Posted:
#1
Does anyone here do this? For example, say for a game there is a team
that is favored by 10 points for the game. And at the end of the first
half, they are down by some ridiculous number of points, say like 15
points.
Obviously 2nd half, they will be giving a lot of points. Lets say its 9.5. So basically the full game is now the under laying 5.5 for the game as oppose to getting 10 points which is like a 15.5 point differential. You can use another example like a team is laying 7 points for the game and is down 8 points at end of first half. Then the 2nd half line is that team -8 or 9, basically making the game pickem for the full game.
Is it me, or does it seem like taking a team that is heavily favored in the 2nd half b/c they are down a lot of points at end of 1st half a good idea? I mean, rarely will that team just not make some sort of comeback and make it respectable. And if you do take that team is up say 15 points at end of 1st half and getting say 9.5 in the 2nd half, you are hoping this 10 point underdog for the full game covers 5.5.
What i notice is rarely do teams just lay down if they are heavily favored. I mean, once the game goes to a tie game in the 4th quarter, its just really hard for that underdog for the full game to even WIN THE GAME... let alone cover 5.5 points if you get what i mean.
Does anyone have stats on this for the 2nd half? I also seen stuff like a team laying 7 points and then have some ridiculous halftime lead, like 22 points. Then for 2nd half, the other team might be -2 or so, so name full game is now that favorite -20 instead of -7. Is it me, or is taking that team +2 for 2nd half really ridiciouls because you are hoping that team covers 20 points. I mean, many times teams give up leads and they could not even cover for the full game!
Thoughts on this strategy? There are 2 ones here of course. The big favorite laying a lot of points but down a lot at the half and of course a team that is favored by has a HUGE lead at the half. Like -2 for the game but up 20 points at the half. So situations like this, 2nd half would be losing team - points but they would be at least +14 for the full game usually.
Thoughts?
Yes i know its the ncaab forum but it still applies as well though i feel like some teams in the ncaab can easily get blown out. Nba to me though is much less likely.
Anyone have numbers on this?
Obviously 2nd half, they will be giving a lot of points. Lets say its 9.5. So basically the full game is now the under laying 5.5 for the game as oppose to getting 10 points which is like a 15.5 point differential. You can use another example like a team is laying 7 points for the game and is down 8 points at end of first half. Then the 2nd half line is that team -8 or 9, basically making the game pickem for the full game.
Is it me, or does it seem like taking a team that is heavily favored in the 2nd half b/c they are down a lot of points at end of 1st half a good idea? I mean, rarely will that team just not make some sort of comeback and make it respectable. And if you do take that team is up say 15 points at end of 1st half and getting say 9.5 in the 2nd half, you are hoping this 10 point underdog for the full game covers 5.5.
What i notice is rarely do teams just lay down if they are heavily favored. I mean, once the game goes to a tie game in the 4th quarter, its just really hard for that underdog for the full game to even WIN THE GAME... let alone cover 5.5 points if you get what i mean.
Does anyone have stats on this for the 2nd half? I also seen stuff like a team laying 7 points and then have some ridiculous halftime lead, like 22 points. Then for 2nd half, the other team might be -2 or so, so name full game is now that favorite -20 instead of -7. Is it me, or is taking that team +2 for 2nd half really ridiciouls because you are hoping that team covers 20 points. I mean, many times teams give up leads and they could not even cover for the full game!
Thoughts on this strategy? There are 2 ones here of course. The big favorite laying a lot of points but down a lot at the half and of course a team that is favored by has a HUGE lead at the half. Like -2 for the game but up 20 points at the half. So situations like this, 2nd half would be losing team - points but they would be at least +14 for the full game usually.
Thoughts?
Yes i know its the ncaab forum but it still applies as well though i feel like some teams in the ncaab can easily get blown out. Nba to me though is much less likely.
Anyone have numbers on this?
0
Hot Forum Topics
