YTD 22-8-1 +13.43U
Yesterday: 6-0 +5.5U
Official Plays
Utah Tech @ FIU
Utah Tech 0-7 on away games this year but some of those were against some tough teams - Utah St., Boise St., Utah, Oregon, Wyoming. Their other 2 away games they lost by a margin of 3 in each game - Montana, Portland St. Both teams have a better offense than FIU but FIU does have the better defense. Looking at FIU games at home against similar teams, they won 1 game by 5 and lost the other. They haven't won a game on December 30th since 2018 (I'm from Miami and I know how lazy people get around the holidays). Utah Off SOS 66, Def SOS 122. FIU Off SOS 229, Def SOS 324
Utah Tech +5.5
Utah Tech +195 ML .5U
Bryant U @ Grand Canyon
I think this line is too large in favor of Bryant U. GC - Of their 8 home games, they lost 1, 4 were within 10pts, 2 were way above the spread here but against NR and #361, and 1 win was against Norfolk St. by 18. Of their away games Bryant has lost 5 - of those, one was to St. Bonaventure and the other Chatanooga (-15,-8 margin). Both of those offenses better than GC. The Bonnies also have a better defense and they only won by 15. I see Bryant U covering here.
Bryant +12.5
LMU @ Wash St.
This one stood out instantly. WSU has won every home game by this spread. LMU has lost every away game by this spread.
Washington St. -8.5
Medium Leans
Over 154.5 Columbia/Rutgers - 8 out of 10 of Columbia's games this year have had someone score in the 80s. Rutgers both games at home against similar teams have both gone over 160.
Rutgers -11.5 - Columbia has some of the worst SOS on both sides. They did beat Villanova but they had so many close games against #300+ teams and they lost by 15 at Albany. Rutgers is 6-0 at home - 92 Off SOS, 40 Def SOS. Coming off a loss to Princeton I see them coming out to play here.
SE Louisiana +18 - SLU's biggest loss of the season was to Miss St. by 21 -- better team than McNeese. McNeese largest win of the year was New Orleans by 25 (similar offense rank to SLU but SLU has better D and actually shoots the ball better).
Low Leans
Akron @ Princeton
I've been bouncing back and forth between the two here. Princeton with the better offense but can't rebound for shit. They make up for it by not committing a lot of turnovers. Akron recently lost to Yale by 16, a team with similar offensive stats to Princeton - Yale defense slightly better so I see why the -5.5 line. Akron 0-2 on the road but Princeton has not covered a -5.5 line at home except for against Nazareth. Too close to call for me. What I like more is the under.
Under 156
Live Watch (All depend on team performance)
Cornell -8 or below
Great Record 
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