A light schedule for tonight, but three really solid games, all with potential to be close ones.
Baylor -8.5 (26 units to win 24.76)
Iowa State / Baylor OVER 140.5 (24 units to win 22.86)
Most are likely viewing this as a ton of points for a team who has lost 7 of 8 ATS against a team who has won 7 in a row. I'm not one of those people, as I think the opening line of 10 is right where this should have been based on recent common opponents, so the 8.5 now shows a slight discount. Baylor is the better team, no question about that, and while they haven't looked great in recent weeks, they have played quite a gauntlet of a schedule of late. Since their 41 point drubbing of Okie Light (a team who just beat Iowa State), Baylor played four bookend games against Kansas and Missouri, while defeating sub-par conference teams. So, basically, Baylor hasn't fared well against the two top teams in the conference, both top 5 teams in the country. Iowa State is rolling, but careful not to be fooled by thinking a home win vs. Kansas translates so easily into a solid road performance @ a Baylor team who very badly needs to get back on track.
lean the over as well
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