These two teams met just two weeks ago, and many were on Loyola -2.5 in that matchup, cashing in as the Ramblers won by nine. However, that final score was a bit misleading—the game was actually tied with three minutes left. Loyola had the edge in shooting, hitting 50% from three (12-of-24), but it’s unlikely they replicate that kind of performance tonight. St. Louis has been the best team in the A-10 at defending the perimeter, holding opponents to just 30% from deep in conference play.
The Billikens have struggled on the road this season, but at home, they’ve been a different team, boasting a 12-3 record, including a win over conference leader VCU (who has just two A-10 losses). They’re also 5-2 ATS at home in league play. Despite playing the toughest conference schedule, St. Louis still ranks first in both offensive and defensive effective field goal percentage.
Loyola, on the other hand, has struggled away from home in conference play, going 3-4 SU with wins over LaSalle, Richmond, and Davidson. Two of those teams sit at the bottom of the A-10 standings, and Davidson is just 6-9 in league play. Loyola also has a negative point differential on the road, while St. Louis is outscoring opponents by +11 PPG at home. The Ramblers' offense takes a hit on the road, averaging just 0.985 PPP (compared to 1.08 at home), while their defense also slips, allowing 1.042 PPP (versus 0.933 at home).
With the Billikens looking for quick revenge in a game that was neck-and-neck for 37 minutes on the road, I like them to get it done at home.
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These two teams met just two weeks ago, and many were on Loyola -2.5 in that matchup, cashing in as the Ramblers won by nine. However, that final score was a bit misleading—the game was actually tied with three minutes left. Loyola had the edge in shooting, hitting 50% from three (12-of-24), but it’s unlikely they replicate that kind of performance tonight. St. Louis has been the best team in the A-10 at defending the perimeter, holding opponents to just 30% from deep in conference play.
The Billikens have struggled on the road this season, but at home, they’ve been a different team, boasting a 12-3 record, including a win over conference leader VCU (who has just two A-10 losses). They’re also 5-2 ATS at home in league play. Despite playing the toughest conference schedule, St. Louis still ranks first in both offensive and defensive effective field goal percentage.
Loyola, on the other hand, has struggled away from home in conference play, going 3-4 SU with wins over LaSalle, Richmond, and Davidson. Two of those teams sit at the bottom of the A-10 standings, and Davidson is just 6-9 in league play. Loyola also has a negative point differential on the road, while St. Louis is outscoring opponents by +11 PPG at home. The Ramblers' offense takes a hit on the road, averaging just 0.985 PPP (compared to 1.08 at home), while their defense also slips, allowing 1.042 PPP (versus 0.933 at home).
With the Billikens looking for quick revenge in a game that was neck-and-neck for 37 minutes on the road, I like them to get it done at home.
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