NCAA Tuesday

At the risk of change bringing about bad karma, I'm going to change my unit methodology beginning now and going until the end of the college basketball season.  I want to be more inline with the forum, and while I think unit size is grossly overrated (pun intended), I'm not opposed to conforming.  When I say unit size doesn't matter, I mean it's all relative.  If someone is up +500 units, that profit is maintained regardless of whether your unti is $1, $100 or $1000.  Profit is profit. 

My previous unit methodology was spawned from my buddy and I forming a "betting alliance" when we started gambling.  Effectively we were doubling up, but were right out of college, so didn't have the roll.  Out of superstition and to honor my fallen friend (from gambling, not from life) I just kept with it.  Changing it up now, so hope I'm not bringing on a curse..

Long story short, 1 unit = $100.  You won't see many 1 unit plays unless it is a ML 

Will I shut up already?  Yes, I will

Green Bay +3 (3 units to win 2.86)

Green Bay +140 (1 unit to win 1.4)

The Phoenix got steamrolled the last time they entered the Youngstown State gym, losing 77-47 back on 1/22/2012.  Since that game, Green Bay has been the best team in the Horizon based on perrformance.  They are 8-2 since that thumping, with losses of 6 points vs. Wisc-Milwaukee and 3 points @ Detroit.  Nothing to be ashamed of with either loss.  They have beaten Butler, Valpo and Cleveland State. Oddsmakers are telling us who the better team is with this small number for a home team who crushed the Phoenix about a month ago.  Always difficult to perform at a high level on nuetral floors in conf tourneys, so making this a true road game is even tougher, but the Phoenix are playing very well over their last 10 and have Youngstown State to thank for that.    

dolyman, andre - thanks fellas

JHenry - I've admittedly kept horrible tracking for college hoops this year, but started to go through all my posts and reconcile the record.  I'll try and have this up in the coming days. 

Jerome - It's very confusing, but post college kind of was anyway.  Previous wagers were based on a unit = $20, so a 30 unit wager was $600.  So, really I've increased my unit amount 5x to be more consistent with the forum and honestly to maintain more accurate records/tracking.  This combined 4 unit play is equivalent to a 20 unit play before, so about a normal bet. Hope this makes sense and sorry for the shift, but felt the start of conference tournaments was a good time to start.  This will carry over for other sports as well

Xavier / Saint Louis OVER 125.5 (7.2 units to win 6.86)

In conference road games this year, Xavier is a tale of two teams.  Against the bottom of the conference, Xavier seems to be able to win with their defense.  While against the upper half of the conference, to this point, they have lost in high scoring games.  On the road against teams with .500+ conference records, Xavier is 0-4, being outscored on average 83-71.  On the road against sub-.500 teams, Xavier is 3-0 outscoring opponents 66-62.  Granted St. Louis is the best defensive team in the conference, tonight's game has huge implications for Xavier, badly needing both an A10 tourney bye and a quality win on its resume. St Louis wants to dictate a slow tempo, but I think they'll be pressed into a more fast paced contest tonight.  Xavier, as proven in previous road games gives up a ton of points to the better teams in the conference and I think tonight is no different.  

brewmaster - they played well down the stretch. I hope your renewed interest doesn't jinx them. Kidding, glad to have you on board tonight

rokisky, Getty - thanks guys, really appreciate it.  Looking forward to he next month+

retburj, Jose - thanks fellas

I'm playing IU 1st half +1.5,,,  GL SDS