New System in the works

Cont'd from above. Here are a few more to think about.

South Alabama +3.5
Kenpom prediction +6
% of Bets - ?
Movement - ?

Youngstown/Loyola Chi under 135
Kenpom prediction 139
% of Bets - ?
Movement - ?

Illinois Chicago +10
Kenpom prediction +13
% of Bets - ?
Movement - ?

Cleveland St/Ill Chi over 130
Kenpom prediction 127
% of Bets - ?
Movement - ?

Duke/BC under 150
Kenpom prediction 157
% of Bets - ?
Movement - ?

Samford +2.5
Kenpom prediction +6
% of Bets - ?
Movement - ?

N Dakota St/Southern Utah under 146
Kenpom prediction 152
% of Bets - ?
Movement - ?

North Texas/Lafayette under 151
Kenpom prediction 155
% of Bets - ?
Movement - ?

Oh, here's and early one

Towson +18.5
Kenpom prediction +25
% of Bets - 58% on Towson
Movement - 19 to 18.5

George Mason/Towson under 142
Kenpom prediction 149
% of Bets - Still watching showing 57%
Movement - ?

Pick:

George Mason/Towson under 142
Kenpom prediction 149
% of Bets - Still watching showing 57% on over
Movement - down 1/2 point

Here is the problem with systems... they 99.9% of the time don't work. The biggest reason is the outcomes of events are not intertwined.  Each event is determined by its own set of parameters.

We often times can see structure in the noise because of the nature of mathematics. Bible code... Da Vinci code..etc. are examples of finding structure within chaos.

The nature of systems is they are easy to backfeed ...but they typically don't translate well into predicting future events. Lets face it..people have been trying to predict future events since the beginning... and its very very very hard to do.

I am not saying your system won't work... because a decent % can and will succeed in the short term... long term is typically a different story. good luck

Pick

Mississippi St +6
Kenpom prediction +14
% of Bets - 56% on Vandy
Movement - Opened at +7.5