Sounds Crazy? Yes, But have a L@@K

I am not thrilled about posting a "feeling" about a game on this forum, because if you do not post >95% Winners or greater, the low-life HATERS and thread trolling scumbags come out of the woodwork to try and destroy your credibility. They trash you and ALWAYS post tons of unnecessary comments about what a Crap pick it was.....

But I spotted something that MANY people will not wager on, except me perhaps and here's why.

Tonight at the Cowan Spectrum (AKA: the Kibbie Dome) in Moscow, Idaho - The Pick is in !!

Tonight - The Idaho Vandals are home vs. Northern Colorado and N.CO is a whopping (-14) point favorite! At first glance that spread looks about right since No. CO is 10-3 in Conference (Big Sky) and 16-8 overall. While Basement dweller Idaho is a putrid 1-11 in conference and a pathetic 4-19 Overall!

Place a small wager on Idaho +14 and watch them lose, yes......but they will NOT lose by more than 13 !!

The standings show that No CO has a shot at claiming the Title in the Big Sky because current leader Montana at 10-2 is on the road at Weber State who is sporting a 9-4 record. So while Montana battles Weber tonight (I think Montana wins that game) No CO has a great chance to win and move to 11-3 in conference as the regular season winds down.

Now for some interesting facts -  Back on January 5th of 2019, These same Idaho Vandals travelled to Northern Colorado and had what many thought was a "surprising" 41-35 lead at halftime. No CO had to battle tooth and nail to end up tied at 71 - 71 when the 2nd half buzzer sounded and the game went into overtime! As expected, Idaho was outscored 12-8 in the OT period and lost a heart-breaker to No CO - 83-79 

Idaho seemingly ALWAYS plays tough at home since the start of 2019 - Fact - Since defeating Eastern Washington at home on 1/3/2019, Idaho has lost ONLY ONE game by more than 14 points on their HOME floor. That was an 18 point loss to Conference leader, Montana. 

Idaho is a BAD BASKETBALL team, I get it. But Bad teams often cover the spread, especially at home! Northern Colorado should win this game and probably will, but it will NOT come easy tonight in Moscow, Idaho. 

I am not saying place a Mortgage Sized Wager on Idaho +14, by no means, don't do that!! But if you want to have some late night fun, grab the +14 points with the Vandals and watch them make it tough for the Bears to escape win a victory. 

Predicted Final Score -  Northern Colorado 69 -  Idaho Vandals - 64     

Great write up.  BOL .

You REALLY feel confident? Their last 9 home games...2 wins and 7 losses. Only 2 of those losses were by less than 9. 

What are yall’S thoughts on Utah st home tonight. I went to Utah game last month and they stunk it up against Washington, but ever since then, they’ve been red hot. I like them at home tonight.  I also like UTSA+4, I live in San Antonio and have been to see them play, this team is for real. 

Don't worry about the trolls. As long as you provide a legitimate angle with sound reasoning, that's all that matters. After all, you CAN ALWAYS justify ANY side for a sporting event if you provide sufficient reasoning and facts. Ultimately, it's up to the individual bettor to come to the decision if they want to bet that event or not. It was never yours or anybody else's fault, just the individual bettor.

Outside of the OT session which added 20 points to the total back in January, the number landed on 142.....In that game No CO was Horrible from the FT stripe - shooting 14 of 29 for a measly 48% - On the other side of the coin, both teams shot VERY WELL from deep in that game. My hunch is that Idaho will Run and Gun since they have nothing to lose , EXCEPT OUR MONEY !! LOL

Go with the Over - (I might take it myself)-    But like I said, this is NOT a game to go crazy with.....there are other games tonight that present a better way to make a few bucks. 

I guess we'll find out why the line went up....at last check, there aren't any injuries or hold outs for Idaho that I can find. BTW, I'll have to increase my predicted score if I truly think this will go over 139.5 - maybe No CO 79 - Idaho -73  ?   :-)