Pepperdine ~12

I'm taking Pepperdine at ~12, which is a steal, imo, at home over South Alabama.

Pepperdine has a sterling 6~0 ATS record; South Alabama also has a good ATS record, going 3~1 overall.

Pepperdine's offense is middle of the road in offensive efficiency; South Alabama's offense is near the bottom in offensive efficiency (KenPom). Pepperdine's 3pt % is amongst the best (#47), so they can put up points, especially at a comfortable place like a home game.

Pepperdine has a strong defense, ranking high in the KenPom ratings; South Alabama's D ranks near the bottom in most categories.

Pepperdine has lost SU to high~ranking teams at home (Iowa, #29; Arizona St, #68 ... Pepperdine is ranked #115), but covered ATS in both games, so Pepperdine is clearly a tenacious team.

Pepperdine could do better with offensive rebounding, but part of that is because they make high percentages of their shots, so their players have a habit of turning away from the offensive boards, rather than to move towards the boards, but that can be forgiven, given their pretty good D.

While South Alabama has a slight effective height advantage edge (#203) over Pepperdine (#303), the mismatch between Pepperdine's good offense and South Alabama's weak defense; the home game at Pepperdine and their sterling ATS record, is enough to convince me to take Pepperdine now at ~12, a number that's likely to go up once the rest of the US wakes up tomorrow to bid that spread up.

2 units on Pepperdine ~12

refs will make it an 11 pt game like they usually do this year 

If mozarts on Pepperdine, I'm on S Alabama. Best of luck

lol

Who's writeup did you steal you bum. This clown just started betting college ball two weeks ago and now thinks he is a great capper in other people's thread. Esp when this kid didn't even know what a 1 and 1 free throw was lmao .. FOH bumazzzz stop betting the allowance your parents give you

10 point game....my mistake 

Nice write up however it wasnt worth 2cents, they did not cover, you can keep your Kenpom bs. Old School cappers look for reasons to take the points, 12 is alot to give. Better Luck.

Makes me wonder

i parlayed pepperdine ml -600 only way to play these things these days 

i pretty much only play 0-3 point spreads these days but even then some games it's not enough (see that k state tennessee game and that la salle temple game or even better that illinois state depaul game) 

...............................U really need to get a life bro & stop hating like a kid.