Super Tuesday (189-156-5 54.8%)

Overall: 189-156-5 +17.3U
November: 51-41-2 55.4%
December: 40-34-2 54.1%
January: 58-50-1 53.7%
February 34-27 55.7%

Fav: 61-45
Dog: 28-27-4
Over: 23-27
Under: 15-16
Teasers: 19-22-1
ML Parlays: 21-8
1H Bets: 14-5
2H Bets: 8-6

No plays on Monday

Tuesday:

Valparasio -12
- The Crusaders can lock up the Horizon regular season title with a victory. I am not overly concerned about the trip to Cali or the fact that Van Wijk did not make the trip. The Ramblers will be without their second leading scorer Gibler. Valpo's greatest weakness is their lack of size but Loyola-Chi does not have the personnel to exploit this fault. Valpo already beat the Rambers by 21 on the road and I don't expect any sort of look ahead to Butler with 1st place on the line.

Northwestern -1.5
- Love the spot for the Wildcats with Michigan coming off a home win over the Buckeyes. With Purdue slipping, the Wildcats look poised to finally get into the big dance. A win here would definitely solidify their chances. Not the greatest match up for Northwestern as Michigan is a team that can shoot against the 1-3-1. Bottom line is the Wolverines only road wins on the season are at Purdue and Nebraska, neither of which I think all that highly of (I realize Purdue is 2-0 vs. Northwestern). Also lean to the over in what should be a 3pt fest without a ton of TOs.

Leans:

Georgetown/Seton Hall U123
Seton Hall +2
Xavier +2
Mich/Northwestern O128.5
Butler -13
Colorado St +6
NC-Greensboro +1.5

GL Colt

Orange

I hate getting bad numbers still I think Valpo wins big. May add another unit at -10.5 or a 1H play 

Some thoughts on Greensboro +2 (I see many on Wofford):

Senior night with chance to clinch their first ever outright division title. Everything I can find indicates Trevis Simpson will play, and he has a chance to pass the 500pt mark on the season. Spartans should find plenty of motivation. On paper Greensboro is very bad but ever since their head coach stepped down in December they have found ways to win.

Greensboro's m.o. is forcing TOs and a loud raucous crowd will help their cause. Only thing I don't like is the fact that Wofford has a chance to move into 2nd in the South division if they win out and Georgia Southern loses to Charleston and Davidson. That said I like GSouthern to beat Davidson at home in the regular season finale in a game that is pretty much meaningless to the Cats. 

What do you think about Clemson-Georgia Tech Colt?

Haven't looked at that game at all. Would not be willing to lay points with the Tigers on the road though

Added:

NM/CSU U136.5
- This total and spread predicts a score of about 71-65. UNM has given up more than 65 just 6 times all season, and the only 3 times in conference play were vs. UNLV and SDST. In their past 7 games the Lobos are giving up an avg. of just 49.5ppg and just 56.4ppg overall in conference play. The Rams have played well defensively at home in conference play giving up just 52.5ppg in their past 4. Massive game for CSU while UNM may be in for a bit of a let down. Hoping the let down will occur on the offensive end. I expect some extra intensity on the defensive end by the Rams which will force some TOs. Both teams shoot the 3pt very well but neither take a ton of attempts. Fouls and a close game could get me in trouble here but I think the under offers some value. In conference play Lobos games avg. 126ppg and are 4-6 O/U while CSU games avg. 134.5ppg and are 3-6 O/U in conference.

Updated Leans:

Seton Hall +2
Georgetown/Seton Hall U124
Mich/Northwestern O125.5
Greensboro +2.5
Creighton -6 1H

Added:

Seton Hall +7 / Creighton -5 teaser

Final Card:
Valpo -12
Northwestern -1.5
UNM/CSU U136.5
SH +7 / Creighton -5 teaser

Bumping SH into a teaser is definitely a better move gthan the +2... Should be a good one, but just see GT being deeper than SH and although SH beat SJU,RU,Pitt to get out of that funk they were in, GT should still take this game as they're playing for a #1 seed still in the tourny and a double bye in BE Tourny... Love BE bball! :)