Play on St. Johns -15 vs. DePaul: DePaul got the win they craved for so long against Seton Hall. Now back to reality with their abysmal defense. They are 5-16 ATS last 21 against teams with a win % of .600 or greater. St. Johns is not only looking for revenge here but desperately need this game to keep tourney dreams alive. They are coming off of 2 losses and will be looking to blow out a bad team to boost their moral. St Johns is 8-2 ATS last ten in Big East and I feel they will be much the best in this contest.
Canisius +6 at Manhattan: The Jaspers are coming off an intense and exhausting overtime win against the league's best Iona and I see them coming out flat off 1 days rest. They are 2-9 ATS last 11 vs. teams with a winning road record. Canisius are 6-1 ATS last 7 on road vs. teams with a winning home record. They are also looking for revenge in this game and had a nice tightner vs. Rider last night.
Wisconsin -6 at Penn State: Penn State IMO will not put together back to back great efforts vs. top shelf Big Ten teams and probably used up a lot of emotion Thursday night in victory. They are 2-8 ATS last 10 home games and have a defensive efficiency of 199 in the country while Wisconsin's offensive efficiency is 11th in the land. Wisco owns a 9-3 ATS road score this year and are flat out in a zone right now who can put up points in bunches to take control of any game. And like any Bo Ryan team they don't turn the ball over, hit well from beyond the arc and don't foul. I feel they stay hot here.
A few more picks coming out tomorrow before early tips.
BOL to the Cover's Community!
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Hoop Dreams:
Documented 56-48-1 ATS YTD NCAA HOOPS
Sunday, March 2nd Picks:
Play on St. Johns -15 vs. DePaul: DePaul got the win they craved for so long against Seton Hall. Now back to reality with their abysmal defense. They are 5-16 ATS last 21 against teams with a win % of .600 or greater. St. Johns is not only looking for revenge here but desperately need this game to keep tourney dreams alive. They are coming off of 2 losses and will be looking to blow out a bad team to boost their moral. St Johns is 8-2 ATS last ten in Big East and I feel they will be much the best in this contest.
Canisius +6 at Manhattan: The Jaspers are coming off an intense and exhausting overtime win against the league's best Iona and I see them coming out flat off 1 days rest. They are 2-9 ATS last 11 vs. teams with a winning road record. Canisius are 6-1 ATS last 7 on road vs. teams with a winning home record. They are also looking for revenge in this game and had a nice tightner vs. Rider last night.
Wisconsin -6 at Penn State: Penn State IMO will not put together back to back great efforts vs. top shelf Big Ten teams and probably used up a lot of emotion Thursday night in victory. They are 2-8 ATS last 10 home games and have a defensive efficiency of 199 in the country while Wisconsin's offensive efficiency is 11th in the land. Wisco owns a 9-3 ATS road score this year and are flat out in a zone right now who can put up points in bunches to take control of any game. And like any Bo Ryan team they don't turn the ball over, hit well from beyond the arc and don't foul. I feel they stay hot here.
A few more picks coming out tomorrow before early tips.
Play on Quinnipiac -1 at Marist: Quinnipiac is 5-1 ATS road vs. home winner of 60% or greater and 7-4 ATS road this year. They are #1 in rebounding in the country where Marist is 264. They are #1 in free throws made where Marist is 100 in allowing made free throws. Marist is 287th in the country in offensive efficiency and Quinnipiac is 67th while Marist is 188 defensively. Marist is 1-4 ATS at home vs. team with a winning road record.
Play on UCLA -13 vs. Oregon State: Revenge game. UCLA has lost two straight and will play with added motivation in this game. And they are very good. UCLA is 20-7 ATS at home vs. teams with a winning road record of less than 40%. The Beavers are 2-8 ATS after an ATS win. UCLA is 7th in offensive efficiency, 3rd in assists, 2nd in steals, 26th in ft% and 6th in 3 point fg%. OSU is 237th in the country in defensive efficiency, 301 in opponents assists, 189 in opponent steals, 129 in fouls and 220 in defensive 3 point fg %. Finally, UCLA's 2 top scorers were suspended for their overtime loss vs. Oregon so expect some Bruin fire with their return. I sense a blowout.
Play on East Carolina +3 at Marshall: Marshall is 274th in the country in offensive efficiency so buckets could be hard to come by. East Carolina is 100 in this category. East Carolina is 55th in free throw % and Marshall is 192 in fouls given. East Carolina is also 18th in the country in 3 pointers made and Marshall is 226th so those extra points won't hurt Carolina. Marshall is 2-6 ATS last 8 at home where Carolina is 9-4 ATS vs. teams with losing records.
Play on Iowa -14.5 vs. Purdue: Purdue's OT loss to Michigan on a last second shot was a back breaker for this squad IMO. They are 3-7 ATS last 10, 1-4 ATS on the road. Iowa has lost its last 3 and is looking to kill something on their home court. They match Purdue on the boards which is their strength, are 5th in the country in free throw made where Purdue is 231 in free throws made allowed, is 70th in steals where Purdue is 238th giving up steals and are 9th in assists while Purdue is 199 giving up assists. Finally Iowa is 21-5 ATS at home vs. a team who wins less than 40% on the road. My feeling is that Iowa rolls over the Boilermakers.
Once again, BOL to all Cover's Cappers!
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Sunday, March 2 picks:
Play on Quinnipiac -1 at Marist: Quinnipiac is 5-1 ATS road vs. home winner of 60% or greater and 7-4 ATS road this year. They are #1 in rebounding in the country where Marist is 264. They are #1 in free throws made where Marist is 100 in allowing made free throws. Marist is 287th in the country in offensive efficiency and Quinnipiac is 67th while Marist is 188 defensively. Marist is 1-4 ATS at home vs. team with a winning road record.
Play on UCLA -13 vs. Oregon State: Revenge game. UCLA has lost two straight and will play with added motivation in this game. And they are very good. UCLA is 20-7 ATS at home vs. teams with a winning road record of less than 40%. The Beavers are 2-8 ATS after an ATS win. UCLA is 7th in offensive efficiency, 3rd in assists, 2nd in steals, 26th in ft% and 6th in 3 point fg%. OSU is 237th in the country in defensive efficiency, 301 in opponents assists, 189 in opponent steals, 129 in fouls and 220 in defensive 3 point fg %. Finally, UCLA's 2 top scorers were suspended for their overtime loss vs. Oregon so expect some Bruin fire with their return. I sense a blowout.
Play on East Carolina +3 at Marshall: Marshall is 274th in the country in offensive efficiency so buckets could be hard to come by. East Carolina is 100 in this category. East Carolina is 55th in free throw % and Marshall is 192 in fouls given. East Carolina is also 18th in the country in 3 pointers made and Marshall is 226th so those extra points won't hurt Carolina. Marshall is 2-6 ATS last 8 at home where Carolina is 9-4 ATS vs. teams with losing records.
Play on Iowa -14.5 vs. Purdue: Purdue's OT loss to Michigan on a last second shot was a back breaker for this squad IMO. They are 3-7 ATS last 10, 1-4 ATS on the road. Iowa has lost its last 3 and is looking to kill something on their home court. They match Purdue on the boards which is their strength, are 5th in the country in free throw made where Purdue is 231 in free throws made allowed, is 70th in steals where Purdue is 238th giving up steals and are 9th in assists while Purdue is 199 giving up assists. Finally Iowa is 21-5 ATS at home vs. a team who wins less than 40% on the road. My feeling is that Iowa rolls over the Boilermakers.
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