL brother 

Quinnipiac +8.5

Its a bad spot for my Billikens.  They get smacked around by Wichita St the other night, and have a UMASS-Lowell team on deck that is very capable of beating them.  They are getting Robbie Avila back tonight, and I think that's awesome.  But I'm not sure how much he plays.  Gonna take a bit to get back into game shape for the big fella.  Quinnipiacs defense does enough to keep them within the number vs a team that may be looking past them.

Central Michigan/Minnesota Under 128.5

Minnesota hasn't gotten to 60 points in their last three games, and neither has their opponent.  Their only hope to wins games is to play at a snails pace, pray to get layups, and then play solid D.  They have no intent of looking to score in transition, and want to keep possessions to a minimum.  Im banking on CMU not being able to hit a ton of deep jump shots, and the Gophers to value possessions, once again, keeping their opponent under 60.

Xavier -6

South Carolina has only played once outside of their own gym, and they lost by 18 at Indiana.  I don't love how dependent Xavier is on the 3 point shot, but I think they make enough of them to keep the Cocks at bay.  Outside of IU, SC hasn't played a top 130 team, so the level of play will just be too much. SC is a much better offense when they work inside-out, but getting the inside game going against Freemantle and co. won't be easy to come by. 

UNC/Dayton Over 155

Carolina wants to get out and go at every opportunity and Dayton isn't the slowest team in the country either.  But the Heels never put an emphasis on D, especially out of conference play.  It becomes an up and down track race most times, and that is where they excel.  Dayton will be able to exploit the lack of a true, solid big man body in the paint, and get some easy buckets around the rim.  3s will be flying, just need a few of them to go in and the number should be very attainable. 

GL everyone

@Ryoshiii

 LFG!! 

Hell of a call on Memphis!!!Grabbed the points and ML

@Robards

 Nice!!  I couldn't believe Penny didn't foul up 3 in regulation, but it worked out. 

long time...go mem.

Lets go Buffalo!!!

@STLTarHeels

 North Texas -5 now

@dayknight

 Now I think North Texas by half a million then

WOW 

Start 4-0 then go 0-6, 2 pending. 

College BB 

@PLAYAAAA1969

 It’s a wild ride