SUNDAY 3/10 CBB BETTING TRENDS

Sunday’s 5 interesting games
Arch Madness (@ St Louis)
Drake vs Indiana State
Drake (27-6, 18-4)
KenPom rating: 51
Tempo: 151
Experience: 141
Continuity: 147
Drake won four in row, nine of last ten games.
Bulldogs are #1 team in country on defensive boards.
Drake is shooting 55.4% inside arc (#24)
Bulldogs are 5-1 vs teams ranked in the top 100.
Last 4+ years, Drake is 10-3 in Arch Madness (won it last year)
Yesterday, Drake played eight guys 13:00+.

Indiana State (28-5, 17-3)
KenPom rating: 41
Tempo: 41
Experience: 125
Continuity: 193
Indiana State won its last six games (4-2 ATS).
Sycamores are #8 team in country on defensive boards.
Indiana State has #1 eFG% in the country.
Sycamores are 3-3 vs teams ranked in the top 100.
Indiana State is 4-1 in last two MVC tourneys (last won it in 2011)
In Sycamores’ 6-game win streak, all six wins were by 12+ points.

Home team won both meetings this season,
Drake won nine of last 12 series games.

SoCon tournament (@ Asheville, NC)
Furman vs Samford
Furman (17-15, 11-8)
KenPom rating: 139
Tempo: 97
Experience: 235
Continuity: 34
Furman lost three of its last five games.
Paladins won in OT yesterday; four guys played 35:00+.
Furman is #75 in bench minutes.
Furman won SoCon tourney LY; they’re 6-1 in last seven tourney games.
Paladins are 3-5 against teams ranked in the top 125.
Opponents are shooting 53.4% inside arc (#308)

Samford (27-5, 16-3)
KenPom rating: 79
Tempo: 15
Experience: 106
Continuity: 169
Samford won 27 of its last 30 games, after an 0-2 start.
Bulldogs made 10-23 on arc yesterday, had fairly simple win.
Samford is #3 in country in bench minutes.
Samford is forcing turnovers 22% of time (#14)
Bulldogs are 8-3 vs teams ranked in top 150.
Since 2010, Samford is 6-14 in conference tourney games

Home team won both meetings this season.
Furman won nine of last 11 games with Samford.

East Tennessee State vs Chattanooga
East Tennessee State (18-15, 10-10)
KenPom rating: 174
Tempo: 235
Experience: 231
Continuity: 298
ETSU won its last four games, after a 14-15 start.
Buccaneers played four guys 30:00+ yesterday, had easy win Thursday.
They’re #282 team in bench minutes.
ETSU was 12-24 on arc yesterday; for year, they’re shooting 31.3% on arc (#308)
Buccaneers are 3-12 vs teams ranked in top 150.
ETSU won this tournament in 2017, when Steve Forbes was coach.

Chattanooga (21-11, 13-6)
KenPom rating: 137
Tempo: 227
Experience: 218
Continuity: 316
Chattanooga split its last six games.
Mocs played eight guys 14:00+ yesterday.
Chattanooga’s bench plays #68 minutes in country.
Chattanooga has #29 eFG% in the country.
Mocs are 9-8 against teams in top 200.
Last 4+ years, Mocs are 10-2 in this tournament, winning it in ’20, ’22.

Chattanooga won both meetings this season, 81-74/84-71
Mocs won seven of last nine series games.

Sun Belt tournament (@ Pensacola, FL)
Arkansas State @ Appalachian State
Arkansas State (17-15, 12-7)
KenPom rating: 130
Tempo: 124
Experience: 80
Continuity: 162
Arkansas State won 7 of last 8 games, after a 10-14 start.
Only loss was at App State nine days ago.
Red Wolves are #51 team on offensive boards.
ASU scoured 1.25 ppp Saturday, had an easy win.
Red Wolves are #140 team in bench minutes.
Arkansas State is 0-5 vs teams in top 100.
Arkansas State went WL in last three Sun Belt tournaments.

Appalachian State (27-5, 16-2)
KenPom rating: 75
Tempo: 200
Experience: 155
Continuity: 20
App State won 16 of its last 17 games.
ASU blew 14-point lead yesterday, needed OT to win.
ASU played four guys 33:00+ yesterday.
App State is #131 in bench minutes.
ASU has #2 eFG% defense in country.
App State is 8-4 vs teams in the top 200.
App State won this tournament three years ago.

App State (-7) beat Arkansas State 80-57 at home, nine days ago.
App State won six of last eight series games.

Texas State vs James Madison
Texas State (17-17, 10-11)
KenPom rating: 184
Tempo: 248
Experience: 291
Continuity: 268
Texas State won its last six games, after an 11-17 start.
Bobcats are playing their 4th tourney game in six days.
Texas State has #309 eFG% in country.
Texas State is turning ball over 20% of time (#328).
Bobcats are 4-8 vs teams in the top 150.
Texas State did same thing LY; won three tourney games, lost in semis.
Texas State is #42 in country in bench minutes.
Bobcats played eight guys 15:00+ yesterday.

James Madison (29-3, 16-3)
KenPom rating: 65
Tempo: 61
Experience: 12
Continuity: 199
James Madison won its last eleven games.
Dukes are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
James Madison has #24 eFG% defense in country.
Dukes are 7-2 vs teams in the top 200.
James Madison had stress-free win Saturday.
Dukes are #124 in bench minutes.
JMU won CAA tourney in 2013; since then, they’re 4-9 in conference tourneys.

Teams split their two Sun Belt meetings.
Texas State (+12) lost 82-65 at James Madison December 30

NEBRASKA (21 - 9) at MICHIGAN (8 - 22) - 3/10/2024, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 91-121 ATS (-42.1 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEBRASKA is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEBRASKA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
NEBRASKA is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
MICHIGAN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
MICHIGAN is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
MICHIGAN is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 2-2 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

WISCONSIN (19 - 11) at PURDUE (27 - 3) - 3/10/2024, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games this season.
WISCONSIN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
WISCONSIN is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
WISCONSIN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 24-38 ATS (-17.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 3-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 2-2 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

OHIO ST (18 - 12) at RUTGERS (15 - 15) - 3/10/2024, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 16-27 ATS (-13.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 4-0 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS is 2-2 straight up against OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SMU (20 - 10) at UAB (19 - 11) - 3/10/2024, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 79-54 ATS (+19.6 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
UAB is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
UAB is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
UAB is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TEMPLE (11 - 19) at TX-SAN ANTONIO (11 - 19) - 3/10/2024, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 267-219 ATS (+26.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 1-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 1-0 straight up against TX-SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MICHIGAN ST (18 - 12) at INDIANA (17 - 13) - 3/10/2024, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 136-100 ATS (+26.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ILLINOIS (22 - 8) at IOWA (18 - 12) - 3/10/2024, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 3-1 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 3-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MARYLAND (15 - 15) at PENN ST (14 - 16) - 3/10/2024, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 2-2 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 3-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons