Posted:
#1
4-2 last night ... Let's get right to the Valley where the top seed hasn't won since 1998, so fully expect the brackets to be meesed up along the way .... taking both MVC dogs today
Missouri Valley Conference:
Evansville Purple Aces +10.5
Missouri State is a horrible road team .. just brutal. The Bears are 1-14 SU and 2-11 ATS on the road this year. They have been favored on the road/neutral court once this year and that was the first game of the season, a 57-53 loss to Toledo. Now, they open up the MVC tournament as a DD favorite on a neutral court vs. a team they recently beat by 38 points at home a few games back.
Based on that 10.5 would seem easy to cover, but Evansville beat the Bears by 19 earlier in the year on their home court and surely will have a bad taste in their mouth from the last time these two teams met.
Think most will have the win over Drake fresh on their mind, but you can't consider any home games when capping a Missouri State game -- just a completely different team away from their building. The Bears have been outscored by an average of 10 points on the road.
Bears are 0-6 ats in their last 6 neutral court games as a favorite.
Wichita State Shockers +1.5
Think the wrong team is favored .. or really, no team should be favored. Previous games between these two should put this game at a pick. Can't see a team that shoots less than 40% from the field on the road this year as a favorite.
be back with the regular season games ...
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