61-55-3
Happy New Year.
Troy/App St U133.5 - Both teams play tight defense. App loves punching it into the post, Troy does a great job denying post passing. App's effective D% against tough competition puts them in the top 1/3 of the country with this metric. Scoring will be at a premium. This series generally produces low scores, so I am comfortable going under this low number.
61-55-3
Happy New Year.
Troy/App St U133.5 - Both teams play tight defense. App loves punching it into the post, Troy does a great job denying post passing. App's effective D% against tough competition puts them in the top 1/3 of the country with this metric. Scoring will be at a premium. This series generally produces low scores, so I am comfortable going under this low number.
Adding ...
Lehigh -3 (Lehigh's won 5 of the last 6 in this series. Despite their tougher SOS, the effective FG% still rates in the top 1/3. The Hawks have been good when they plat at home and giving a possession away shouldn't be too much of a hurdle to overcome against Bucknell.)
Drexel -4 (Drexel and Campbell have similar SOS, so a good matchup to compare metrics. Looking at those, there is no comparison. Dragons outclass Campbell in virtually everything except the FT line. Assuming this game plays out like it should, free throws shouldn't even matter.)
Adding ...
Lehigh -3 (Lehigh's won 5 of the last 6 in this series. Despite their tougher SOS, the effective FG% still rates in the top 1/3. The Hawks have been good when they plat at home and giving a possession away shouldn't be too much of a hurdle to overcome against Bucknell.)
Drexel -4 (Drexel and Campbell have similar SOS, so a good matchup to compare metrics. Looking at those, there is no comparison. Dragons outclass Campbell in virtually everything except the FT line. Assuming this game plays out like it should, free throws shouldn't even matter.)
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