One of those tough days yesterday as I felt really good about all 5 plays and ended 1-3-1. Tough .5 beat in the BYU game but the other misses were bad. Like a few favorites today.
Locked in:
SFla +7.5 -1u: This line keeps rising as it started at 6. SFla has struggled to begin the year while Central looks sharp. Flat out, 7.5 is too much for a team with superior athletes and a huge front court advantage. SFla lost to a quality S. Miss team with a good coach. I like that they garnered 20 assists last game as that tells me they are sharing the ball and playing together. Central has their back court in tact and they play well together. I think they will pull out the win but not a cover.
Minny-5 -1u: This just seems too short for me. Minn is not getting respect from Vegas. W. Kentucky has some people back but missing their top gun from last year in Slaughter. W. Kentucky's front line has done their scoring so far this year but none of them top 6'6. Minn strength is on the interior and they will come with Sampson 6'10, Mbakwe 6'8, Iverson 6'10. Their best athlete Williams 6'8 off the bench has shown great athleticism. I know, tall doesn't mean good, but Minnesota swallows teams with their ball pressure b/c they have such great help in the paint. I think they will frustrate WKy and do enough offensively to cover.
Richmond -5.5 -1u: Gotta ride with CrusCrenshaw on this one the A10 specialist. This line just seems silly which makes me worried. But Iona is 0-3 under a new coach so it seems they are having issues adjusting. They will face a great defensive team tonight and a team that will execute on offense to get great shots. I like Richmond by 10.
WV u140.5- 1u: W. Virginia plays the D and Davidson has trouble scoring against big physical line ups. First game on a neutral court for both teams so I have to think their shooting will be a bit off. In the end, I don't think Davidson breaks 60 and I'm betting WV sticks under 80.
WV-14- 1u: Same rational as above. Davidson will have trouble scoring and more importantly will get dominated on the boards. I'm not convinced WV knows where to go to get points yet but I think they'll get enough in transition and via off rebounds to cover.
Leans: Neb +7- Vandy struggles on neutral court and I think Neb is improved.
Pitt-7- This line is getting away from me. Want it at 6.
Virg +5- Virg is underrated and have the best coach in the tourney.
Charlotte +2.5- They've been awful to start but this team returns too much talent to not compete in this tournament.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Record: 13-8-2 (62%) $: +3.7u
One of those tough days yesterday as I felt really good about all 5 plays and ended 1-3-1. Tough .5 beat in the BYU game but the other misses were bad. Like a few favorites today.
Locked in:
SFla +7.5 -1u: This line keeps rising as it started at 6. SFla has struggled to begin the year while Central looks sharp. Flat out, 7.5 is too much for a team with superior athletes and a huge front court advantage. SFla lost to a quality S. Miss team with a good coach. I like that they garnered 20 assists last game as that tells me they are sharing the ball and playing together. Central has their back court in tact and they play well together. I think they will pull out the win but not a cover.
Minny-5 -1u: This just seems too short for me. Minn is not getting respect from Vegas. W. Kentucky has some people back but missing their top gun from last year in Slaughter. W. Kentucky's front line has done their scoring so far this year but none of them top 6'6. Minn strength is on the interior and they will come with Sampson 6'10, Mbakwe 6'8, Iverson 6'10. Their best athlete Williams 6'8 off the bench has shown great athleticism. I know, tall doesn't mean good, but Minnesota swallows teams with their ball pressure b/c they have such great help in the paint. I think they will frustrate WKy and do enough offensively to cover.
Richmond -5.5 -1u: Gotta ride with CrusCrenshaw on this one the A10 specialist. This line just seems silly which makes me worried. But Iona is 0-3 under a new coach so it seems they are having issues adjusting. They will face a great defensive team tonight and a team that will execute on offense to get great shots. I like Richmond by 10.
WV u140.5- 1u: W. Virginia plays the D and Davidson has trouble scoring against big physical line ups. First game on a neutral court for both teams so I have to think their shooting will be a bit off. In the end, I don't think Davidson breaks 60 and I'm betting WV sticks under 80.
WV-14- 1u: Same rational as above. Davidson will have trouble scoring and more importantly will get dominated on the boards. I'm not convinced WV knows where to go to get points yet but I think they'll get enough in transition and via off rebounds to cover.
Leans: Neb +7- Vandy struggles on neutral court and I think Neb is improved.
Pitt-7- This line is getting away from me. Want it at 6.
Virg +5- Virg is underrated and have the best coach in the tourney.
Charlotte +2.5- They've been awful to start but this team returns too much talent to not compete in this tournament.
Nebraska +7.5 -1u: This is an action play as I'm hunkered down watching games today. Never the smartest but I did have Neb lean last night after looking at the lines. Vandy missing 2 top scorers from last year but do return some talent. Nebraska has size and I think Jeter is a decent lead guard. I'll take the points on the neutral court where Vandy struggled last year.
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WV u140.5- 1u: 78 FTA and 67 fouls. Beating.
WV-14- 1u: PUSH. 18 missed FT's by WV. Beating.
On to the next one.
Added:
Nebraska +7.5 -1u: This is an action play as I'm hunkered down watching games today. Never the smartest but I did have Neb lean last night after looking at the lines. Vandy missing 2 top scorers from last year but do return some talent. Nebraska has size and I think Jeter is a decent lead guard. I'll take the points on the neutral court where Vandy struggled last year.
SFla +7.5 -1u: Minny-5 -1u Nebraska +7.5 -1u: Adding: Illinois -3.5 -1u: I like this Orange Crush squad especially in the Garden with a veteran and talented point guard in Mcamey. Texas youth will struggle in the big venue and I look for Illinois to get better shots.
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SFla +7.5 -1u: Minny-5 -1u Nebraska +7.5 -1u: Adding: Illinois -3.5 -1u: I like this Orange Crush squad especially in the Garden with a veteran and talented point guard in Mcamey. Texas youth will struggle in the big venue and I look for Illinois to get better shots.
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