S Utah +2.5 is $$

Not my writeup but thought I'd share. I was already on S Utah, but am more confident in the pick. GL.

As I look at this short card and see everyone trying to find winners on the big tv games I decided to dive into this under the radar matchup and might of found a nice hidden gem.

First it caught my eye that Montana (20-6, 16-1) is only 2 point fav's against Southern Utah (11-16, 8-9). This game is Montana's 5th straight road game, which is very rare during the conference slate. They also just played rival Montana St surviving by 3 on saturday. Very quick turn around to come back on monday and play a team in SUU who could easily be overlooked while the kids are checking the standings. Before playing Montana St they also had a very draining Davidson game which they lost in OT.

Montana's leading scorer Mathias Ward (14.8 ppg/3.9 boards) missed both of those games and is still listed being out indefinitely. His fellow senior leader Will Cherry (13.2 ppg/ 4.4 boards / 4.4 assists) also missed the last game. He got x rays but even though they looked good, he's has only walked on it once. He had broken his foot earlier in the season.

Also all the local Articles I've read seem that they are just trying to make sure their 2 leader scorers/seniors will be healthy for the Big Sky Tournament.

This is the second matchup this season between these two, Montana winning @ Home only by 6 : 73-67. In that game Ward went off for 20 and 4 and Cherry dropped 10, 5, and 3.

Ward and Cherry are the only Seniors on the team, which is worth pointing out as we know teams can struggle and look lost missing their seniors after running the same sets all season long.



Now I'm watching the line and every book has -2 -110 pretty much except our favorite Pinny!

They have a nice looking pinny lean going right now offering the 20-6 road favorites -2.5 +101 and the comeback +2.5 -113.

Southern Utah hasn't played since the 28th and this is their senior night. Their top 2 leading scores Jackson Stevenett (17 pgg / 6 boards) and Damon Heuir (15.9 ppg / 3 and 3) are both seniors and should want to play their last home strong especially since they won't have any postseason.

On top of that the entire team also has the revenge factor after losing as mentioned earlier by 6 in the previous matchup.

Southern Utah also has a big edge on the glass,

In the first matchup, Montana held a 47-5 edge in ft attempts as well..only won, as you say, by 6

Looks like a winner for all the reasons you pointed out

I was on Montana originally but changed my mind a little while ago and this thread makes me feel pretty confident   SoUtah looks like the play   also the public heavy on Montana and line dropping

Excellent detail

A lot of plays I make are for situational reasons, just like the reasoning behind my BC pick over Virginia. I understand that Montana is a much better team, but don't you think this is a big opportunity for S Utah to slay a beast in front of there home crowd given Montana is without their top 2 scorers?

Best of Luck   

Good Luck

i guess that didnt work out..

You were on the right side man watched the ending live one of the weirdest endings I've seen awhile.

You win some, you lose some. After reviewing everything all you can do is make the pick that makes the most sense, which I felt this pick was. I did hit Texas, Kansas, Hornets Over, Nuggets Under, and GS Warriors so overall a good night.

Releasing a winning pick in a few hours.

montana easy money..never adoubt..you can reason all you want but the fact is a 20 win team should beat an eleven win team 9/10 times.

I used to play in Damon Heiur's team when he was in Australia. Hard working player

catlover says "never a doubt" about a game that Montana barely won and probably should have lost.  I get a kick out of guys like this