Play on Georgetown -2 vs. Xavier: G-Town desperate for a win. will cover with turnovers and 3 point shooting.
Play on Iowa -5.5 vs. Wisconsin: Wisco may be missing Brust. Iowa plays angry after loss to them on the road and will own the glass against the Badgers. Badgers bounce off road win vs. Michigan.
Play on West Virginia -2.5 vs. Baylor. Huggins needs every win. Baylor gives up a lot of points on the road and WV can score in bunches.
Play on Oklahoma -5 vs. Kansas State: Oklahoma has more fire power than K-State and the Wildcats are a poor road team. OU will own the glass and the charity stripe.
Play on Ohio State -9 vs. Minnesota: Buckeyes playing at a high level while Gophers are struggling. Coaching mismatch. State wins the battle shutting down Gophers 3 point attack, turnovers, and at the free throw line.
Play on St. Louis -8 vs. George Washington: St. Louis one of the best teams in the country IMO. St. Lou covers with insufferable defense and creating turnovers.
Play on Arizona -4.5 at Colorado: Defense will get the cover for Zona. Arizona negates Colorado's strengths-rebounding and free throw shooting.
Play on San Diego State +3.5 at New Mexico: Like the Arizona game, The Aztecs negate the Lobos strengths: defensive rebounding, ball handling, and free throw shooting. State as does Arizona covers with defense.
BOL to all Covers Cappers!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
32-24-1 YTD. NCAA Hoops.
Play on Georgetown -2 vs. Xavier: G-Town desperate for a win. will cover with turnovers and 3 point shooting.
Play on Iowa -5.5 vs. Wisconsin: Wisco may be missing Brust. Iowa plays angry after loss to them on the road and will own the glass against the Badgers. Badgers bounce off road win vs. Michigan.
Play on West Virginia -2.5 vs. Baylor. Huggins needs every win. Baylor gives up a lot of points on the road and WV can score in bunches.
Play on Oklahoma -5 vs. Kansas State: Oklahoma has more fire power than K-State and the Wildcats are a poor road team. OU will own the glass and the charity stripe.
Play on Ohio State -9 vs. Minnesota: Buckeyes playing at a high level while Gophers are struggling. Coaching mismatch. State wins the battle shutting down Gophers 3 point attack, turnovers, and at the free throw line.
Play on St. Louis -8 vs. George Washington: St. Louis one of the best teams in the country IMO. St. Lou covers with insufferable defense and creating turnovers.
Play on Arizona -4.5 at Colorado: Defense will get the cover for Zona. Arizona negates Colorado's strengths-rebounding and free throw shooting.
Play on San Diego State +3.5 at New Mexico: Like the Arizona game, The Aztecs negate the Lobos strengths: defensive rebounding, ball handling, and free throw shooting. State as does Arizona covers with defense.
Play on Michigan State +2 at Michigan: The return of Appling is the key to victory. He hasn't won at Michigan and last year's ending was horrible for him. He will carry his team on his shoulders. I feel that Tom's club has started a run after an embarrassing home loss to Nebraska. Michigan is also pretty poor on the defensive side of the ball and State will control the glass.
Play on Connecticut -6.5 vs. Southern Methodist: U Conn is solid in steals, blocks, and free throw % and these will be the keys to their cover. SMU also plays much worse defense on the road.
Play on Utah -5 vs. Arizona State: Utah is a great home team and needs this win more than ASU. It is also a revenge matchup. ASU is just %500 on the road. Utah is also just a little better stat wise to take this and will be playing angry following an overtime loss to Arizona.
Play on Providence +1 at Butler: Friars need this game to keep tourney hopes alive and will be playing angry after double overtime home loss to Nova. They will dominate the glass and hit more three pointers to take this. They also hold a big advantage in blocks so Butler may have trouble scoring in the paint.
Play on Iona -5 at Marist: Iona owns many large statistical edges here including offensive efficiency vs. defensive efficiency, 3 point shooting vs. 3 point defense, steals vs. giving up steals, and assists vs. giving up assists. Don't see this one being close.
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4-4 yesterday, 36-28-1 YTD NCAA HOOPS
Play on Michigan State +2 at Michigan: The return of Appling is the key to victory. He hasn't won at Michigan and last year's ending was horrible for him. He will carry his team on his shoulders. I feel that Tom's club has started a run after an embarrassing home loss to Nebraska. Michigan is also pretty poor on the defensive side of the ball and State will control the glass.
Play on Connecticut -6.5 vs. Southern Methodist: U Conn is solid in steals, blocks, and free throw % and these will be the keys to their cover. SMU also plays much worse defense on the road.
Play on Utah -5 vs. Arizona State: Utah is a great home team and needs this win more than ASU. It is also a revenge matchup. ASU is just %500 on the road. Utah is also just a little better stat wise to take this and will be playing angry following an overtime loss to Arizona.
Play on Providence +1 at Butler: Friars need this game to keep tourney hopes alive and will be playing angry after double overtime home loss to Nova. They will dominate the glass and hit more three pointers to take this. They also hold a big advantage in blocks so Butler may have trouble scoring in the paint.
Play on Iona -5 at Marist: Iona owns many large statistical edges here including offensive efficiency vs. defensive efficiency, 3 point shooting vs. 3 point defense, steals vs. giving up steals, and assists vs. giving up assists. Don't see this one being close.
Play on Syracuse -3.5 at Maryland: Finally Cuse is not playing with a big target on their back and can play loose. Also, this one will be for Jim and how the Duke game ended Saturday night. There defensive pressure will be too much for The Terps-I see a lot of steals and blocks for the Orange.
Play on Oklahoma State -13.5 at TCU: TCU has lost their last 5 games by a 20.5 average. State got a big spark with Smart coming back and they need every victory they can get in Big 12 conference play so the motivation is there. State's offensive efficiency is 17 while TCU's is 306. State's defensive efficiency is 46 while TCU's is 243. TCU is a HORRIBLE rebounding team while State is in the top 50 in free throws made, steals and blocks. I sense a blowout.
Play on Eastern Washington -6.5 vs. Portland State: Wash is a strong home team (9-2) and is playing very well of late. State is a poor road team and is not playing well of late. State is a HORRIBLE rebounding team and Wash is a very strong 3 point shooting team.
Play on Oklahoma +11.5 at Kansas: Kansas should bounce after their blowout revenge win vs. Texas. They played with a lot of passion in that game and the quick turnaround will not help them here. Oklahoma is very honest and is a quality road team. Stat wise they are a bit behind Kansas in the rebounding department but own an advantage in 3 point shooting (they are hot as of late) and creating turnovers.
BOL to all Cover's Cappers!
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3-2 Sun, 39-30-1 NCAA Hoops YTD.
Monday, Feb 24 Picks
Play on Syracuse -3.5 at Maryland: Finally Cuse is not playing with a big target on their back and can play loose. Also, this one will be for Jim and how the Duke game ended Saturday night. There defensive pressure will be too much for The Terps-I see a lot of steals and blocks for the Orange.
Play on Oklahoma State -13.5 at TCU: TCU has lost their last 5 games by a 20.5 average. State got a big spark with Smart coming back and they need every victory they can get in Big 12 conference play so the motivation is there. State's offensive efficiency is 17 while TCU's is 306. State's defensive efficiency is 46 while TCU's is 243. TCU is a HORRIBLE rebounding team while State is in the top 50 in free throws made, steals and blocks. I sense a blowout.
Play on Eastern Washington -6.5 vs. Portland State: Wash is a strong home team (9-2) and is playing very well of late. State is a poor road team and is not playing well of late. State is a HORRIBLE rebounding team and Wash is a very strong 3 point shooting team.
Play on Oklahoma +11.5 at Kansas: Kansas should bounce after their blowout revenge win vs. Texas. They played with a lot of passion in that game and the quick turnaround will not help them here. Oklahoma is very honest and is a quality road team. Stat wise they are a bit behind Kansas in the rebounding department but own an advantage in 3 point shooting (they are hot as of late) and creating turnovers.
Play On Florida -8 at Vanderbilt: Vandy is 238 in offensive efficiency while Florida is 11 in defensive efficiency. When Florida played a conference team with these kind of offensive numbers they held them to 51 and 36 points. Florida will dominate the boards and turnovers and cover this game.
Play On Dayton +3.5 at St. Joseph: This line is a telling sign because it opened at 2.5 and Dayton having the worse record and 2 games behind in conference play. Both teams playing well of late. Revenge game for Dayton and they are a very good road team. Dayton has the better offense and has more to play for as well.
Play on Indiana +10 at Wisconsin: Wisco to bounce sometime and Indiana in a must win game. Wisco not as strong at home this year. Indiana plays solid defense and is 28th in 3 point % defense. Also, they own a strong advantage on the boards and a slight advantage at the charity stripe. Finally, their glaring weakness (turnovers) may not be exposed by a Wisconsin team who is 334 in the country in creating turnovers.
Play on Mizzou +1.5 at Georgia: Missouri is the better team and will be very motivated to get a conference road win against an inferior opponent for once. For all of Missouri's road woes they do have a winning ATS record on the road. Georgia is a very good home team but I feel that their offensive slump will catch up to them in this game. Mizzou is also trying to avenge an overtime home loss to The Bulldogs earlier this year.
Play on Texas Tech -1 vs. K-State: Very strong home team vs very poor road team. Tech will match K-State's D, has a stronger offense than K-State, and will own the boards. They will also bounce from OK State loss and need wins to position themselves for their conference tournament. 7-3 last 10 ATS for Tech and looking to avenge earlier season loss to K-State.
Play on St. John's -6 vs. Xavier: Just have a feeling that St. John's has hit its stride and the close loss to Nova will motivate them to get this win and cover. Play strong at home while Xavier's stats much different on the road. St. John's will win the 3 point battle and turnover battle as well. St. John's looking to avenge early season loss to Xavier.
Play on Wright State -3.5 vs. Valparaiso: Turnovers will be the key here. Wright State is 12-2 at home while Valpo is 5-8 on the road this year. State 1 game behind Valpo in conference play.
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2-2 Monday, 41-32-1 NCAA HOOPS YTD
Tuesday Picks and Analysis:
Play On Florida -8 at Vanderbilt: Vandy is 238 in offensive efficiency while Florida is 11 in defensive efficiency. When Florida played a conference team with these kind of offensive numbers they held them to 51 and 36 points. Florida will dominate the boards and turnovers and cover this game.
Play On Dayton +3.5 at St. Joseph: This line is a telling sign because it opened at 2.5 and Dayton having the worse record and 2 games behind in conference play. Both teams playing well of late. Revenge game for Dayton and they are a very good road team. Dayton has the better offense and has more to play for as well.
Play on Indiana +10 at Wisconsin: Wisco to bounce sometime and Indiana in a must win game. Wisco not as strong at home this year. Indiana plays solid defense and is 28th in 3 point % defense. Also, they own a strong advantage on the boards and a slight advantage at the charity stripe. Finally, their glaring weakness (turnovers) may not be exposed by a Wisconsin team who is 334 in the country in creating turnovers.
Play on Mizzou +1.5 at Georgia: Missouri is the better team and will be very motivated to get a conference road win against an inferior opponent for once. For all of Missouri's road woes they do have a winning ATS record on the road. Georgia is a very good home team but I feel that their offensive slump will catch up to them in this game. Mizzou is also trying to avenge an overtime home loss to The Bulldogs earlier this year.
Play on Texas Tech -1 vs. K-State: Very strong home team vs very poor road team. Tech will match K-State's D, has a stronger offense than K-State, and will own the boards. They will also bounce from OK State loss and need wins to position themselves for their conference tournament. 7-3 last 10 ATS for Tech and looking to avenge earlier season loss to K-State.
Play on St. John's -6 vs. Xavier: Just have a feeling that St. John's has hit its stride and the close loss to Nova will motivate them to get this win and cover. Play strong at home while Xavier's stats much different on the road. St. John's will win the 3 point battle and turnover battle as well. St. John's looking to avenge early season loss to Xavier.
Play on Wright State -3.5 vs. Valparaiso: Turnovers will be the key here. Wright State is 12-2 at home while Valpo is 5-8 on the road this year. State 1 game behind Valpo in conference play.
No one is going to catch St. Louis to win the A10. St. Joes can lose and still be in good position for a bye in their conference tournament. Dayton cannot afford a loss because they will fall a game and a half behind in their conference for a bye in their tournament.
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No one is going to catch St. Louis to win the A10. St. Joes can lose and still be in good position for a bye in their conference tournament. Dayton cannot afford a loss because they will fall a game and a half behind in their conference for a bye in their tournament.
That was absolutely pathetic capping. 1-6 last night. 42-38-1 YTD NCAA Hoops.
Wednesday, Feb 26 Picks:
Play on Buffalo +2.5 at Ohio: major stat factors. Ohio 212th in fouls while Buffy 96th in getting fouled. Buffy 14th in 3 point % Defense while Ohio 67th in attempts and 192 3 point %. Buffalo 54th total rebound rate vs. Ohio 160th. Other stats similar. Buffy 13-3 ATS last 16 games. Revenge game.
Play on North Carolina -4.5 at NC State: NC State 258th in country in opposing free throws made vs. North Carolina 82nd made free throws. NC 25th Rebound Rate vs. NC State 204. NC State 303 made free throws. I see too little offense vs. too much defense. Carolina should dominate inside. Tar Heels are 9-0 ATS last nine games and 8-2 ATS last 10 vs. State while State is 3-14 ATS at home vs. team with a winning road record.
Play on Arizona -12.5 vs. Cal: Payback. The crowd and the intensity will spell doom for Cal, just like the Kansas/Texas rematch and the Ok State/ Texas Tech rematch. Zona will redeem itself after being knocked off by Cal when #1. They will cover on D and inside. Zona is on a 19 game win steak at home-covering 9 out of 15 there this year.
Play on Texas -4 vs. Baylor: Texas will play inspired after getting drilled by KU over the weekend. Will play well vs. in state rival. Texas strong at home where Baylor's defense takes a step back on the road.
Play on Iowa State -9 vs. West Virginia: payback from 102-77 rout two weeks ago. Great offense vs. poor defense.
BOL to all Cover's Cappers!
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That was absolutely pathetic capping. 1-6 last night. 42-38-1 YTD NCAA Hoops.
Wednesday, Feb 26 Picks:
Play on Buffalo +2.5 at Ohio: major stat factors. Ohio 212th in fouls while Buffy 96th in getting fouled. Buffy 14th in 3 point % Defense while Ohio 67th in attempts and 192 3 point %. Buffalo 54th total rebound rate vs. Ohio 160th. Other stats similar. Buffy 13-3 ATS last 16 games. Revenge game.
Play on North Carolina -4.5 at NC State: NC State 258th in country in opposing free throws made vs. North Carolina 82nd made free throws. NC 25th Rebound Rate vs. NC State 204. NC State 303 made free throws. I see too little offense vs. too much defense. Carolina should dominate inside. Tar Heels are 9-0 ATS last nine games and 8-2 ATS last 10 vs. State while State is 3-14 ATS at home vs. team with a winning road record.
Play on Arizona -12.5 vs. Cal: Payback. The crowd and the intensity will spell doom for Cal, just like the Kansas/Texas rematch and the Ok State/ Texas Tech rematch. Zona will redeem itself after being knocked off by Cal when #1. They will cover on D and inside. Zona is on a 19 game win steak at home-covering 9 out of 15 there this year.
Play on Texas -4 vs. Baylor: Texas will play inspired after getting drilled by KU over the weekend. Will play well vs. in state rival. Texas strong at home where Baylor's defense takes a step back on the road.
Play on Iowa State -9 vs. West Virginia: payback from 102-77 rout two weeks ago. Great offense vs. poor defense.
Play on Arizona State -2 vs. Stanford: Cardinals due for a let down after "all in" effort in win vs. UCLA. State hung over after big win vs. Zona in last 2 game stretch. I feel they will play inspired basketball getting back home where they are 14-1 this year and will look to avenge an earlier loss to Stanford this season. There is value in this line-ASU owns a key advantage in 3 point shooting which will aid them in covering tonight's game.
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Added game Wednesday, Feb 26
Play on Arizona State -2 vs. Stanford: Cardinals due for a let down after "all in" effort in win vs. UCLA. State hung over after big win vs. Zona in last 2 game stretch. I feel they will play inspired basketball getting back home where they are 14-1 this year and will look to avenge an earlier loss to Stanford this season. There is value in this line-ASU owns a key advantage in 3 point shooting which will aid them in covering tonight's game.
As they say when eating Wendy's, Now That's Better!. 5-1 last night, 47-39-1 YTD NCAA HOOPS Documented.
Thursday, Feb. 27 Picks:
Play on Ohio State -6 at Penn State: Buckeyes playing well of late especially on defense where they have held 3 of their last 6 opponents to under 50 points. They are 7-2 ATS last 9 on road. Penn State is not playing well and is 1-8 ATS last 9 at home. Ohio State leads the conference in scoring defense and Penn State have gave up 30 made free throws in 2 consecutive games where the Buckeyes are 3rd in the country in opponent made free throws. This a revenge game where Penn State beat the Buckeyes on their home floor so they will be playing angry and need this game to position themselves for the Big 10 tourney.
Play on Iowa -4 at Indiana: Indiana's season has been miserable and they are done in my opinion. Must win game on the road up 10 at halftime and they lose by double digits. They really don't have a chance to make the big dance unless they run the table and this is highly unlikely. Iowa strong on both sides of the floor where Indiana lacks offensive weapons. Iowa needs to snap out of a two game funk to position themselves for the Big Ten Tourney. The neutralize Indiana's rebounding strength and have a big advantage on them with turnovers and blocks. Hawkeyes 7-2 ATS last 9 vs. team with a winning home record and 8-3 ATS last 11 at Indiana.
Play on Louisiana Tech -5.5 vs. Middle Tenn. State: Just about every stat gives an advantage to LA Tech in this game. They shoot threes better, create more turnovers, and make more free throws. Tech is a good home team ATS while MTSU is a poor road team ATS. LA Tech 1 game behind MTSU for conference lead. LA Tech also 3rd in the country with 15.1 Avg. margin of victory. Really like LA Tech here.
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As they say when eating Wendy's, Now That's Better!. 5-1 last night, 47-39-1 YTD NCAA HOOPS Documented.
Thursday, Feb. 27 Picks:
Play on Ohio State -6 at Penn State: Buckeyes playing well of late especially on defense where they have held 3 of their last 6 opponents to under 50 points. They are 7-2 ATS last 9 on road. Penn State is not playing well and is 1-8 ATS last 9 at home. Ohio State leads the conference in scoring defense and Penn State have gave up 30 made free throws in 2 consecutive games where the Buckeyes are 3rd in the country in opponent made free throws. This a revenge game where Penn State beat the Buckeyes on their home floor so they will be playing angry and need this game to position themselves for the Big 10 tourney.
Play on Iowa -4 at Indiana: Indiana's season has been miserable and they are done in my opinion. Must win game on the road up 10 at halftime and they lose by double digits. They really don't have a chance to make the big dance unless they run the table and this is highly unlikely. Iowa strong on both sides of the floor where Indiana lacks offensive weapons. Iowa needs to snap out of a two game funk to position themselves for the Big Ten Tourney. The neutralize Indiana's rebounding strength and have a big advantage on them with turnovers and blocks. Hawkeyes 7-2 ATS last 9 vs. team with a winning home record and 8-3 ATS last 11 at Indiana.
Play on Louisiana Tech -5.5 vs. Middle Tenn. State: Just about every stat gives an advantage to LA Tech in this game. They shoot threes better, create more turnovers, and make more free throws. Tech is a good home team ATS while MTSU is a poor road team ATS. LA Tech 1 game behind MTSU for conference lead. LA Tech also 3rd in the country with 15.1 Avg. margin of victory. Really like LA Tech here.
Play on Georgia State -5.5 at Texas Arlington: Georgia State is 5th in Offensive efficiency where Arlington is 292nd in defensive efficiency. Georgia State is 76th in free throws made and is 6th in the country in ft%. Arlington is 281 in opponent free throw made. Georgia State is 2nd in turnovers and 40th in creating turnovers where Arlington is 227th in creating turnovers and 305 in giving up turnovers. Finally State is 64th in blocks where Arlington is 215 in getting blocked. They both hit there threes and Arlington rebounds better. State is 6-2 ATS last 8 on the road. Stats don't lie-I see State winning by double digits.
Play on Denver +4 at South Dakota State: Denver seeking to avenge a 1 point loss in late January. Denver 13-6-1 ATS on the road last 20. While they lose the rebounding battle and the free throw battle, they win the three point shooting battle and turnover battle. Three pointers made and steals will be the key to this cover.
BOL to all Cover's Cappers!
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Added Games Thursday Feb. 27
Play on Georgia State -5.5 at Texas Arlington: Georgia State is 5th in Offensive efficiency where Arlington is 292nd in defensive efficiency. Georgia State is 76th in free throws made and is 6th in the country in ft%. Arlington is 281 in opponent free throw made. Georgia State is 2nd in turnovers and 40th in creating turnovers where Arlington is 227th in creating turnovers and 305 in giving up turnovers. Finally State is 64th in blocks where Arlington is 215 in getting blocked. They both hit there threes and Arlington rebounds better. State is 6-2 ATS last 8 on the road. Stats don't lie-I see State winning by double digits.
Play on Denver +4 at South Dakota State: Denver seeking to avenge a 1 point loss in late January. Denver 13-6-1 ATS on the road last 20. While they lose the rebounding battle and the free throw battle, they win the three point shooting battle and turnover battle. Three pointers made and steals will be the key to this cover.
Wi-GB -5 at Oakland: GB plays great defense. Oakland plays horrible defense. GB rebounds very well. Oakland rebounds very poorly. Oakland doesn't turn the ball over and creates turnovers well but so does GB. Oakland hits many threes but GB defends them well. GB hits a good amount of free throws and Oakland gives up a ton of free throws made. Oakland 2-8 ATS last ten and 0-5 ATS last 5 at home. GB played Wisco tough and beat Virginia this year. I like Green Bay.
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added game Thursday Feb 27
Wi-GB -5 at Oakland: GB plays great defense. Oakland plays horrible defense. GB rebounds very well. Oakland rebounds very poorly. Oakland doesn't turn the ball over and creates turnovers well but so does GB. Oakland hits many threes but GB defends them well. GB hits a good amount of free throws and Oakland gives up a ton of free throws made. Oakland 2-8 ATS last ten and 0-5 ATS last 5 at home. GB played Wisco tough and beat Virginia this year. I like Green Bay.
Play on Providence +2.5 at Seton Hall: Providence is on the tourney bubble and plays for revenge after 1 point double overtime loss to them earlier in conference play. Seton Hall is loser of 5 of last 6, including recent to DePaul. Hall not that good at home this year (9-7SU, 6-10 ATS). Providence will cover at the free throw line and on the boards.
Play on Manhattan -3.5 vs. Iona: Iona matches up well with the Jaspers in some areas. Manhattan is 8 in the country in steals but Iona is 8 in giving up steals. The Jaspers are 317 in turnovers while the Gaels are 193 in creating turnovers. Finally Manhattan is one of the worst teams in free throws made against while Iona is 117 in made free advantage. Manhattan has an advantage in blocked shots where the Jaspers are great and Iona is average in getting blocked. Manhattan is 2nd in the country in made free throws but Iona is 55 in giving up made free throws. Manhattan also owns a strong rebounding advantage and has a much better defensive efficiency. They also create a ton of turnovers that can rattle any team. They should cover in these two areas and the Friday night home crowd should carry them in this key matchup. They are just fun to watch and their inside play should carry them.
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Break even Thursday. 3-3. 50-42-1 YTD. NCAA HOOPS
Friday's Plays:
Play on Providence +2.5 at Seton Hall: Providence is on the tourney bubble and plays for revenge after 1 point double overtime loss to them earlier in conference play. Seton Hall is loser of 5 of last 6, including recent to DePaul. Hall not that good at home this year (9-7SU, 6-10 ATS). Providence will cover at the free throw line and on the boards.
Play on Manhattan -3.5 vs. Iona: Iona matches up well with the Jaspers in some areas. Manhattan is 8 in the country in steals but Iona is 8 in giving up steals. The Jaspers are 317 in turnovers while the Gaels are 193 in creating turnovers. Finally Manhattan is one of the worst teams in free throws made against while Iona is 117 in made free advantage. Manhattan has an advantage in blocked shots where the Jaspers are great and Iona is average in getting blocked. Manhattan is 2nd in the country in made free throws but Iona is 55 in giving up made free throws. Manhattan also owns a strong rebounding advantage and has a much better defensive efficiency. They also create a ton of turnovers that can rattle any team. They should cover in these two areas and the Friday night home crowd should carry them in this key matchup. They are just fun to watch and their inside play should carry them.
Play on Campbell +10 at High Point: see value in this line. Campbell has a slight edge rebounding, has a huge edge at the three point stripe while Campbell has a slight edge in the turnover and free throw shooting department.
Play on Rider +3 vs. Canisius: Too many points to lay here. Rider seeking revenge for 3 point loss in overtime. The numbers and trends say Canisius, the gut says Rider. Big game on national television for Rider.
Play on Washington -8.5 vs. Washington: Rivalry game and big revenge game for Washington. They also still have a tiny chance to make the tourney and an easy road. Wash St. is 4-15-2 last 21 ATS on the road. Washington will cover with stronger offense, rebounding, free throw shooting and because they defend the 3 point line which is the only area that State has strong success with. Have a feeling Washington rolls them.
BOL all Cover's Cappers!
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Added Plays Friday Feb 28th
Play on Campbell +10 at High Point: see value in this line. Campbell has a slight edge rebounding, has a huge edge at the three point stripe while Campbell has a slight edge in the turnover and free throw shooting department.
Play on Rider +3 vs. Canisius: Too many points to lay here. Rider seeking revenge for 3 point loss in overtime. The numbers and trends say Canisius, the gut says Rider. Big game on national television for Rider.
Play on Washington -8.5 vs. Washington: Rivalry game and big revenge game for Washington. They also still have a tiny chance to make the tourney and an easy road. Wash St. is 4-15-2 last 21 ATS on the road. Washington will cover with stronger offense, rebounding, free throw shooting and because they defend the 3 point line which is the only area that State has strong success with. Have a feeling Washington rolls them.
3-2 last night. Documented 53-44-1 NCAA HOOPS YTD.
Saturday, March 1 Plays: My favorite time of year.
Play on Kansas State -1 vs. Iowa State: Iowa State 3-10 ATS last 13 games while Wildcats 9-2 ATS last 11 home games. Iowa State put a lot in to the rematch game vs. West Virginia-look for them to bounce. K-State can move into a tie with the Cyclones in Big 12 conference play with a win. Key stat Iowa State is 25th in the country in made 3 pointers but K-State is 17th in opponent made 3 pointers and allow the 3rd best 3 point fg% as well. Iowa State is also 1-5 ATS in last six road games while K-State is 23-6-1 ATS at home vs. teams with winning records. This is also a revenge game for the Wildcats.Finally to me defense beats offense here where K-State is allowing less than 60 points per game at home.
Play on Georgia +7.5 at Arkansas: Georgia is the more desperate team of the two and Arkansas coming off a draining overtime win vs. Kentucky might not be able to get up for this matchup. Stat wise Georgia is 18th in the country in fg% defense, 35th in the country in total rebounds, 35th in the country in free throws made and 11th in allowed assists. Arkansas is 251 in free throws allowed, 258 in total rebounds, and is 140 in fg%. The big problem for Georgia is that they turn the ball over way too much and this plays right into the Razorbacks strength. If they can over come this they have a good chance to cover this game. Georgia is 21-8 ATS last 29 vs. SEC. but Arkansas is a strong ATS home club. Georgia has found its stride, winners of 6 out of 7 while playing great D by holding opponents to less than 59 points in there last 5 games.
Play on NC State -3 vs. Miami: NC State needs this one to keep tourney hopes alive and should play inspired at home after devastating home loss to Carolina last week. NC State is 7-3 ATS last 10. Just have a hunch here.
Play on Missouri -14 vs. Miss. State: Mizzou bounces back big time here in must win for tourney dreams after back to back horrible road losses to Bama and Georgia. They just aren't that bad and State is. Mizzou is 53rd in the country in offensive efficiency while State is 281. Mizzou is also 19th in total rebounding where State is 243. Have a feeling Missouri rolls here.
Play on Michigan State -11 vs. Illinois: State gets Dawson back and that will provide an emotional lift. They also need to get in form after bad loses to Nebraska and Michigan-a sense of urgency is there. Illini offensive numbers are putrid away from home while State's defense is strong. Illinois's defensive numbers are skewed by playing poor offensive teams from the Big 10. State wins almost all the key stats and I see them breaking out in this game.
Play on Texas A&M -1.5 vs. Ole Miss: A&M is very strong at home (15-2 SU, 8-3 ATS, something like 62-22 SU last 88). Ole Miss has lost last 4 road games. A&M wins on defense where they are 12th in the nation in 3 Point FG% defense and that is a key stat when playing Ole Miss.
BOL to all Cover's Cappers!
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3-2 last night. Documented 53-44-1 NCAA HOOPS YTD.
Saturday, March 1 Plays: My favorite time of year.
Play on Kansas State -1 vs. Iowa State: Iowa State 3-10 ATS last 13 games while Wildcats 9-2 ATS last 11 home games. Iowa State put a lot in to the rematch game vs. West Virginia-look for them to bounce. K-State can move into a tie with the Cyclones in Big 12 conference play with a win. Key stat Iowa State is 25th in the country in made 3 pointers but K-State is 17th in opponent made 3 pointers and allow the 3rd best 3 point fg% as well. Iowa State is also 1-5 ATS in last six road games while K-State is 23-6-1 ATS at home vs. teams with winning records. This is also a revenge game for the Wildcats.Finally to me defense beats offense here where K-State is allowing less than 60 points per game at home.
Play on Georgia +7.5 at Arkansas: Georgia is the more desperate team of the two and Arkansas coming off a draining overtime win vs. Kentucky might not be able to get up for this matchup. Stat wise Georgia is 18th in the country in fg% defense, 35th in the country in total rebounds, 35th in the country in free throws made and 11th in allowed assists. Arkansas is 251 in free throws allowed, 258 in total rebounds, and is 140 in fg%. The big problem for Georgia is that they turn the ball over way too much and this plays right into the Razorbacks strength. If they can over come this they have a good chance to cover this game. Georgia is 21-8 ATS last 29 vs. SEC. but Arkansas is a strong ATS home club. Georgia has found its stride, winners of 6 out of 7 while playing great D by holding opponents to less than 59 points in there last 5 games.
Play on NC State -3 vs. Miami: NC State needs this one to keep tourney hopes alive and should play inspired at home after devastating home loss to Carolina last week. NC State is 7-3 ATS last 10. Just have a hunch here.
Play on Missouri -14 vs. Miss. State: Mizzou bounces back big time here in must win for tourney dreams after back to back horrible road losses to Bama and Georgia. They just aren't that bad and State is. Mizzou is 53rd in the country in offensive efficiency while State is 281. Mizzou is also 19th in total rebounding where State is 243. Have a feeling Missouri rolls here.
Play on Michigan State -11 vs. Illinois: State gets Dawson back and that will provide an emotional lift. They also need to get in form after bad loses to Nebraska and Michigan-a sense of urgency is there. Illini offensive numbers are putrid away from home while State's defense is strong. Illinois's defensive numbers are skewed by playing poor offensive teams from the Big 10. State wins almost all the key stats and I see them breaking out in this game.
Play on Texas A&M -1.5 vs. Ole Miss: A&M is very strong at home (15-2 SU, 8-3 ATS, something like 62-22 SU last 88). Ole Miss has lost last 4 road games. A&M wins on defense where they are 12th in the nation in 3 Point FG% defense and that is a key stat when playing Ole Miss.
Play on Richmond +1.5 at Rhode Island: Richmond bounces off horrible loss to George Mason and plays with added intensity and added motivation to keep pace in the A10. Another close loss for Rhode Island vs.U Mass-these add up and I can see them being deflated today. Richmond covers by winning the turnover battle and doing it a little better on the offensive and defensive side of the ball.
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Added Game Sat March 1:
Play on Richmond +1.5 at Rhode Island: Richmond bounces off horrible loss to George Mason and plays with added intensity and added motivation to keep pace in the A10. Another close loss for Rhode Island vs.U Mass-these add up and I can see them being deflated today. Richmond covers by winning the turnover battle and doing it a little better on the offensive and defensive side of the ball.
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