well a decent day yesterday and as usual the games that I capped that no one else posted I was 6-0-1 del st, over Highpoint, over st Thomas, Presbyterian, I'll Chicago, will n Mary and Nicholls st pushed
today again I think I have to go with Ill st at home -7 , S Illinois has lost 3 straight, last 3 games they are avg 67 points and giving up 80, shooting just 40% and 26% from 3 , and on the road they are avg 72 and giving up 81, and Ill st at home is avg 75 and giving up 68 , they have been shooting the 3 at 39% last 3 games, and S Ill won both meetings last year, so I am sure Ill st knows this, and wants to get the W and with 2-3 days off Ill st is 5-0 ats, and S I'll with 3 days off is 1-3-1 ats ,
Ill st -7 1 unit
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
well a decent day yesterday and as usual the games that I capped that no one else posted I was 6-0-1 del st, over Highpoint, over st Thomas, Presbyterian, I'll Chicago, will n Mary and Nicholls st pushed
today again I think I have to go with Ill st at home -7 , S Illinois has lost 3 straight, last 3 games they are avg 67 points and giving up 80, shooting just 40% and 26% from 3 , and on the road they are avg 72 and giving up 81, and Ill st at home is avg 75 and giving up 68 , they have been shooting the 3 at 39% last 3 games, and S Ill won both meetings last year, so I am sure Ill st knows this, and wants to get the W and with 2-3 days off Ill st is 5-0 ats, and S I'll with 3 days off is 1-3-1 ats ,
also I am going to go against most I think and take Marist at home -1 they are playing really well this year, 10-2 and are 6-0 STR up at home and 6-0 STR up as a home favorite, now with the line being just 1 that works for me, they are 2-1 ats in conf games and Quinn is 3-0 ats in conf and I do know that, after losing both last year to Quinn, I think being at home this is a game they may be want to really win, should be a good game, I do understand taking Quinn here, but just going with the hot team who have won 6 in a row, and just hoping they want this one more, most likely for 1st place, going against the line move, and Quinn is not shooting very well away so far as they are shooting just 38.9% away and the 3 at 26.8% away,and the 2 at 46.7% away... and Marist is shooting 46.9% at home and 30.4% from 3 and 56.7% from 2 at home, ..Quinn away is avg 70 pts and giving up 77, Marist at home is avg 69 and giving up 62 , the total is 137 last 3 meetings between these 2 have all went under that total ..actually grabbing Marist at ML -120
Marist ML -120 1 unit
also today going to go with N.Texas +9 at Memphis, Memphis just seems to play diff at home for some reason, this is going to be a odd game, we know N Texas wants to keep this a lower scoring game under 70, and Memphis wants this higher scoring, this is a gut instinct play, Memphis is 2-2 last 4 at home, and I just think N Texas can keep this closer, I am thinking 4-6 points , last 3 games N Texas is avg 69 pts and giving up 61, and away they avg 62 and give up 60 so they do have a +2 scores margin away, Memphis at home is avg 80 and giving up 75 I think this is a 5 point game, I do think they keep Memphis under 75 but N Texas can shoot the 3 , 74-69 final
N Texas +9 1.5 units
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also I am going to go against most I think and take Marist at home -1 they are playing really well this year, 10-2 and are 6-0 STR up at home and 6-0 STR up as a home favorite, now with the line being just 1 that works for me, they are 2-1 ats in conf games and Quinn is 3-0 ats in conf and I do know that, after losing both last year to Quinn, I think being at home this is a game they may be want to really win, should be a good game, I do understand taking Quinn here, but just going with the hot team who have won 6 in a row, and just hoping they want this one more, most likely for 1st place, going against the line move, and Quinn is not shooting very well away so far as they are shooting just 38.9% away and the 3 at 26.8% away,and the 2 at 46.7% away... and Marist is shooting 46.9% at home and 30.4% from 3 and 56.7% from 2 at home, ..Quinn away is avg 70 pts and giving up 77, Marist at home is avg 69 and giving up 62 , the total is 137 last 3 meetings between these 2 have all went under that total ..actually grabbing Marist at ML -120
Marist ML -120 1 unit
also today going to go with N.Texas +9 at Memphis, Memphis just seems to play diff at home for some reason, this is going to be a odd game, we know N Texas wants to keep this a lower scoring game under 70, and Memphis wants this higher scoring, this is a gut instinct play, Memphis is 2-2 last 4 at home, and I just think N Texas can keep this closer, I am thinking 4-6 points , last 3 games N Texas is avg 69 pts and giving up 61, and away they avg 62 and give up 60 so they do have a +2 scores margin away, Memphis at home is avg 80 and giving up 75 I think this is a 5 point game, I do think they keep Memphis under 75 but N Texas can shoot the 3 , 74-69 final
Penn st -7 -125 Penn st has dominated this series last couple of years but Indiana did beat them last year in the big 10 tourney by 2 points, so maybe Penn st is still pissed about that, and this game could go over the 156-157 total, Indiana on the road is avg 72 points and giving up 84, and Penn st at home this year is avg 93 points a game and giving up just 66, I do think Penn st wins this about 86-74, which is just 4 points over the total, so my play is with Penn st who are not great ats at home ....both these 2 teams have not shot the 3 very well last 3 games, with Indiana shooting it at 27% and Penn st just 23.4% last 3 games, hopefully Penn st corrects that today being at home , because they do shoot much better at home than Indiana does away.....Indiana is shooting just 41% away, and the 3 at 30% and the 2 at 47.6%....and Penn st at home is shooting 52.2% and the 3 at 38% and the 2 at 62%, those are very good numbers for being at home, and Penn states assist totals go way up at home as they avg 20 assist a game at home to 14 assist on the road for Indiana , just another key thing I like looking into
Penn st -7 1.5 units
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Penn st -7 -125 Penn st has dominated this series last couple of years but Indiana did beat them last year in the big 10 tourney by 2 points, so maybe Penn st is still pissed about that, and this game could go over the 156-157 total, Indiana on the road is avg 72 points and giving up 84, and Penn st at home this year is avg 93 points a game and giving up just 66, I do think Penn st wins this about 86-74, which is just 4 points over the total, so my play is with Penn st who are not great ats at home ....both these 2 teams have not shot the 3 very well last 3 games, with Indiana shooting it at 27% and Penn st just 23.4% last 3 games, hopefully Penn st corrects that today being at home , because they do shoot much better at home than Indiana does away.....Indiana is shooting just 41% away, and the 3 at 30% and the 2 at 47.6%....and Penn st at home is shooting 52.2% and the 3 at 38% and the 2 at 62%, those are very good numbers for being at home, and Penn states assist totals go way up at home as they avg 20 assist a game at home to 14 assist on the road for Indiana , just another key thing I like looking into
Penn st -7 -125 Penn st has dominated this series last couple of years but Indiana did beat them last year in the big 10 tourney by 2 points, so maybe Penn st is still pissed about that, and this game could go over the 156-157 total, Indiana on the road is avg 72 points and giving up 84, and Penn st at home this year is avg 93 points a game and giving up just 66, I do think Penn st wins this about 86-74, which is just 4 points over the total, so my play is with Penn st who are not great ats at home ....both these 2 teams have not shot the 3 very well last 3 games, with Indiana shooting it at 27% and Penn st just 23.4% last 3 games, hopefully Penn st corrects that today being at home , because they do shoot much better at home than Indiana does away.....Indiana is shooting just 41% away, and the 3 at 30% and the 2 at 47.6%....and Penn st at home is shooting 52.2% and the 3 at 38% and the 2 at 62%, those are very good numbers for being at home, and Penn states assist totals go way up at home as they avg 20 assist a game at home to 14 assist on the road for Indiana , just another key thing I like looking into Penn st -7 1.5 units
Im liking Penn St , gonna roll with you bro
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Quote Originally Posted by RUM151:
Penn st -7 -125 Penn st has dominated this series last couple of years but Indiana did beat them last year in the big 10 tourney by 2 points, so maybe Penn st is still pissed about that, and this game could go over the 156-157 total, Indiana on the road is avg 72 points and giving up 84, and Penn st at home this year is avg 93 points a game and giving up just 66, I do think Penn st wins this about 86-74, which is just 4 points over the total, so my play is with Penn st who are not great ats at home ....both these 2 teams have not shot the 3 very well last 3 games, with Indiana shooting it at 27% and Penn st just 23.4% last 3 games, hopefully Penn st corrects that today being at home , because they do shoot much better at home than Indiana does away.....Indiana is shooting just 41% away, and the 3 at 30% and the 2 at 47.6%....and Penn st at home is shooting 52.2% and the 3 at 38% and the 2 at 62%, those are very good numbers for being at home, and Penn states assist totals go way up at home as they avg 20 assist a game at home to 14 assist on the road for Indiana , just another key thing I like looking into Penn st -7 1.5 units
ok going to try a team I have not bet on this year, Taking Holy Cross +7.5 -120 at HardRock these guys have won 4 in a row and 5 of their last 6 games,and also won their last 2 road games at Quinnipiac and at Siena, and they are shooting really well their last 3 games, and American has lost 4 in a row, and lost their last home game to Maryland BC ...last 3 games HC has averaged 74 pts a game and given up 70, and last 3 games American has avg 69 and given up 80....and HC has shot the 3 at 49% over their last 3 games, and are shooting 46%, American over their last 3 are shooting 42% and 32% from 3 , just a gut instinct here to take the hot team, shooting pretty good, and grab 7.5 pts as a dog HC is 5-5 STR up and American is 0-3 STR up as a favorite, and 0-1 STR up as a home favorite , HC is 4-3 ats away and 6-4 ats as a dog, and 4-3 ats as an away dog, ...American is 0-3 ats as a favorite
Holy Cross +7.5 1 unit
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ok going to try a team I have not bet on this year, Taking Holy Cross +7.5 -120 at HardRock these guys have won 4 in a row and 5 of their last 6 games,and also won their last 2 road games at Quinnipiac and at Siena, and they are shooting really well their last 3 games, and American has lost 4 in a row, and lost their last home game to Maryland BC ...last 3 games HC has averaged 74 pts a game and given up 70, and last 3 games American has avg 69 and given up 80....and HC has shot the 3 at 49% over their last 3 games, and are shooting 46%, American over their last 3 are shooting 42% and 32% from 3 , just a gut instinct here to take the hot team, shooting pretty good, and grab 7.5 pts as a dog HC is 5-5 STR up and American is 0-3 STR up as a favorite, and 0-1 STR up as a home favorite , HC is 4-3 ats away and 6-4 ats as a dog, and 4-3 ats as an away dog, ...American is 0-3 ats as a favorite
do kind of favor Long Island but Chicago st is 6-6 ats away this year as an away dog and are 7-9 ats as a dog , Long Island is 3-1 ats at home though just 2 not real good teams playing each other , lean to LI but damn
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do kind of favor Long Island but Chicago st is 6-6 ats away this year as an away dog and are 7-9 ats as a dog , Long Island is 3-1 ats at home though just 2 not real good teams playing each other , lean to LI but damn
Taking Manhattan +2.5 at Rider today Rider is 0-3 STR up at home and 0-3 ats at home and 0-2 ats as a home favorite , and are 4-9 ats this year over all...Manhattan is 5-4 STR up as a dog this year, and 3-3 STR up as an away dog, and 4-3 ats away, and 6-3 ats as a dog, and are 4-2 ats as an away dog, and have won 2 of their last 3 road games, and are 4-1 STR up after a ;loss this I like ...one more thing Manhattan is 10-1 OVER the total this year, 8-1 OVER as a dog , and 6-1 OVER away... this total is 143 and I do think Manhattan wins this game so this could go OVER today
Manhattan +2.5 1.5 units Opinion OVER 143
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Taking Manhattan +2.5 at Rider today Rider is 0-3 STR up at home and 0-3 ats at home and 0-2 ats as a home favorite , and are 4-9 ats this year over all...Manhattan is 5-4 STR up as a dog this year, and 3-3 STR up as an away dog, and 4-3 ats away, and 6-3 ats as a dog, and are 4-2 ats as an away dog, and have won 2 of their last 3 road games, and are 4-1 STR up after a ;loss this I like ...one more thing Manhattan is 10-1 OVER the total this year, 8-1 OVER as a dog , and 6-1 OVER away... this total is 143 and I do think Manhattan wins this game so this could go OVER today
Again my 1st game I capped with write up, Illinois st is a lock winner damnit should have pounded it I think I have won last 5 out of 6 days with my 1st play of the day ...then 2nd was Marist a winner, then was N Texas
Illinois st W
Marist ML W
Manhattan +2.5 W
Penn st L
Holy Cross L
Opinions Over Manhattan 4-0 last 2 days on opinions 6-0 last 3 days on opinions plays not bad
N Texas +9
Over 136 N Texas
Illinois-6
UCF+6 L
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Again my 1st game I capped with write up, Illinois st is a lock winner damnit should have pounded it I think I have won last 5 out of 6 days with my 1st play of the day ...then 2nd was Marist a winner, then was N Texas
Illinois st W
Marist ML W
Manhattan +2.5 W
Penn st L
Holy Cross L
Opinions Over Manhattan 4-0 last 2 days on opinions 6-0 last 3 days on opinions plays not bad
yea so I hit 1st 3 write ups always more proud of the little teams ya pick, and ya do a write up and ya get it right , I will always believe sticking to smaller schools you will find more mistakes in the lines, the oddsmakers will always have sharper lines on your bigger games with major teams playing each other because usually those get the action, they are on TV, picking Marist was nice, and the best maybe was Manhattan and calling for outright win and getting the OVER.... :)
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yea so I hit 1st 3 write ups always more proud of the little teams ya pick, and ya do a write up and ya get it right , I will always believe sticking to smaller schools you will find more mistakes in the lines, the oddsmakers will always have sharper lines on your bigger games with major teams playing each other because usually those get the action, they are on TV, picking Marist was nice, and the best maybe was Manhattan and calling for outright win and getting the OVER.... :)
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