Knew to this site but quite confused by a lot of these posts so early in the day. I get everybody doesnt work mon-fri jobs and first shift but you need to see line movement and put in the time handicapping the game not just looking at records and gut feeling by watching them on ESPN. To each there own though.
5-4 ytd..disappointing 1-2 day yesterday but put in more time today to make up for that hopefully.
Picks on way with write-ups shortly
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Knew to this site but quite confused by a lot of these posts so early in the day. I get everybody doesnt work mon-fri jobs and first shift but you need to see line movement and put in the time handicapping the game not just looking at records and gut feeling by watching them on ESPN. To each there own though.
5-4 ytd..disappointing 1-2 day yesterday but put in more time today to make up for that hopefully.
Kansas -3.5...K state just doesn't match up well with this team. They are outsized at 4-5 starting positions. Wiggins on foster in first game held him to 1-11 shooting because of that height. Kansas has been intent on working the ball low last few games more then usual and there going to continue to do that. They want their big man Embid to get off his freshman drought scoring last couple games. And to add Kansas's success vs k state past couple years. I see this trend staying true. Kansas by 9.
Miami U +5..Soon as I saw this game it caught my eye. Public is 70+% on Florida st depending on site and has been in struggles recently without Ian Miller. He is doibtful tonight according to school newspaper as well. Add in Miami playing well even though 2 straight losses. They lost those games by a combined 5 points. Also add in revenge factor for home loss early in season that they were neck in neck until last 5 mins where flor st went on 13-3 run. I see this game being neck and neck with Miami winning late by 4.
Iowa State -1.5 - This one is not going to be liked by a lot of you on here by what I am seeing but here me out first. Both teams have severe matchup issues with the other lineup. To start Staten at 6'2 190, ISU is going to have to decide to go with size in Kane or quickness in Morris. Or zone, Kane will lose in speed witch will hurt and Morris is giving 1 in and about 20 pounds up to Staten. Tough decision, but where I think it weights out more is how WV guards ISU. They have nobody to guard Kane or Ejim. Henderson will be on Ejim and is icing up 2 inches and 20 pounds. May put up more then 48 tonight lol. And then Kane at 6'4 200 who plays a lot larger then this will be guarded by Harris who is a horrible matchup. That's if they play man, and that will hurt Harris offensively covering Kane for full game. Other option is a their 1-2-2 zone defense and that's is going to lead to the 3 which this team ISU team loves and will hit the wide open shot that it will receive at some point. Take it whichever way you want but I think Iowa st has more advantage in their favor. Iowa st by 6
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Kansas -3.5...K state just doesn't match up well with this team. They are outsized at 4-5 starting positions. Wiggins on foster in first game held him to 1-11 shooting because of that height. Kansas has been intent on working the ball low last few games more then usual and there going to continue to do that. They want their big man Embid to get off his freshman drought scoring last couple games. And to add Kansas's success vs k state past couple years. I see this trend staying true. Kansas by 9.
Miami U +5..Soon as I saw this game it caught my eye. Public is 70+% on Florida st depending on site and has been in struggles recently without Ian Miller. He is doibtful tonight according to school newspaper as well. Add in Miami playing well even though 2 straight losses. They lost those games by a combined 5 points. Also add in revenge factor for home loss early in season that they were neck in neck until last 5 mins where flor st went on 13-3 run. I see this game being neck and neck with Miami winning late by 4.
Iowa State -1.5 - This one is not going to be liked by a lot of you on here by what I am seeing but here me out first. Both teams have severe matchup issues with the other lineup. To start Staten at 6'2 190, ISU is going to have to decide to go with size in Kane or quickness in Morris. Or zone, Kane will lose in speed witch will hurt and Morris is giving 1 in and about 20 pounds up to Staten. Tough decision, but where I think it weights out more is how WV guards ISU. They have nobody to guard Kane or Ejim. Henderson will be on Ejim and is icing up 2 inches and 20 pounds. May put up more then 48 tonight lol. And then Kane at 6'4 200 who plays a lot larger then this will be guarded by Harris who is a horrible matchup. That's if they play man, and that will hurt Harris offensively covering Kane for full game. Other option is a their 1-2-2 zone defense and that's is going to lead to the 3 which this team ISU team loves and will hit the wide open shot that it will receive at some point. Take it whichever way you want but I think Iowa st has more advantage in their favor. Iowa st by 6
Liked your picks yesterday and like the last two. My only concern with Kansas -3.5 is that it's a big public play, big covers play, and the line isn't moving. In my experience that's a sign you might be on the wrong side.
Granted a bit early, but I'd feel better if it moved a bit. Have to keep an eye on that one.
BOL
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Liked your picks yesterday and like the last two. My only concern with Kansas -3.5 is that it's a big public play, big covers play, and the line isn't moving. In my experience that's a sign you might be on the wrong side.
Granted a bit early, but I'd feel better if it moved a bit. Have to keep an eye on that one.
I agree completely Greg. I don't think it's moving though because of k states home record 11-1. Someone bet a lot early on k state is my opinion. When public favorites are determined its by number of people betting on team and not how much each person has on game.
This might just be my wishful thinking though on that scenario.
Thanks for insight on opposite direction. Goodluck
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I agree completely Greg. I don't think it's moving though because of k states home record 11-1. Someone bet a lot early on k state is my opinion. When public favorites are determined its by number of people betting on team and not how much each person has on game.
This might just be my wishful thinking though on that scenario.
Thanks for insight on opposite direction. Goodluck
Adding Maryland +11...Virginia is due to fall and I think this strong rebounding Maryland team could be the ones to do it. Virginia is excellent covering the spread on road at 8-3 and home 5-4. I see a close game just like GT but Maryland will keep it close with defensive rebounding and limiting second chance shots.
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Adding Maryland +11...Virginia is due to fall and I think this strong rebounding Maryland team could be the ones to do it. Virginia is excellent covering the spread on road at 8-3 and home 5-4. I see a close game just like GT but Maryland will keep it close with defensive rebounding and limiting second chance shots.
Looking at possible Sac St. play tonight, but I want to watch the line movements some. DD spread with 60% public on dog usually have good value playing the DD favorite. Almost only time i'll play a DD favorite, but they've been hitting with remarkable frequency for me.
Can't just bet it blind, so gotta look more into it atm. BOL with current games.
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Looking at possible Sac St. play tonight, but I want to watch the line movements some. DD spread with 60% public on dog usually have good value playing the DD favorite. Almost only time i'll play a DD favorite, but they've been hitting with remarkable frequency for me.
Can't just bet it blind, so gotta look more into it atm. BOL with current games.
I just started on this site. I've never posted online before but it's fine think what you want. I'm not going to say some record that's not posted on here.
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I just started on this site. I've never posted online before but it's fine think what you want. I'm not going to say some record that's not posted on here.
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