I like Ole Miss to cover the 4.5 point spread at home on Saturday. Both teams have struggled ATS in their last few games, but I’ll take the Rebels who have won 4 of their last 5 games and are playing on their home floor. Mississippi State on the other hand has lost 3 of their last 4 games, and have allowed 75+ points in each of the last 4 games. Ole Miss ranks 68th in opponent points per game while Mississippi State ranks 159th. My favorite trend for this game is that the Rebels are 4-3 ATS against ranked opponents. The Bulldogs? They are just 1-7 ATS against ranked opponents.
Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Prediction: Ole Miss -4.5
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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Prediction:
I like Ole Miss to cover the 4.5 point spread at home on Saturday. Both teams have struggled ATS in their last few games, but I’ll take the Rebels who have won 4 of their last 5 games and are playing on their home floor. Mississippi State on the other hand has lost 3 of their last 4 games, and have allowed 75+ points in each of the last 4 games. Ole Miss ranks 68th in opponent points per game while Mississippi State ranks 159th. My favorite trend for this game is that the Rebels are 4-3 ATS against ranked opponents. The Bulldogs? They are just 1-7 ATS against ranked opponents.
Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Prediction: Ole Miss -4.5
I like Michigan State to cover the spread on the road here. The Spartans have struggled as of late, losing 3 of their last 4 games, with the one win being a 2nd half comeback after trailing by 14 against Oregon at the half. This team needs a big momentum changing win as they follow up this matchup with games against four straight ranked opponents. The Spartans won the first matchup between these two earlier in the season 80-78. Despite how bad they have looked, they are 4-2 SU on the road this season and 3-2-1 ATS. Their 2 road losses came by 6 points to USC and 2 points against UCLA, so they didn’t lose by much in either one. I like them to keep this one close as well.
Michigan State vs. Illinois Prediction: Michigan State +6.5
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Illinois is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
The OVER is 7-3 in Illinois’ last 10 games
I like Michigan State to cover the spread on the road here. The Spartans have struggled as of late, losing 3 of their last 4 games, with the one win being a 2nd half comeback after trailing by 14 against Oregon at the half. This team needs a big momentum changing win as they follow up this matchup with games against four straight ranked opponents. The Spartans won the first matchup between these two earlier in the season 80-78. Despite how bad they have looked, they are 4-2 SU on the road this season and 3-2-1 ATS. Their 2 road losses came by 6 points to USC and 2 points against UCLA, so they didn’t lose by much in either one. I like them to keep this one close as well.
Michigan State vs. Illinois Prediction: Michigan State +6.5
Take the Gators to cover the 14.5 point spread at home on Saturday night. Despite the record and the losing streak, the Gamecocks have played very well this season against ranked opponents, losing by 4 to Ole Miss and Texas A&M, 5 to Mississippi State, 1 to this very same Gators team, and 3 to Auburn. The issue is that all of those were on their home court, and this matchup on Saturday is in Gainesville. South Carolina is 2-5 ATS on the road this season, including 0-3 in their last 3 road games. They average 10 points per game less on the road (63.6) compared to at home (73.5). On the other side, the Gators are 8-4 ATS on their home court, and 3-0 ATS in their last 3. Florida ranks 9th in the country in points per game, averaging 83.6. Defensively, the Gators allow 66.5 points per game, but at home they are allowing just 60.8. Florida should be able to dominate this in this matchup on Saturday.
South Carolina vs. Florida Prediction: Florida -14.5
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The UNDER is 6-3-1 in Florida’s last 10 games
Take the Gators to cover the 14.5 point spread at home on Saturday night. Despite the record and the losing streak, the Gamecocks have played very well this season against ranked opponents, losing by 4 to Ole Miss and Texas A&M, 5 to Mississippi State, 1 to this very same Gators team, and 3 to Auburn. The issue is that all of those were on their home court, and this matchup on Saturday is in Gainesville. South Carolina is 2-5 ATS on the road this season, including 0-3 in their last 3 road games. They average 10 points per game less on the road (63.6) compared to at home (73.5). On the other side, the Gators are 8-4 ATS on their home court, and 3-0 ATS in their last 3. Florida ranks 9th in the country in points per game, averaging 83.6. Defensively, the Gators allow 66.5 points per game, but at home they are allowing just 60.8. Florida should be able to dominate this in this matchup on Saturday.
South Carolina vs. Florida Prediction: Florida -14.5
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